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Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus Prediction, H2H & Stats

Japan: J1 League · 5th place
Machida Zelvia

Machida Zelvia

3rd in table
WWDWD
Full time
2:1
HT 0 - 0
Nagoya Grampus

Nagoya Grampus

WDDLL
1' Gen Shoji
17' Yudai Kimura
55' Erik
58' Hiroyuki Mae
84' Tomoki Takamine
90+8' Tomoki Takamine
90+8' Tomoki Takamine
93' K. Nagai
100' Y. Nakayama
113' H. Shimoda
Saturday, 6 June 2026
Machida GION Stadium, Machida
K. Takasaki

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
5Machida Zelvia wins
1Draws
2Nagoya Grampus wins
3Goals per game
63%Both scored
63%Over 2.5
30 May 2026J1 League Nagoya Grampus 2 - 2 Machida Zelvia
30 Nov 2025J1 League Machida Zelvia 3 - 1 Nagoya Grampus
02 Mar 2025J1 League Nagoya Grampus 1 - 2 Machida Zelvia
06 Jul 2024J1 League Machida Zelvia 1 - 0 Nagoya Grampus
02 Mar 2024J1 League Nagoya Grampus 0 - 1 Machida Zelvia
16 Aug 2017J2 League Machida Zelvia 3 - 4 Nagoya Grampus
17 May 2017J2 League Nagoya Grampus 2 - 1 Machida Zelvia
09 Sep 2015Emperor Cup Nagoya Grampus 0 - 1 Machida Zelvia

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Kashima 181503 31:11 +20 45
2 FC Tokyo 181305 32:18 +14 37
3 Machida Zelvia 181305 28:22 +6 37
4 Kawasaki Frontale 181008 26:28 -2 28
5 Tokyo Verdy 181008 22:26 -4 28
6 Urawa 187011 25:22 +3 25
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 186012 28:31 -3 20
8 Kashiwa Reysol 187011 22:24 -2 20
9 Mito Hollyhock 186012 23:39 -16 18
10 JEF United Chiba 183015 18:34 -16 12

Top scorers

J1 League
1 K. TanimuraYokohama F. Marinos 10goals 2assists 19apps
2 Y. YamagishiNagoya Grampus 10goals 0assists 19apps
3 Léo CearáKashima 10goals 3assists 20apps
4 Y. KimuraNagoya Grampus 9goals 2assists 20apps
5 ErikMachida Zelvia 8goals 0assists 18apps
6 D. HümmetGamba Osaka 8goals 0assists 18apps
7 S. SakuragawaCerezo Osaka 8goals 1assists 20apps
8 Matheus JesusV-varen Nagasaki 7goals 4assists 18apps
9 Oh Se-HunShimizu S-pulse 7goals 1assists 19apps
10 ErisonKawasaki Frontale 7goals 0assists 16apps

Recent form

6 W 3 D 1 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026J1 League Machida Zelvia 0 - 0 Gamba Osaka D
29 Oct 2026AFC Champions League Two Shanghai Shenhua 0 - 1 Machida Zelvia W
24 Oct 2026J1 League Vissel Kobe 0 - 0 Machida Zelvia D
21 Oct 2026J1 League Shimizu S-pulse 0 - 5 Machida Zelvia W
18 Oct 2026J1 League Machida Zelvia 3 - 0 Avispa Fukuoka W
15 Oct 2026AFC Champions League Two Tampines Rovers 0 - 1 Machida Zelvia W
10 Oct 2026J1 League Kyoto Sanga 0 - 1 Machida Zelvia W
03 Oct 2026J-League Cup Machida Zelvia 0 - 0 Kyoto Sanga D
23 Sep 2026Emperor Cup Machida Zelvia 2 - 1 Tochigi City W
20 Sep 2026J1 League Machida Zelvia 2 - 4 Kashiwa Reysol L
3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026J1 League Vissel Kobe 3 - 1 Nagoya Grampus L
28 Oct 2026J-League Cup Nagoya Grampus 1 - 2 Urawa L
25 Oct 2026J1 League Nagoya Grampus 1 - 1 Yokohama F. Marinos D
21 Oct 2026J1 League Nagoya Grampus 1 - 1 Cerezo Osaka D
17 Oct 2026J1 League Kashiwa Reysol 1 - 3 Nagoya Grampus W
14 Oct 2026J-League Cup Nagoya Grampus 3 - 3 Fagiano Okayama D
11 Oct 2026J1 League Kawasaki Frontale 1 - 2 Nagoya Grampus W
29 Sep 2026J-League Cup Kitakyushu 1 - 3 Nagoya Grampus W
19 Sep 2026J1 League FC Tokyo 1 - 0 Nagoya Grampus L
12 Sep 2026J1 League V-varen Nagasaki 2 - 0 Nagoya Grampus L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Machida Zelvia Draw Nagoya Grampus
Value spotted: Nagoya Grampus win at 3.48 (model 34% vs market 27%)

Most likely scores

1-1 10.4%
2-1 8.8%
1-2 7.8%
1-0 6.9%
2-2 6.6%
0-1 6.1%

Expected goals: 1.7 Machida Zelvia · 1.5 Nagoya Grampus

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Over 3.5 goals40%
Both teams score63%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
59%
Form
41%
41%
Attack
59%
76%
Defence
24%
54%
Goal model
46%
93%
Head to head
7%
69%
Goals
31%
65%
Overall
34%

Season numbers

J1 League 2026

When the goals come

5
0-15'
5
4
16-30'
4
6
31-45'
6
4
46-60'
6
4
61-75'
5
3
76-90'
7
2
0-15'
3
1
16-30'
4
4
31-45'
4
3
46-60'
6
3
61-75'
1
7
76-90'
12
Machida Zelvia Nagoya Grampus

Side by side

Machida Zelvia Nagoya Grampus
19 Played 19
13 Won 10
1 Drawn 1
5 Lost 8
1.6 Goals scored per game 1.8
1.3 Goals conceded per game 1.7
1.3 / 1.8 Scored per game (home / away) 1.8 / 1.9
7 Clean sheets 5
2 Failed to score 1
3 Longest winning run 3
2-0 Biggest win 3-0
0-3 Biggest defeat 0-3
1/1 Penalties scored 0/0

Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus: preview and prediction

Machida Zelvia host Nagoya Grampus in the Japan J1 League (5th place) on Saturday, 6th June 2026 at 07:00 at Machida GION Stadium, Machida.

Machida Zelvia are in good shape, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-D-W-D). Nagoya Grampus have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-D-D-L-L).

In the last 8 meetings, Machida Zelvia won 5, Nagoya Grampus won 2 and 1 ended level. These games average 3 goals, with both teams scoring in 63% and over 2.5 goals in 63%.

Our goal model expects about 1.7 goals for Machida Zelvia and 1.5 for Nagoya Grampus. It gives Machida Zelvia the edge (43% home win, 23% draw, 34% away win), 62% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.28. We also like Under 2.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus FAQs

What is the best prediction for Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.28 odds).

Who will win Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus?

Machida Zelvia are favourites: our model gives Machida Zelvia 43%, the draw 23% and Nagoya Grampus 34%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 63% chance in our model, and it happened in 63% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.2 goals in total, with a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 6th June 2026 at 07:00 at Machida GION Stadium, Machida.

Who is the referee?

K. Takasaki is in charge of this game.