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Lorient vs Toulouse Prediction, H2H & Stats

France: Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 4
Lorient

Lorient

11th in table
LWWDL
Full time
2:2
HT 2 - 0
Toulouse

Toulouse

12th in table
LDWDL
17' Panos Katseris
37' I. Balde
39' N. Mbamba
48' C. Tengstedt
69' T. Jorgensen
Saturday, 12 September 2026
Stade du Moustoir, Lorient
A. Petit

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
1Lorient wins
4Draws
4Toulouse wins
2.3Goals per game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
21 Mar 2026Ligue 1 Toulouse 1 - 0 Lorient
09 Nov 2025Ligue 1 Lorient 1 - 1 Toulouse
28 Apr 2024Ligue 1 Lorient 1 - 2 Toulouse
03 Dec 2023Ligue 1 Toulouse 1 - 1 Lorient
23 Apr 2023Ligue 1 Lorient 0 - 1 Toulouse
21 Aug 2022Ligue 1 Toulouse 2 - 2 Lorient
31 Oct 2018Coupe de la Ligue Toulouse 0 - 1 Lorient
08 Feb 2017Ligue 1 Lorient 1 - 1 Toulouse
10 Dec 2016Ligue 1 Toulouse 3 - 2 Lorient

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 9621 21:10 +11 20 WWWWW
2 Lille 9531 12:6 +6 18 WDDWL
3 Lyon 9522 15:7 +8 17 WLWLW
4 Paris FC 9522 16:10 +6 17 WLWLW
5 Rennes 9513 20:19 +1 16 LWLWL
6 Marseille 9504 20:13 +7 15 WWWWL
7 Monaco 9432 12:10 +2 15 LDLDW
8 Nice 9423 13:12 +1 14 WWLWW
9 Lens 9414 16:13 +3 13 LWWWL
10 Stade Brestois 29 9333 16:12 +4 12 WLDWL
11 Lorient 9333 7:8 -1 12 LDWWL
12 Toulouse 9243 12:13 -1 10 LDWDW
13 Strasbourg 9315 17:19 -2 10 WLLLL
14 Auxerre 9315 13:23 -10 10 LDWLW
15 Angers 9225 9:17 -8 8 LDLLW
16 Estac Troyes 9225 7:16 -9 8 WDLLL
17 Le Mans 9144 11:18 -7 7 LDLLW
18 Le Havre 9027 9:20 -11 2 LLLLL

Top scorers

Ligue 1
1 L. SinayokoParis FC 8goals 5assists 9apps
2 E. LepaulRennes 7goals 0assists 7apps
3 C. ArcherAuxerre 6goals 0assists 7apps
4 A. GouiriMarseille 6goals 3assists 9apps
5 E. WahiNice 6goals 2assists 8apps
6 C. TengstedtToulouse 5goals 1assists 7apps
7 Gessime YassineStrasbourg 4goals 3assists 9apps
8 Ferran TorresParis Saint Germain 4goals 1assists 9apps
9 L. AjorqueStade Brestois 29 4goals 1assists 9apps
10 S. SzymańskiRennes 4goals 1assists 7apps

Recent form

3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
02 Nov 2026Ligue 1 Lorient 0 - 2 Stade Brestois 29 L
25 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Angers 0 - 0 Lorient D
18 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Lorient 1 - 0 Monaco W
10 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Lorient 1 - 0 Paris FC W
19 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Le Mans 2 - 1 Lorient L
12 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Lorient 2 - 2 Toulouse D
05 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Lens 0 - 1 Lorient W
29 Aug 2026Ligue 1 Lorient 1 - 2 Estac Troyes L
22 Aug 2026Ligue 1 Nice 0 - 0 Lorient D
15 Aug 2026Friendlies Clubs SV Elversberg 4 - 1 Lorient L
2 W 4 D 4 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Ligue 1 Marseille 2 - 0 Toulouse L
25 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Toulouse 0 - 0 Estac Troyes D
16 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Le Mans 0 - 3 Toulouse W
10 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Monaco 2 - 2 Toulouse D
03 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Toulouse 2 - 3 PAU L
19 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Toulouse 3 - 2 Le Havre W
12 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Lorient 2 - 2 Toulouse D
03 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Toulouse 0 - 1 Lille L
29 Aug 2026Ligue 1 Stade Brestois 29 2 - 2 Toulouse D
22 Aug 2026Ligue 1 Toulouse 0 - 2 Lyon L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Lorient Draw Toulouse
Value spotted: Toulouse win at 2.88 (model 49% vs market 34%)

Most likely scores

1-1 9.1%
1-2 9.1%
2-1 6.8%
2-2 6.8%
1-3 6%
0-1 6%

Expected goals: 1.5 Lorient · 2 Toulouse

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals68%
Over 3.5 goals46%
Both teams score67%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
80%
Form
20%
50%
Attack
50%
71%
Defence
29%
34%
Goal model
66%
15%
Head to head
85%
33%
Goals
67%
47%
Overall
52%

Season numbers

Ligue 1 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
2
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
2
0
76-90'
2
Lorient Toulouse

Side by side

Lorient Toulouse
3 Played 3
1 Won 0
1 Drawn 1
1 Lost 2
0.7 Goals scored per game 0.7
0.7 Goals conceded per game 1.7
1 / 0.5 Scored per game (home / away) 0 / 2
2 Clean sheets 0
1 Failed to score 2
0 Longest winning run 0
0-1 Biggest win -
1-2 Biggest defeat 0-2
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

Lorient vs Toulouse: preview and prediction

Lorient host Toulouse in the France Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 4) on Saturday, 12th September 2026 at 19:45 at Stade du Moustoir, Lorient. Lorient sit 11th in the table and Toulouse 12th.

Lorient have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-W-D-L). Toulouse have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-D-W-D-L).

In the last 9 meetings, Lorient won 1, Toulouse won 4 and 4 ended level. These games average 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% and over 2.5 goals in 33%.

Our goal model expects about 1.5 goals for Lorient and 2 for Toulouse. It gives Toulouse the edge (29% home win, 22% draw, 49% away win), 68% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.54.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Lorient vs Toulouse FAQs

What is the best prediction for Lorient vs Toulouse?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.54 odds).

Who will win Lorient vs Toulouse?

Toulouse are favourites: our model gives Lorient 29%, the draw 22% and Toulouse 49%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 67% chance in our model, and it happened in 67% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.5 goals in total, with a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Lorient vs Toulouse?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 12th September 2026 at 19:45 at Stade du Moustoir, Lorient.

Who is the referee?

A. Petit is in charge of this game.