Manchester City W vs Real Madrid W Prediction, H2H & Stats

World: UEFA Champions League Women · League Stage - 2
Manchester City W

Manchester City W

10th in table
WWDDW
Full time
1:1
HT 0 - 1
Real Madrid W

Real Madrid W

9th in table
LWWDW
29' Linda Caicedo
51' Khadija Shaw
Thursday, 1 October 2026
Manchester Regional Arena, Manchester
Silvia Gasperotti

Head to head

Last 3 meetings
3games
0Manchester City W wins
1Draws
2Real Madrid W wins
1.3Goals per game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
21 Aug 2022UEFA Champions League Women Manchester City W 0 - 1 Real Madrid W
08 Sep 2021UEFA Champions League Women Manchester City W 0 - 1 Real Madrid W
31 Aug 2021UEFA Champions League Women Real Madrid W 1 - 1 Manchester City W

UEFA Champions League Women table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Barcelona W 3300 19:2 +17 9 WWW
2 Lyon W 3210 14:0 +14 7 WDW
3 Arsenal W 3210 6:2 +4 7 WDW
4 Chelsea W 3210 3:0 +3 7 WDW
5 Juventus W 3201 8:3 +5 6 WWL
6 Paris Saint Germain W 3120 7:2 +5 5 DWD
7 Bayern Munich W 3120 7:4 +3 5 DWD
8 Inter Milano W 3111 2:7 -5 4 LDW
9 Real Madrid W 3030 4:4 0 3 DDD
10 Manchester City W 3030 4:4 0 3 DDD
11 Køge W 3102 5:10 -5 3 LWL
12 SL Benfica W 3102 2:7 -5 3 LLW
13 Servette Chênois W 3102 6:14 -8 3 WLL
14 Paris FC W 3021 5:8 -3 2 DDL
15 Austria Wien W 3012 2:6 -4 1 LDL
16 Häcken W 3012 1:5 -4 1 DLL
17 Roma W 3012 0:8 -8 1 LLD
18 OH Leuven W 3012 1:10 -9 1 LLD

Recent form

6 W 4 D 0 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026FA WSL London City Lionesses W 1 - 2 Manchester City W W
29 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Women Manchester City W 1 - 1 Paris Saint Germain W D
25 Oct 2026FA WSL Manchester United W 1 - 1 Manchester City W D
18 Oct 2026FA WSL Manchester City W 3 - 2 Brighton W W
04 Oct 2026FA WSL Manchester City W 4 - 2 Arsenal W W
01 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Women Manchester City W 1 - 1 Real Madrid W D
26 Sep 2026FA WSL Charlton Athletic W 0 - 1 Manchester City W W
22 Sep 2026UEFA Champions League Women Bayern Munich W 2 - 2 Manchester City W D
18 Sep 2026FA WSL Manchester City W 4 - 2 Liverpool W W
13 Sep 2026FA WSL Aston Villa W 1 - 4 Manchester City W W
6 W 3 D 1 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Primera División Femenina Sevilla W 1 - 3 Real Madrid W W
28 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Women Bayern Munich W 2 - 2 Real Madrid W D
24 Oct 2026Primera División Femenina Real Madrid W 3 - 2 Granad. Tenerife W W
17 Oct 2026Primera División Femenina Real Madrid W 3 - 1 Espanyol W W
04 Oct 2026Primera División Femenina Barcelona W 7 - 0 Real Madrid W L
01 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Women Manchester City W 1 - 1 Real Madrid W D
26 Sep 2026Primera División Femenina Real Sociedad W 3 - 5 Real Madrid W W
22 Sep 2026UEFA Champions League Women Real Madrid W 1 - 1 Paris Saint Germain W D
19 Sep 2026Primera División Femenina Real Madrid W 3 - 1 Valencia W W
11 Sep 2026Primera División Femenina Deportivo de La Coruña W 0 - 2 Real Madrid W W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Manchester City W Draw Real Madrid W
Value spotted: Real Madrid W win at 4.64 (model 52% vs market 21%)

Most likely scores

1-1 9.5%
1-2 9.5%
0-1 7%
0-2 7%
2-1 6.4%
2-2 6.4%

Expected goals: 1.35 Manchester City W · 2 Real Madrid W

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals65%
Over 3.5 goals43%
Both teams score64%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
13%
Form
88%
29%
Attack
71%
50%
Defence
50%
0%
Goal model
0%
13%
Head to head
88%
25%
Goals
75%
26%
Overall
74%

Season numbers

UEFA Champions League Women 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
0
1
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
0
Manchester City W Real Madrid W

Side by side

Manchester City W Real Madrid W
1 Played 3
0 Won 2
1 Drawn 1
0 Lost 0
2 Goals scored per game 1.7
2 Goals conceded per game 0.7
0 / 2 Scored per game (home / away) 1.5 / 2
0 Clean sheets 1
0 Failed to score 0
0 Longest winning run 2
- Biggest win 2-1
- Biggest defeat -
0/1 Penalties scored 0/0

Manchester City W vs Real Madrid W: preview and prediction

Manchester City W host Real Madrid W in the World UEFA Champions League Women (League Stage - 2) on Thursday, 1st October 2026 at 20:00 at Manchester Regional Arena, Manchester. Manchester City W sit 10th in the table and Real Madrid W 9th.

Manchester City W are in good shape, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-D-D-W). Real Madrid W are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (L-W-W-D-W).

In the last 3 meetings, Manchester City W won 0, Real Madrid W won 2 and 1 ended level. These games average 1.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% and over 2.5 goals in 0%.

Our goal model expects about 1.35 goals for Manchester City W and 2 for Real Madrid W. It gives Real Madrid W the edge (26% home win, 22% draw, 52% away win), 65% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Over 2.5 at odds of 1.57. We also like Over 0.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Manchester City W vs Real Madrid W FAQs

What is the best prediction for Manchester City W vs Real Madrid W?

Our top tip is Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5 (1.57 odds).

Who will win Manchester City W vs Real Madrid W?

Real Madrid W are favourites: our model gives Manchester City W 26%, the draw 22% and Real Madrid W 52%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 64% chance in our model, and it happened in 33% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.4 goals in total, with a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Manchester City W vs Real Madrid W?

Kick-off is on Thursday, 1st October 2026 at 20:00 at Manchester Regional Arena, Manchester.

Who is the referee?

Silvia Gasperotti is in charge of this game.