Manchester United vs Brighton Prediction, H2H & Stats

England: League Cup · Round of 32
Full time
2:3
HT 2 - 1
Brighton

Brighton

WDLDW
8' Shea Lacey
9' Mason Mount
43' Chema Andrés
45+1' Charalampos Kostoulas
59' Jaouen Hadjam
65' Pascal Groß
69' Maxim De Cuyper
85' Yasin Ayari
90+1' Maxim De Cuyper
Wednesday, 16 September 2026
Old Trafford, Manchester
F. Hallam

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
3Manchester United wins
1Draws
5Brighton wins
2.9Goals per game
56%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
24 May 2026Premier League Brighton 0 - 3 Manchester United
11 Jan 2026FA Cup Manchester United 1 - 2 Brighton
25 Oct 2025Premier League Manchester United 4 - 2 Brighton
19 Jan 2025Premier League Manchester United 1 - 3 Brighton
24 Aug 2024Premier League Brighton 2 - 1 Manchester United
19 May 2024Premier League Brighton 0 - 2 Manchester United
16 Sep 2023Premier League Manchester United 1 - 3 Brighton
04 May 2023Premier League Brighton 1 - 0 Manchester United
23 Apr 2023FA Cup Brighton 0 - 0 Manchester United

Top scorers

League Cup
1 T. BarryEverton 4goals 2assists 3apps
2 H. LeonardPeterborough 4goals 0assists 3apps
3 R. ClearyBarnsley 3goals 1assists 3apps
4 C. EvansFleetwood Town 3goals 0assists 4apps
5 V. CastellanosWest Ham 3goals 0assists 3apps
6 C. WilsonBrentford 3goals 0assists 3apps
7 D. WelbeckChelsea 3goals 0assists 3apps
8 R. ChristieBournemouth 3goals 0assists 2apps
9 Y. SalechCardiff 3goals 1assists 2apps
10 J. BowenWest Ham 2goals 1assists 3apps

Recent form

1 W 3 D 6 L in the last 10
03 Nov 2026UEFA Champions League Manchester United 3 - 2 AS Roma W
31 Oct 2026Premier League Chelsea 2 - 0 Manchester United L
25 Oct 2026Premier League Manchester United 0 - 3 Bournemouth L
21 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Como 4 - 1 Manchester United L
18 Oct 2026Premier League Leeds 1 - 1 Manchester United D
13 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Atletico Madrid 2 - 0 Manchester United L
10 Oct 2026Premier League Manchester United 1 - 1 Tottenham D
20 Sep 2026Premier League Fulham 1 - 1 Manchester United D
16 Sep 2026League Cup Manchester United 2 - 3 Brighton L
13 Sep 2026Premier League Manchester United 0 - 1 Manchester City L
7 W 2 D 1 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Premier League Manchester City 0 - 1 Brighton W
28 Oct 2026League Cup Manchester City 2 - 2 Brighton D
25 Oct 2026Premier League Liverpool 2 - 0 Brighton L
22 Oct 2026UEFA Europa Conference League FK Jablonec 0 - 0 Brighton D
18 Oct 2026Premier League Brighton 5 - 0 Crystal Palace W
15 Oct 2026UEFA Europa Conference League Brighton 4 - 0 Kauno Žalgiris W
10 Oct 2026Premier League Sunderland 0 - 2 Brighton W
19 Sep 2026Premier League Brighton 3 - 0 Arsenal W
16 Sep 2026League Cup Manchester United 2 - 3 Brighton W
13 Sep 2026Premier League Coventry 0 - 5 Brighton W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Manchester United Draw Brighton

Most likely scores

1-1 12.6%
1-0 11.5%
0-1 9%
2-1 8.8%
0-0 8.2%
2-0 8%

Expected goals: 1.4 Manchester United · 1.1 Brighton

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Both teams score50%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
0%
Form
0%
0%
Attack
0%
0%
Defence
0%
0%
Goal model
0%
40%
Head to head
60%
53%
Goals
47%
46%
Overall
53%

Manchester United vs Brighton: preview and prediction

Manchester United host Brighton in the England League Cup (Round of 32) on Wednesday, 16th September 2026 at 20:00 at Old Trafford, Manchester.

Manchester United are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-L-L-W). Brighton have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-D-L-D-W).

In the last 9 meetings, Manchester United won 3, Brighton won 5 and 1 ended level. These games average 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 56% and over 2.5 goals in 67%.

Our goal model expects about 1.4 goals for Manchester United and 1.1 for Brighton. It gives Manchester United the edge (44% home win, 27% draw, 30% away win), 46% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 2.03.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Manchester United vs Brighton FAQs

What is the best prediction for Manchester United vs Brighton?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (2.03 odds).

Who will win Manchester United vs Brighton?

Manchester United are favourites: our model gives Manchester United 44%, the draw 27% and Brighton 30%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 50% chance in our model, and it happened in 56% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.5 goals in total, with a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Manchester United vs Brighton?

Kick-off is on Wednesday, 16th September 2026 at 20:00 at Old Trafford, Manchester.

Who is the referee?

F. Hallam is in charge of this game.