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Macarthur vs Central Coast Mariners Prediction, H2H & Stats

Australia: A-League · Regular Season - 20
Macarthur

Macarthur

7th in table
LLWWD
Full time
1:3
HT 0 - 1
Central Coast Mariners

Central Coast Mariners

9th in table
LDLLL
26' Luke Vickery
37' A. McCalmont (Penalty)
45+3' Ali Auglah
48' Anthony Caceres
58' Nathan Paull
65' B. Brandtman
67' A. Caceres
68' Tomislav Uskok
77' Alex Robinson
84' N. Blair
Wednesday, 4 March 2026
Campbelltown Stadium, Sydney
S. Kelly

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
2Macarthur wins
3Draws
4Central Coast Mariners wins
3.6Goals per game
89%Both scored
78%Over 2.5
18 Jan 2026A-League Central Coast Mariners 1 - 1 Macarthur
20 Apr 2025A-League Central Coast Mariners 2 - 2 Macarthur
23 Dec 2024A-League Macarthur 1 - 1 Central Coast Mariners
10 Mar 2024A-League Macarthur 0 - 3 Central Coast Mariners
22 Feb 2024AFC Champions League Two Macarthur 2 - 3 Central Coast Mariners
29 Oct 2023A-League Central Coast Mariners 1 - 2 Macarthur
11 Mar 2023A-League Central Coast Mariners 4 - 1 Macarthur
13 Jan 2023A-League Macarthur 1 - 2 Central Coast Mariners
13 Nov 2022A-League Central Coast Mariners 2 - 3 Macarthur

A-League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Newcastle Jets 261538 55:39 +16 48 WDDLW
2 Adelaide United 261277 46:36 +10 43 WWDDW
3 Auckland 261196 42:29 +13 42 DLDDL
4 Melbourne Victory 261178 44:33 +11 40 WDDLW
5 Sydney 261169 33:25 +8 39 DDWDL
6 Melbourne City 261088 33:33 0 38 LWWWW
7 Macarthur 269710 37:44 -7 34 WLLWW
8 Wellington Phoenix 269611 36:48 -12 33 LWLWW
9 Central Coast Mariners 268810 35:42 -7 32 LWDLD
10 Perth Glory 268711 32:39 -7 31 WDWDD
11 Brisbane Roar 266812 27:36 -9 26 LLDDL
12 Western Sydney Wanderers 265615 27:43 -16 21 LLLLL

Top scorers

A-League
1 S. CosgroveAuckland 12goals 4assists 29apps
2 L. JovanovićAdelaide United 11goals 3assists 24apps
3 E. AdamsNewcastle Jets 10goals 4assists 23apps
4 J. RandallAuckland 9goals 8assists 30apps
5 C. TaylorNewcastle Jets 9goals 3assists 23apps
6 L. BrookAuckland 9goals 2assists 30apps
7 I. EzeWellington Phoenix 9goals 1assists 25apps
8 M. CaputoMelbourne City 8goals 1assists 27apps
9 L. RoseNewcastle Jets 8goals 1assists 26apps
10 X. BertoncelloNewcastle Jets 7goals 1assists 27apps

