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Malmo FF vs Sirius Prediction, H2H & Stats

Sweden: Allsvenskan · Regular Season - 4
Malmo FF

Malmo FF

7th in table
WWLDW
Full time
2:3
HT 0 - 1
Sirius

Sirius

1st in table
WDWDL
13' M. Soumah
45+3' Otto Rosengren
45+3' Joakim Persson
55' S. Haksabanovic
60' I. Bjerkebo
65' Adrian Skogmar
65' R. Ure
77' A. Skogmar
89' Neo Jönsson
Thursday, 23 April 2026
Eleda Stadion, Malmö
Kristoffer Karlsson, Sweden

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
4Malmo FF wins
1Draws
3Sirius wins
3.8Goals per game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
05 Oct 2025Allsvenskan Sirius 5 - 1 Malmo FF
18 Apr 2025Allsvenskan Malmo FF 1 - 1 Sirius
27 Jul 2024Allsvenskan Malmo FF 0 - 1 Sirius
19 Jul 2024Allsvenskan Sirius 3 - 4 Malmo FF
28 Aug 2023Allsvenskan Sirius 1 - 3 Malmo FF
01 Jul 2023Allsvenskan Malmo FF 3 - 0 Sirius
07 Aug 2022Allsvenskan Sirius 2 - 1 Malmo FF
23 Jul 2022Allsvenskan Malmo FF 3 - 1 Sirius

Allsvenskan table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Sirius 251744 56:32 +24 55 LDWWW
2 Hammarby FF 251546 52:21 +31 49 WWLWW
3 Djurgardens IF 261547 53:24 +29 49 DDWWL
4 BK Hacken 2612104 47:30 +17 46 DWWWW
5 IF Elfsborg 2611105 39:26 +13 43 DDDWW
6 Vasteras SK FK 261259 39:38 +1 41 WLWLW
7 Malmo FF 2612410 41:34 +7 40 WDLWL
8 AIK Stockholm 261088 42:45 -3 38 DWDLL
9 IFK Goteborg 261088 36:45 -9 38 DDDWW
10 IF Brommapojkarna 269710 39:43 -4 34 DWLWL
11 Gais 258710 31:26 +5 31 DLLWL
12 Mjallby AIF 255812 28:42 -14 23 LLDLD
13 Kalmar FF 256415 23:41 -18 22 LWLLL
14 Degerfors IF 265516 21:44 -23 20 LLLDL
15 Orgryte IS 254714 31:56 -25 19 DWLLL
16 Halmstad 264517 18:49 -31 17 LWLLW

Top scorers

Allsvenskan
1 K. LienDjurgardens IF 16goals 6assists 26apps
2 R. UreSirius 15goals 2assists 15apps
3 P. AbrahamHammarby FF 14goals 3assists 25apps
4 I. BjerkeboSirius 14goals 6assists 25apps
5 G. LindgrenBK Hacken 13goals 1assists 26apps
6 Bo Åsulv HeglandDjurgardens IF 11goals 15assists 26apps
7 E. BotheimMalmo FF 10goals 3assists 19apps
8 A. TaonsaVasteras SK FK 10goals 1assists 24apps
9 J. HoveAIK Stockholm 10goals 3assists 24apps
10 Julius LindbergBK Hacken 9goals 8assists 24apps

Recent form

6 W 2 D 2 L in the last 10
28 Oct 2026Allsvenskan Halmstad 0 - 3 Malmo FF W
23 Oct 2026Allsvenskan IF Elfsborg 0 - 0 Malmo FF D
18 Oct 2026Allsvenskan Malmo FF 0 - 1 BK Hacken L
12 Oct 2026Allsvenskan Malmo FF 1 - 0 Kalmar FF W
03 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Malmo FF 3 - 0 FC Nordsjaelland W
19 Sep 2026Allsvenskan Vasteras SK FK 2 - 0 Malmo FF L
13 Sep 2026Allsvenskan Malmo FF 4 - 1 Orgryte IS W
07 Sep 2026Allsvenskan Malmo FF 0 - 0 AIK Stockholm D
31 Aug 2026Allsvenskan Sirius 0 - 1 Malmo FF W
27 Aug 2026Svenska Cupen Lindo FF 1 - 5 Malmo FF W
5 W 2 D 2 L in the last 9
24 Oct 2026Allsvenskan Sirius 1 - 2 AIK Stockholm L
18 Oct 2026Allsvenskan Sirius 2 - 2 IF Elfsborg D
10 Oct 2026Allsvenskan Gais 0 - 1 Sirius W
02 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Brondby 1 - 1 Sirius D
19 Sep 2026Allsvenskan Orgryte IS 1 - 2 Sirius W
14 Sep 2026Allsvenskan Sirius 2 - 0 Degerfors IF W
05 Sep 2026Allsvenskan Vasteras SK FK 0 - 1 Sirius W
31 Aug 2026Allsvenskan Sirius 0 - 1 Malmo FF L
26 Aug 2026Svenska Cupen Friska Viljor 0 - 2 Sirius W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Malmo FF Draw Sirius
Value spotted: Sirius win at 2.63 (model 46% vs market 35%)

Most likely scores

1-1 8.6%
1-2 8.6%
2-1 7.1%
2-2 7.1%
1-3 5.7%
0-1 5.2%

Expected goals: 1.65 Malmo FF · 2 Sirius

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals88%
Over 2.5 goals70%
Over 3.5 goals49%
Both teams score70%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
44%
Form
56%
36%
Attack
64%
33%
Defence
67%
0%
Goal model
100%
50%
Head to head
50%
45%
Goals
55%
41%
Overall
58%

Season numbers

Allsvenskan 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
2
1
16-30'
0
2
31-45'
2
0
46-60'
1
2
61-75'
2
0
76-90'
2
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
0
Malmo FF Sirius

Side by side

Malmo FF Sirius
3 Played 3
2 Won 3
1 Drawn 0
0 Lost 0
1.7 Goals scored per game 3
0.7 Goals conceded per game 0.3
3 / 1 Scored per game (home / away) 3 / 3
1 Clean sheets 2
0 Failed to score 0
0 Longest winning run 3
3-1 Biggest win 4-1
- Biggest defeat -
0/0 Penalties scored 3/3

Malmo FF vs Sirius: preview and prediction

Malmo FF host Sirius in the Sweden Allsvenskan (Regular Season - 4) on Thursday, 23rd April 2026 at 18:00 at Eleda Stadion, Malmö. Malmo FF sit 7th in the table and Sirius 1st.

Malmo FF are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-W-L-D-W). Sirius have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-D-W-D-L).

In the last 8 meetings, Malmo FF won 4, Sirius won 3 and 1 ended level. These games average 3.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% and over 2.5 goals in 75%.

Our goal model expects about 1.65 goals for Malmo FF and 2 for Sirius. It gives Sirius the edge (32% home win, 21% draw, 46% away win), 70% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.49.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Malmo FF vs Sirius FAQs

What is the best prediction for Malmo FF vs Sirius?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.49 odds).

Who will win Malmo FF vs Sirius?

Sirius are favourites: our model gives Malmo FF 32%, the draw 21% and Sirius 46%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 70% chance in our model, and it happened in 75% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.7 goals in total, with a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Malmo FF vs Sirius?

Kick-off is on Thursday, 23rd April 2026 at 18:00 at Eleda Stadion, Malmö.

Who is the referee?

Kristoffer Karlsson, Sweden is in charge of this game.