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Luxembourg vs Italy Prediction, H2H & Stats

World: Friendlies · Friendly International
Luxembourg

Luxembourg

WWLLL
Full time
0:1
HT 0 - 0
Italy

Italy

WLWDW
49' F. Esposito
51' Luca Lipani
90+3' Dirk Carlson
Wednesday, 3 June 2026
Stade de Luxembourg, Luxembourg
Joey Kooij, Netherlands

Top scorers

Friendlies
1 M. OsmajićMontenegro 5goals 0assists 4apps
2 Son Heung-MinSouth Korea 5goals 0assists 8apps
3 L. SadulaevRussia 4goals 1assists 7apps
4 J. VélezPeru 4goals 0assists 8apps
5 D. LukebakioBelgium 4goals 0assists 3apps
6 F. WirtzGermany 3goals 2assists 4apps
7 N. PazArgentina 3goals 1assists 6apps
8 M. AraújoUruguay 3goals 1assists 5apps
9 J. HallUSA 3goals 1assists 4apps
10 M. OliseFrance 3goals 1assists 4apps

Recent form

4 W 0 D 6 L in the last 10
06 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Luxembourg 0 - 2 Bulgaria L
03 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Estonia 1 - 0 Luxembourg L
29 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Luxembourg 0 - 3 Iceland L
26 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Bulgaria 1 - 2 Luxembourg W
06 Jun 2026Friendlies Albania 0 - 1 Luxembourg W
03 Jun 2026Friendlies Luxembourg 0 - 1 Italy L
31 Mar 2026UEFA Nations League Luxembourg 3 - 0 Malta W
26 Mar 2026UEFA Nations League Malta 0 - 2 Luxembourg W
17 Nov 2025World Cup - Qualification Europe Northern Ireland 1 - 0 Luxembourg L
14 Nov 2025World Cup - Qualification Europe Luxembourg 0 - 2 Germany L
6 W 2 D 2 L in the last 10
05 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Italy 3 - 1 Türkiye W
02 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League France 1 - 1 Italy D
28 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Türkiye 1 - 4 Italy W
25 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Italy 0 - 2 Belgium L
07 Jun 2026Friendlies Greece 0 - 1 Italy W
03 Jun 2026Friendlies Luxembourg 0 - 1 Italy W
31 Mar 2026World Cup - Qualification Europe Bosnia & Herzegovina 1 - 1 Italy D
26 Mar 2026World Cup - Qualification Europe Italy 2 - 0 Northern Ireland W
16 Nov 2025World Cup - Qualification Europe Italy 1 - 4 Norway L
13 Nov 2025World Cup - Qualification Europe Moldova 0 - 2 Italy W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Luxembourg Draw Italy
Value spotted: Luxembourg win at 6.05 (model 44% vs market 16%)

Most likely scores

1-1 12.6%
1-0 11.5%
0-1 9%
2-1 8.8%
0-0 8.2%
2-0 8%

Expected goals: 1.4 Luxembourg · 1.1 Italy

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Both teams score50%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
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Defence
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Head to head
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Luxembourg vs Italy: preview and prediction

Luxembourg host Italy in the World Friendlies (Friendly International) on Wednesday, 3rd June 2026 at 19:45 at Stade de Luxembourg, Luxembourg.

Luxembourg are struggling, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-L-L-L). Italy are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-L-W-D-W).

Our goal model expects about 1.4 goals for Luxembourg and 1.1 for Italy. It gives Luxembourg the edge (44% home win, 27% draw, 30% away win), 46% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Away Wins Either Half. We also like Draw No Bet: Away.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Luxembourg vs Italy FAQs

What is the best prediction for Luxembourg vs Italy?

Our top tip is Banker: Away Wins Either Half.

Who will win Luxembourg vs Italy?

Luxembourg are favourites: our model gives Luxembourg 44%, the draw 27% and Italy 30%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 50% chance in our model.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.5 goals in total, with a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Luxembourg vs Italy?

Kick-off is on Wednesday, 3rd June 2026 at 19:45 at Stade de Luxembourg, Luxembourg.

Who is the referee?

Joey Kooij, Netherlands is in charge of this game.