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Lugano vs Mercedes Prediction, H2H & Stats

Argentina: Primera C · Regular Season - 16
Lugano

Lugano

7th in table
DLLLL
Full time
1:0
HT 1 - 0
Mercedes

Mercedes

5th in table
WDWWL
33' P. Herrera
Sunday, 14 June 2026

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
3Lugano wins
3Draws
2Mercedes wins
2.4Goals per game
75%Both scored
63%Over 2.5
17 Aug 2025Primera C Lugano 0 - 1 Mercedes
02 May 2025Primera C Mercedes 1 - 1 Lugano
26 Oct 2024Primera C Mercedes 2 - 2 Lugano
27 May 2024Primera C Lugano 0 - 0 Mercedes
09 Oct 2023Primera D Mercedes 2 - 1 Lugano
02 Jul 2023Primera D Lugano 2 - 1 Mercedes
01 Apr 2023Primera D Lugano 2 - 1 Mercedes
09 Sep 2022Primera D Mercedes 1 - 2 Lugano

Primera C table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Berazategui 3213127 40:24 +16 51 WLWDW
2 Sacachispas 3214810 33:26 +7 50 WDLLL
3 Estrella Del Sur 3212128 33:30 +3 48 WDWDD
4 Centro Español 3212119 43:30 +13 47 LWWLD
5 Mercedes 3212119 31:24 +7 47 WDWWD
6 Victoriano Arenas 3211147 26:19 +7 47 WWDWL
7 Lugano 3211138 35:29 +6 46 LLDDD
8 Juventud Unida 3212911 39:33 +6 45 LWDWL
9 Puerto Nuevo 32101111 30:36 -6 41 WLLLL
10 Defensores de Cambaceres 329914 25:34 -9 36 LLLDW
11 JJ Urquiza 3271411 21:26 -5 35 WWLDD
12 Deportivo Paraguayo 3271114 23:41 -18 32 LDDWL
13 Leandro N. Alem 328717 30:58 -28 31 LLWLD
14 Argentino Rosario 3241513 30:42 -12 27 LWLDL

Recent form

2 W 4 D 4 L in the last 10
25 Oct 2026Primera C Canuelas 1 - 0 Lugano L
19 Oct 2026Primera C Lugano 0 - 1 Canuelas L
12 Oct 2026Primera C Mercedes 1 - 0 Lugano L
04 Oct 2026Primera C Lugano 2 - 3 Argentino Rosario L
26 Sep 2026Primera C Deportivo Paraguayo 1 - 1 Lugano D
20 Sep 2026Primera C Lugano 1 - 1 Estrella Del Sur D
12 Sep 2026Primera C Lugano 0 - 0 Leones de Rosario D
06 Sep 2026Primera C Puerto Nuevo 0 - 1 Lugano W
31 Aug 2026Primera C Lugano 1 - 1 Berazategui D
22 Aug 2026Primera C Leandro N. Alem 0 - 1 Lugano W
5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10
26 Oct 2026Primera C Leones de Rosario 1 - 0 Mercedes L
17 Oct 2026Primera C Mercedes 2 - 1 Leones de Rosario W
12 Oct 2026Primera C Mercedes 1 - 0 Lugano W
05 Oct 2026Primera C Deportivo Paraguayo 1 - 1 Mercedes D
25 Sep 2026Primera C Mercedes 1 - 0 Puerto Nuevo W
20 Sep 2026Primera C Leandro N. Alem 0 - 1 Mercedes W
10 Sep 2026Primera C Mercedes 1 - 1 Deportivo Español D
04 Sep 2026Primera C Mercedes 0 - 3 Defensores de Cambaceres L
30 Aug 2026Primera C Juventud Unida 4 - 1 Mercedes L
22 Aug 2026Primera C Mercedes 2 - 0 Sacachispas W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Lugano Draw Mercedes

Most likely scores

1-0 19%
0-0 16.5%
1-1 12.4%
2-0 10.9%
0-1 10.7%
2-1 7.1%

Expected goals: 1.15 Lugano · 0.65 Mercedes

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals54%
Over 2.5 goals27%
Over 3.5 goals11%
Both teams score33%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
50%
Form
50%
67%
Attack
33%
36%
Defence
64%
70%
Goal model
30%
25%
Head to head
75%
40%
Goals
60%
48%
Overall
52%

Season numbers

Primera C 2026

When the goals come

3
0-15'
0
3
16-30'
2
2
31-45'
0
5
46-60'
2
2
61-75'
1
4
76-90'
3
6
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
3
3
46-60'
4
2
61-75'
0
5
76-90'
2
Lugano Mercedes

Side by side

Lugano Mercedes
15 Played 15
4 Won 4
6 Drawn 7
5 Lost 4
1.3 Goals scored per game 0.7
1.1 Goals conceded per game 0.6
1.5 / 1.1 Scored per game (home / away) 0.7 / 0.6
7 Clean sheets 8
6 Failed to score 7
2 Longest winning run 2
3-0 Biggest win 2-0
1-2 Biggest defeat 0-2
0/0 Penalties scored 1/1

Lugano vs Mercedes: preview and prediction

Lugano host Mercedes in the Argentina Primera C (Regular Season - 16) on Sunday, 14th June 2026 at 19:30. Lugano sit 7th in the table and Mercedes 5th.

Lugano are struggling, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-L-L-L). Mercedes are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-D-W-W-L).

In the last 8 meetings, Lugano won 3, Mercedes won 2 and 3 ended level. These games average 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% and over 2.5 goals in 63%.

Our goal model expects about 1.15 goals for Lugano and 0.65 for Mercedes. It gives Lugano the edge (48% home win, 31% draw, 21% away win), 27% for over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.59. We also like Over 1.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Lugano vs Mercedes FAQs

What is the best prediction for Lugano vs Mercedes?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.59 odds).

Who will win Lugano vs Mercedes?

Lugano are favourites: our model gives Lugano 48%, the draw 31% and Mercedes 21%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 33% chance in our model, and it happened in 75% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 1.8 goals in total, with a 27% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Lugano vs Mercedes?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 14th June 2026 at 19:30.