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Maribor vs Aluminij Prediction, H2H & Stats

Slovenia: 1. SNL · Regular Season - 36
Maribor

Maribor

5th in table
DWDLL
Full time
3:0
HT 1 - 0
Aluminij

Aluminij

7th in table
LLLDW
8' A. Reghba
31' K. Borys
73' T. Primc
75' T. Kikec
86' T. Jagic
89' B. Tetteh
Saturday, 23 May 2026
Ljudski vrt, Maribor
A. Jeric

Head to head

Last 7 meetings
7games
4Maribor wins
1Draws
2Aluminij wins
3.4Goals per game
43%Both scored
43%Over 2.5
20 Mar 20261. SNL Aluminij 1 - 1 Maribor
06 Dec 20251. SNL Maribor 2 - 3 Aluminij
19 Sep 20251. SNL Aluminij 2 - 3 Maribor
04 Mar 2025Cup Maribor 2 - 0 Aluminij
05 Apr 20241. SNL Aluminij 0 - 2 Maribor
11 Feb 20241. SNL Maribor 7 - 0 Aluminij
01 Oct 20231. SNL Aluminij 1 - 0 Maribor

1. SNL table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Celje 342356 85:32 +53 74 WLLWW
2 Koper 342077 71:43 +28 67 WWWWW
3 Bravo 3419510 62:51 +11 62 WWWWW
4 Olimpija Ljubljana 3416711 50:40 +10 55 LWWLL
5 Maribor 3415811 57:43 +14 53 WLLLW
6 Radomlje 3413615 50:63 -13 45 WLLWW
7 Aluminij 3410618 42:61 -19 36 LDLLL
8 Mura 348719 35:55 -20 31 LWWLL
9 Primorje 346424 31:74 -43 22 LDLDL
10 NK Domzale 183312 17:38 -21 12 LWLLD

Top scorers

1. SNL
1 B. TettehMaribor 11goals 3assists 15apps
2 H. SoudaniMaribor 8goals 0assists 27apps
3 Diogo PintoOlimpija Ljubljana 3goals 2assists 17apps
4 N. OmladičKoper 2goals 0assists 2apps
5 V. GidadoBravo 1goals 2assists 16apps
6 DigaOlimpija Ljubljana 1goals 1assists 27apps
7 A. ReghbaMaribor 1goals 1assists 21apps
8 A. FeratovičAluminij 1goals 1assists 15apps
9 N. MonzangoBravo 1goals 0assists 8apps
10 A. SidibéKoper 1goals 0assists 4apps

Recent form

4 W 4 D 2 L in the last 10
31 Oct 20261. SNL Maribor 0 - 1 Olimpija Ljubljana L
27 Oct 20261. SNL Koper 4 - 0 Maribor L
18 Oct 20261. SNL Maribor 0 - 0 Celje D
11 Oct 20261. SNL Brinje-Grosuplje 1 - 2 Maribor W
28 Sep 2026Friendlies Clubs Maribor 1 - 1 HNK Gorica D
19 Sep 20261. SNL Maribor 2 - 2 Aluminij D
13 Sep 20261. SNL Radomlje 0 - 3 Maribor W
06 Sep 20261. SNL Maribor 1 - 1 Mura D
30 Aug 20261. SNL Nafta 2 - 3 Maribor W
23 Aug 20261. SNL Maribor 3 - 1 Bravo W
2 W 4 D 4 L in the last 10
31 Oct 20261. SNL Aluminij 5 - 0 Radomlje W
28 Oct 20261. SNL Nafta 0 - 0 Aluminij D
23 Oct 2026Cup Brežice 4 - 2 Aluminij L
16 Oct 20261. SNL Aluminij 0 - 1 Olimpija Ljubljana L
10 Oct 20261. SNL Celje 1 - 0 Aluminij L
02 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Aluminij 0 - 0 NK Varazdin D
19 Sep 20261. SNL Maribor 2 - 2 Aluminij D
13 Sep 20261. SNL Mura 1 - 6 Aluminij W
05 Sep 20261. SNL Aluminij 0 - 0 Bravo D
02 Sep 20261. SNL Aluminij 0 - 2 Celje L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Maribor Draw Aluminij

Most likely scores

2-1 9.7%
1-1 9.1%
2-0 8.1%
1-0 7.5%
3-1 7%
2-2 5.8%

Expected goals: 2.15 Maribor · 1.2 Aluminij

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals65%
Over 3.5 goals43%
Both teams score62%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
43%
Form
57%
71%
Attack
29%
44%
Defence
56%
73%
Goal model
27%
71%
Head to head
29%
63%
Goals
38%
60%
Overall
39%

Season numbers

1. SNL 2025

When the goals come

4
0-15'
4
12
16-30'
3
14
31-45'
8
7
46-60'
6
3
61-75'
5
12
76-90'
17
7
0-15'
9
4
16-30'
9
6
31-45'
12
6
46-60'
7
6
61-75'
9
13
76-90'
11
Maribor Aluminij

Side by side

Maribor Aluminij
32 Played 33
14 Won 10
8 Drawn 6
10 Lost 17
1.7 Goals scored per game 1.3
1.3 Goals conceded per game 1.8
2.4 / 1.1 Scored per game (home / away) 1.3 / 1.3
11 Clean sheets 5
6 Failed to score 7
3 Longest winning run 2
5-1 Biggest win 3-1
2-3 Biggest defeat 0-3
3/3 Penalties scored 7/7

Maribor vs Aluminij: preview and prediction

Maribor host Aluminij in the Slovenia 1. SNL (Regular Season - 36) on Saturday, 23rd May 2026 at 16:30 at Ljudski vrt, Maribor. Maribor sit 5th in the table and Aluminij 7th.

Maribor have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (D-W-D-L-L). Aluminij are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-L-D-W).

In the last 7 meetings, Maribor won 4, Aluminij won 2 and 1 ended level. These games average 3.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 43% and over 2.5 goals in 43%.

Our goal model expects about 2.15 goals for Maribor and 1.2 for Aluminij. It gives Maribor the edge (59% home win, 20% draw, 21% away win), 65% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 2-1.

Our pick was Over 2.5 at odds of 1.44. We also like Under 3.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Maribor vs Aluminij FAQs

What is the best prediction for Maribor vs Aluminij?

Our top tip is Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5 (1.44 odds).

Who will win Maribor vs Aluminij?

Maribor are favourites: our model gives Maribor 59%, the draw 20% and Aluminij 21%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 62% chance in our model, and it happened in 43% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.3 goals in total, with a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Maribor vs Aluminij?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 23rd May 2026 at 16:30 at Ljudski vrt, Maribor.

Who is the referee?

A. Jeric is in charge of this game.