Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali Prediction, H2H & Stats

Bulgaria: Cup · Semi-finals
Full time
1:1
HT 1 - 0
16' C. Itu
64' L. Kotev
72' A. Velev
74' D. Idowu
90'
Thursday, 30 April 2026
Stadion Lokomotiv, Plovdiv
L. Lyubomirov

Head to head

Last 4 meetings
4games
1Lokomotiv Plovdiv wins
2Draws
1Arda Kardzhali wins
2.5Goals per game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
22 Apr 2026Cup Arda Kardzhali 0 - 4 Lokomotiv Plovdiv
06 Dec 2025First League Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0 - 2 Arda Kardzhali
11 Aug 2025First League Arda Kardzhali 0 - 0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv
05 Jul 2025Friendlies Clubs Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2 - 2 Arda Kardzhali

Top scorers

Cup
1 Bruno JordãoCSKA Sofia 1goals 0assists 4apps
2 A. BourasLevski Sofia 1goals 0assists 3apps
3 S. DelevLokomotiv Sofia 1goals 0assists 1apps
4 A. ChindrişLokomotiv Plovdiv 0goals 0assists 5apps
5 Dinis AlmeidaLudogorets 0goals 0assists 4apps
6 PastorCSKA Sofia 0goals 0assists 4apps
7 Léo PereiraCSKA Sofia 0goals 0assists 4apps
8 M. SoulaLevski Sofia 0goals 0assists 2apps
9 D. SheytanovCSKA 1948 0goals 0assists 2apps
10 Giuio CharlovVitosha Bistritsa 0goals 0assists 2apps

Recent form

4 W 3 D 3 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026First League Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0 - 3 Ludogorets L
26 Oct 2026First League Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0 - 0 Slavia Sofia D
21 Oct 2026Pro Cup Cherno More Varna 0 - 1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv W
16 Oct 2026Cup Yantra 2019 0 - 2 Lokomotiv Plovdiv W
10 Oct 2026First League Lokomotiv Sofia 1 - 1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv D
02 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2 - 0 Arda Kardzhali W
20 Sep 2026First League Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1 - 1 CSKA Sofia D
13 Sep 2026First League Botev Plovdiv 2 - 0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv L
06 Sep 2026First League Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1 - 0 Cherno More Varna W
28 Aug 2026First League CSKA 1948 2 - 0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv L
4 W 2 D 4 L in the last 10
02 Nov 2026First League Arda Kardzhali 2 - 1 Septemvri Sofia W
27 Oct 2026First League Arda Kardzhali 1 - 1 Levski Sofia D
18 Oct 2026Cup Spartak Plovdiv 1 - 2 Arda Kardzhali W
12 Oct 2026First League Ludogorets 5 - 0 Arda Kardzhali L
02 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2 - 0 Arda Kardzhali L
19 Sep 2026First League Arda Kardzhali 1 - 1 Cherno More Varna D
12 Sep 2026First League CSKA Sofia 4 - 1 Arda Kardzhali L
04 Sep 2026First League Arda Kardzhali 2 - 3 Botev Plovdiv L
31 Aug 2026First League Arda Kardzhali 2 - 0 Botev Vratsa W
24 Aug 2026First League Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0 - 1 Arda Kardzhali W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Draw Arda Kardzhali
Value spotted: Lokomotiv Plovdiv win at 2.67 (model 44% vs market 35%)

Most likely scores

1-1 10.2%
2-1 8.9%
1-2 7.6%
1-0 6.8%
2-2 6.7%
2-0 5.9%

Expected goals: 1.75 Lokomotiv Plovdiv · 1.5 Arda Kardzhali

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals63%
Over 3.5 goals41%
Both teams score64%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
57%
Form
43%
58%
Attack
42%
88%
Defence
13%
100%
Goal model
0%
50%
Head to head
50%
60%
Goals
40%
62%
Overall
37%

Season numbers

Cup 2025

When the goals come

1
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
1
2
31-45'
2
2
46-60'
3
1
61-75'
1
2
76-90'
1
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
2
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
2
0
61-75'
1
2
76-90'
1
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Arda Kardzhali

Side by side

Lokomotiv Plovdiv Arda Kardzhali
4 Played 4
4 Won 3
0 Drawn 0
0 Lost 1
2.8 Goals scored per game 2
0.3 Goals conceded per game 1.8
2.5 / 3 Scored per game (home / away) 0 / 2.7
3 Clean sheets 1
0 Failed to score 1
4 Longest winning run 3
4-0 Biggest win 0-3
- Biggest defeat 0-4
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali: preview and prediction

Lokomotiv Plovdiv host Arda Kardzhali in the Bulgaria Cup (Semi-finals) on Thursday, 30th April 2026 at 17:00 at Stadion Lokomotiv, Plovdiv.

Lokomotiv Plovdiv have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-W-W-D-L). Arda Kardzhali have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-W-D-W).

In the last 4 meetings, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 1, Arda Kardzhali won 1 and 2 ended level. These games average 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% and over 2.5 goals in 50%.

Our goal model expects about 1.75 goals for Lokomotiv Plovdiv and 1.5 for Arda Kardzhali. It gives Lokomotiv Plovdiv the edge (44% home win, 23% draw, 33% away win), 63% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.41.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali FAQs

What is the best prediction for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.41 odds).

Who will win Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali?

Lokomotiv Plovdiv are favourites: our model gives Lokomotiv Plovdiv 44%, the draw 23% and Arda Kardzhali 33%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 64% chance in our model, and it happened in 25% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.3 goals in total, with a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali?

Kick-off is on Thursday, 30th April 2026 at 17:00 at Stadion Lokomotiv, Plovdiv.

Who is the referee?

L. Lyubomirov is in charge of this game.