Longford Town vs UCD Prediction, H2H & Stats

Ireland: First Division · Regular Season - 22
Longford Town

Longford Town

5th in table
WWDDW
Full time
2:1
HT 0 - 1
UCD

UCD

2nd in table
LLWDW
22' C. Behan
41' T. Morley
50' P. Manuel
62' D. Williams
68' J. Hough
74' E. Clancy
77' D. Murtagh
85' S. Adenekan
90'
Saturday, 4 July 2026
Bishopsgate, Longford

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
0Longford Town wins
3Draws
5UCD wins
2.1Goals per game
50%Both scored
38%Over 2.5
01 May 2026First Division UCD 2 - 0 Longford Town
07 Mar 2026First Division Longford Town 0 - 0 UCD
12 Sep 2025First Division UCD 2 - 1 Longford Town
28 Jun 2025First Division Longford Town 0 - 2 UCD
09 May 2025First Division UCD 1 - 1 Longford Town
12 Apr 2025First Division Longford Town 0 - 1 UCD
18 Oct 2024First Division UCD 2 - 2 Longford Town
27 Jul 2024First Division Longford Town 1 - 2 UCD

First Division table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Cork City 362367 74:35 +39 75 DWLLW
2 UCD 3616812 67:51 +16 56 WDWLL
3 Bray Wanderers 3615912 67:53 +14 54 LDLWW
4 Kerry 36141012 45:41 +4 52 DWWWL
5 Longford Town 36141012 49:46 +3 52 WDDWW
6 Cobh Ramblers 3614715 46:54 -8 49 LLWDL
7 Athlone Town 3613914 42:43 -1 48 LLWDW
8 Wexford 3611916 44:58 -14 42 LDDLW
9 Treaty United 3611916 37:53 -16 42 WWLWL
10 Finn Harps 367722 33:70 -37 28 WLLLL

Recent form

4 W 3 D 3 L in the last 10
16 Oct 2026First Division Longford Town 1 - 0 Athlone Town W
09 Oct 2026First Division UCD 1 - 1 Longford Town D
02 Oct 2026First Division Wexford 3 - 3 Longford Town D
26 Sep 2026First Division Longford Town 2 - 1 Cork City W
18 Sep 2026First Division Finn Harps 0 - 1 Longford Town W
12 Sep 2026First Division Longford Town 0 - 2 Treaty United L
05 Sep 2026First Division Longford Town 0 - 1 Kerry FC L
28 Aug 2026First Division Cobh Ramblers 2 - 2 Longford Town D
22 Aug 2026First Division Longford Town 4 - 2 Bray Wanderers W
16 Aug 2026FAI Cup Bohemians 4 - 0 Longford Town L
3 W 4 D 3 L in the last 10
16 Oct 2026First Division Wexford 2 - 5 UCD W
09 Oct 2026First Division UCD 1 - 1 Longford Town D
02 Oct 2026First Division Treaty United 0 - 4 UCD W
25 Sep 2026First Division UCD 1 - 3 Bray Wanderers L
18 Sep 2026First Division Cork City 5 - 1 UCD L
11 Sep 2026First Division UCD 2 - 2 Athlone Town D
04 Sep 2026First Division Cobh Ramblers 1 - 1 UCD D
28 Aug 2026First Division UCD 5 - 4 Finn Harps W
21 Aug 2026First Division Kerry FC 1 - 1 UCD D
14 Aug 2026FAI Cup UCD 1 - 2 Derry City L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Longford Town Draw UCD
Value spotted: Longford Town win at 3.62 (model 32% vs market 25%)

Most likely scores

1-1 13.1%
0-1 11.9%
1-0 10.5%
0-0 9.5%
1-2 8.2%
0-2 7.5%

Expected goals: 1.1 Longford Town · 1.25 UCD

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals68%
Over 2.5 goals42%
Over 3.5 goals21%
Both teams score48%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
44%
Form
56%
53%
Attack
47%
21%
Defence
79%
37%
Goal model
63%
15%
Head to head
85%
22%
Goals
78%
32%
Overall
68%

Season numbers

First Division 2026

When the goals come

3
0-15'
4
3
16-30'
7
0
31-45'
5
3
46-60'
6
6
61-75'
5
6
76-90'
8
2
0-15'
4
2
16-30'
3
3
31-45'
4
6
46-60'
1
3
61-75'
4
10
76-90'
3
Longford Town UCD

Side by side

Longford Town UCD
21 Played 21
6 Won 11
7 Drawn 3
8 Lost 7
1 Goals scored per game 1.7
1.2 Goals conceded per game 0.9
1.1 / 0.9 Scored per game (home / away) 1.6 / 1.7
6 Clean sheets 10
7 Failed to score 4
2 Longest winning run 4
3-1 Biggest win 4-0
0-2 Biggest defeat 3-4
1/1 Penalties scored 1/1

Longford Town vs UCD: preview and prediction

Longford Town host UCD in the Ireland First Division (Regular Season - 22) on Saturday, 4th July 2026 at 19:30 at Bishopsgate, Longford. Longford Town sit 5th in the table and UCD 2nd.

Longford Town are in good shape, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-D-D-W). UCD have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-W-D-W).

In the last 8 meetings, Longford Town won 0, UCD won 5 and 3 ended level. These games average 2.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% and over 2.5 goals in 38%.

Our goal model expects about 1.1 goals for Longford Town and 1.25 for UCD. It gives UCD the edge (32% home win, 28% draw, 40% away win), 42% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.21. We also like Over 2.5, BTTS Yes, Draw.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Longford Town vs UCD FAQs

What is the best prediction for Longford Town vs UCD?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.21 odds).

Who will win Longford Town vs UCD?

UCD are favourites: our model gives Longford Town 32%, the draw 28% and UCD 40%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 48% chance in our model, and it happened in 50% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.4 goals in total, with a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Longford Town vs UCD?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 4th July 2026 at 19:30 at Bishopsgate, Longford.