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Livingston vs Stenhousemuir Prediction, H2H & Stats

Scotland: Championship · Regular Season - 5
Livingston

Livingston

4th in table
WDWLL
Full time
0:1
HT 0 - 1
Stenhousemuir

Stenhousemuir

1st in table
LWWWL
14' A. Shinnie
38' E. Danso
42' S. Culbert
44' S. Young
53' R. Muirhead
90+1' L. Polworth
Friday, 4 September 2026
The Home of the Set Fare Arena, Livingston
J. Wilkie

Head to head

Last 7 meetings
7games
6Livingston wins
1Draws
0Stenhousemuir wins
2.7Goals per game
29%Both scored
57%Over 2.5
25 Jul 2026League Cup Stenhousemuir 0 - 0 Livingston
21 Jan 2023FA Cup Stenhousemuir 1 - 3 Livingston
10 Nov 2020League Cup Stenhousemuir 0 - 4 Livingston
15 Apr 2017League One Stenhousemuir 0 - 1 Livingston
21 Mar 2017League One Livingston 1 - 0 Stenhousemuir
13 Dec 2016League One Stenhousemuir 0 - 4 Livingston
20 Aug 2016League One Livingston 4 - 1 Stenhousemuir

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Stenhousemuir 9711 12:4 +8 22 LWWWW
2 Raith Rovers 10622 15:6 +9 20 WWLDW
3 Partick 9531 10:3 +7 18 WWDLW
4 Livingston 10415 14:11 +3 13 LLWDW
5 Dunfermline 8341 7:5 +2 13 DWWDW
6 Inverness CT 10343 12:11 +1 13 LWWDW
7 Ayr Utd 10334 10:11 -1 12 DWLWL
8 Arbroath 10325 7:15 -8 11 LLWLL
9 Queen's Park 10217 6:16 -10 7 WLLLL
10 Morton 10118 7:18 -11 4 WLLLL

Recent form

4 W 1 D 5 L in the last 10
10 Oct 2026Championship Livingston 1 - 2 Partick L
03 Oct 2026Championship Livingston 1 - 2 Ayr Utd L
25 Sep 2026Championship Raith Rovers 0 - 2 Livingston W
19 Sep 2026Championship Livingston 2 - 2 Inverness CT D
11 Sep 2026Championship Morton 1 - 4 Livingston W
04 Sep 2026Championship Livingston 0 - 1 Stenhousemuir L
29 Aug 2026Championship Arbroath 1 - 0 Livingston L
22 Aug 2026Championship Livingston 2 - 0 Dunfermline W
07 Aug 2026Championship Partick 2 - 0 Livingston L
01 Aug 2026Championship Livingston 2 - 0 Queen's Park W
8 W 0 D 2 L in the last 10
10 Oct 2026Championship Inverness CT 2 - 0 Stenhousemuir L
25 Sep 2026Championship Ayr Utd 0 - 1 Stenhousemuir W
19 Sep 2026Championship Stenhousemuir 1 - 0 Arbroath W
15 Sep 2026Championship Stenhousemuir 1 - 0 Partick W
11 Sep 2026League Cup Stenhousemuir 0 - 3 Heart Of Midlothian L
04 Sep 2026Championship Livingston 0 - 1 Stenhousemuir W
29 Aug 2026Championship Stenhousemuir 3 - 1 Inverness CT W
22 Aug 2026Championship Queen's Park 0 - 2 Stenhousemuir W
16 Aug 2026League Cup Stenhousemuir 1 - 0 Motherwell W
08 Aug 2026Championship Stenhousemuir 2 - 0 Morton W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Livingston Draw Stenhousemuir
Value spotted: Draw at 4.10 (model 28% vs market 22%) · Stenhousemuir win at 7.60 (model 34% vs market 12%)

Most likely scores

1-1 13%
1-0 11.3%
0-1 10.4%
0-0 9.1%
2-1 8.2%
1-2 7.5%

Expected goals: 1.25 Livingston · 1.15 Stenhousemuir

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals69%
Over 2.5 goals43%
Over 3.5 goals22%
Both teams score49%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
38%
Form
63%
33%
Attack
67%
40%
Defence
60%
100%
Goal model
0%
80%
Head to head
20%
82%
Goals
18%
54%
Overall
45%

Season numbers

Championship 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
2
2
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
4
0
61-75'
0
2
76-90'
2
1
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
1
0
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0
Livingston Stenhousemuir

Side by side

Livingston Stenhousemuir
4 Played 4
2 Won 3
0 Drawn 1
2 Lost 0
1 Goals scored per game 2
0.8 Goals conceded per game 0.5
2 / 0 Scored per game (home / away) 2.5 / 1.5
2 Clean sheets 2
2 Failed to score 0
1 Longest winning run 0
2-0 Biggest win 3-1
2-0 Biggest defeat -
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

Livingston vs Stenhousemuir: preview and prediction

Livingston host Stenhousemuir in the Scotland Championship (Regular Season - 5) on Friday, 4th September 2026 at 19:30 at The Home of the Set Fare Arena, Livingston. Livingston sit 4th in the table and Stenhousemuir 1st.

Livingston have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-D-W-L-L). Stenhousemuir are in good shape, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-W-W-L).

In the last 7 meetings, Livingston won 6, Stenhousemuir won 0 and 1 ended level. These games average 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 29% and over 2.5 goals in 57%.

Our goal model expects about 1.25 goals for Livingston and 1.15 for Stenhousemuir. It gives Livingston the edge (39% home win, 28% draw, 34% away win), 43% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was BTTS No at odds of 1.81.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Livingston vs Stenhousemuir FAQs

What is the best prediction for Livingston vs Stenhousemuir?

Our top tip is Both Teams to Score: BTTS No (1.81 odds).

Who will win Livingston vs Stenhousemuir?

Livingston are favourites: our model gives Livingston 39%, the draw 28% and Stenhousemuir 34%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 49% chance in our model, and it happened in 29% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.4 goals in total, with a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Livingston vs Stenhousemuir?

Kick-off is on Friday, 4th September 2026 at 19:30 at The Home of the Set Fare Arena, Livingston.

Who is the referee?

J. Wilkie is in charge of this game.