Recent form

4 W 1 D 5 L in the last 10
11 Aug 2026Australia Cup SD Raiders 1 - 1 Macarthur D
22 Jul 2026Australia Cup Uni Azzurri 0 - 3 Macarthur W
24 Apr 2026A-League Macarthur 4 - 0 Wellington Phoenix W
19 Apr 2026A-League Adelaide United 3 - 1 Macarthur L
12 Apr 2026A-League Perth Glory 3 - 1 Macarthur L
02 Apr 2026A-League Macarthur 3 - 2 Newcastle Jets W
21 Mar 2026A-League Auckland 1 - 2 Macarthur W
15 Mar 2026A-League Melbourne Victory 4 - 1 Macarthur L
04 Mar 2026A-League Macarthur 1 - 3 Central Coast Mariners L
28 Feb 2026A-League Macarthur 0 - 4 Western Sydney Wanderers L
1 W 3 D 6 L in the last 10
26 Sep 2026Friendlies Clubs Western Sydney Wanderers 5 - 1 Central Coast Mariners L
12 Sep 2026Friendlies Clubs Vanuatu United 1 - 0 Central Coast Mariners L
09 Sep 2026Friendlies Clubs Vanuatu United 3 - 2 Central Coast Mariners L
22 Jul 2026Australia Cup Sydney United 1 - 1 Central Coast Mariners D
25 Apr 2026A-League Newcastle Jets 4 - 0 Central Coast Mariners L
19 Apr 2026A-League Auckland 0 - 1 Central Coast Mariners W
10 Apr 2026A-League Central Coast Mariners 2 - 2 Brisbane Roar D
07 Apr 2026A-League Melbourne City 2 - 1 Central Coast Mariners L
04 Apr 2026A-League Central Coast Mariners 2 - 2 Perth Glory D
21 Mar 2026A-League Melbourne Victory 4 - 1 Central Coast Mariners L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Macarthur Draw Central Coast Mariners
Value spotted: Central Coast Mariners win at 5.11 (model 38% vs market 19%)

Most likely scores

1-1 10.4%
1-2 8.3%
2-1 8.3%
2-2 6.7%
0-1 6.5%
1-0 6.5%

Expected goals: 1.6 Macarthur · 1.6 Central Coast Mariners

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Over 3.5 goals40%
Both teams score64%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
31%
Form
69%
53%
Attack
47%
33%
Defence
67%
46%
Goal model
54%
25%
Head to head
75%
38%
Goals
63%
37%
Overall
62%

Season numbers

A-League 2025

When the goals come

5
0-15'
3
0
16-30'
5
4
31-45'
5
2
46-60'
4
9
61-75'
0
3
76-90'
6
1
0-15'
6
3
16-30'
5
8
31-45'
4
5
46-60'
6
4
61-75'
3
8
76-90'
3
Macarthur Central Coast Mariners

Side by side

Macarthur Central Coast Mariners
19 Played 18
6 Won 6
7 Drawn 5
6 Lost 7
1.3 Goals scored per game 1.3
1.5 Goals conceded per game 1.4
1.4 / 1.1 Scored per game (home / away) 1.2 / 1.5
3 Clean sheets 5
7 Failed to score 4
2 Longest winning run 3
6-2 Biggest win 3-2
0-4 Biggest defeat 1-2
2/2 Penalties scored 3/3

Macarthur vs Central Coast Mariners: preview and prediction

Macarthur host Central Coast Mariners in the Australia A-League (Regular Season - 20) on Wednesday, 4th March 2026 at 09:00 at Campbelltown Stadium, Sydney. Macarthur sit 7th in the table and Central Coast Mariners 9th.

Macarthur have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-W-W-D). Central Coast Mariners are struggling, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-D-L-L-L).

In the last 9 meetings, Macarthur won 2, Central Coast Mariners won 4 and 3 ended level. These games average 3.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 89% and over 2.5 goals in 78%.

Our goal model expects about 1.6 goals for Macarthur and 1.6 for Central Coast Mariners. It gives Macarthur the edge (38% home win, 23% draw, 38% away win), 62% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Away Win at odds of 5.11.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Macarthur vs Central Coast Mariners FAQs

What is the best prediction for Macarthur vs Central Coast Mariners?

Our top tip is Away Win: Away Win (5.11 odds).

Who will win Macarthur vs Central Coast Mariners?

It looks very close: our model gives Macarthur 38%, the draw 23% and Central Coast Mariners 38%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 64% chance in our model, and it happened in 89% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.2 goals in total, with a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Macarthur vs Central Coast Mariners?

Kick-off is on Wednesday, 4th March 2026 at 09:00 at Campbelltown Stadium, Sydney.

Who is the referee?

S. Kelly is in charge of this game.