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Linfield vs Dungannon Swifts Prediction, H2H & Stats

Northern-Ireland: Premiership · Final
Linfield

Linfield

4th in table
WDWWD
Full time
3:1
HT 1 - 0
Dungannon Swifts

Dungannon Swifts

6th in table
LDWLD
14' M. Fitzpatrick
61' J. Mulgrew
64' M. Fitzpatrick
70' M. Fitzpatrick
82' B. Hall
85' P. Doyle
87' K. Moore
90+3' K. Moore
Tuesday, 12 May 2026
Windsor Park, Belfast
T. Clarke

Head to head

Last 7 meetings
7games
6Linfield wins
1Draws
0Dungannon Swifts wins
3.3Goals per game
29%Both scored
71%Over 2.5
07 Apr 2026Premiership Dungannon Swifts 1 - 3 Linfield
17 Feb 2026Premiership Dungannon Swifts 1 - 4 Linfield
10 Feb 2026Premiership Linfield 6 - 0 Dungannon Swifts
10 Aug 2025Premiership Linfield 3 - 0 Dungannon Swifts
04 Jul 2025Charity Shield Linfield 0 - 0 Dungannon Swifts
12 Apr 2025Premiership Linfield 2 - 0 Dungannon Swifts
24 Mar 2025Premiership Dungannon Swifts 0 - 3 Linfield

Premiership table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Larne 332274 60:22 +38 73 WDWLW
2 Glentoran 332166 63:30 +33 69 LDWWD
3 Coleraine FC 332058 62:31 +31 65 WWWWW
4 Linfield 331887 56:24 +32 62 WLLLW
5 Cliftonville FC 3313812 49:48 +1 47 LWWLL
6 Dungannon Swifts 3315117 40:58 -18 46 LWWLL
7 Carrick Rangers 3312714 49:51 -2 43 LWWLD
8 Bangor 3310617 38:57 -19 36 LLDDD
9 Portadown 3311319 36:57 -21 36 WWLDD
10 Ballymena United 339717 39:50 -11 34 LLDWD
11 Crusaders FC 337521 38:72 -34 26 DWWWW
12 Glenavon FC 338124 33:63 -30 25 LLDDD

Top scorers

Premiership
1 Álex GorrínLinfield 0goals 0assists 7apps

Recent form

7 W 3 D 0 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Premiership Linfield 1 - 1 Dungannon Swifts D
23 Oct 2026Premiership Portadown 1 - 2 Linfield W
20 Oct 2026Premiership Larne 1 - 2 Linfield W
17 Oct 2026Premiership Carrick Rangers 2 - 2 Linfield D
10 Oct 2026Premiership Linfield 2 - 0 Bangor W
25 Sep 2026Premiership Coleraine FC 1 - 3 Linfield W
19 Sep 2026Premiership Linfield 1 - 0 Crusaders FC W
15 Sep 2026Premiership Portadown 1 - 1 Linfield D
12 Sep 2026Premiership Dungannon Swifts 0 - 1 Linfield W
05 Sep 2026Premiership Linfield 1 - 0 Carrick Rangers W
2 W 3 D 5 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Premiership Linfield 1 - 1 Dungannon Swifts D
24 Oct 2026Premiership Dungannon Swifts 1 - 3 Cliftonville FC L
20 Oct 2026League Cup Bangor 1 - 2 Dungannon Swifts W
17 Oct 2026Premiership Bangor 0 - 0 Dungannon Swifts D
10 Oct 2026Premiership Dungannon Swifts 2 - 4 Carrick Rangers L
03 Oct 2026Premiership Glentoran 2 - 0 Dungannon Swifts L
19 Sep 2026Premiership Dungannon Swifts 1 - 1 Ballymena United D
15 Sep 2026Premiership Crusaders FC 3 - 0 Dungannon Swifts L
12 Sep 2026Premiership Dungannon Swifts 0 - 1 Linfield L
05 Sep 2026Premiership Limavady United 0 - 2 Dungannon Swifts W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Linfield Draw Dungannon Swifts
Value spotted: Linfield win at 1.41 (model 71% vs market 65%)

Most likely scores

2-0 12.6%
1-0 11.2%
3-0 9.5%
2-1 9.5%
1-1 8.4%
3-1 7.1%

Expected goals: 2.25 Linfield · 0.75 Dungannon Swifts

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals57%
Over 3.5 goals35%
Both teams score47%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
40%
Form
60%
50%
Attack
50%
64%
Defence
36%
87%
Goal model
13%
93%
Head to head
7%
89%
Goals
11%
70%
Overall
29%

Season numbers

Premiership 2025

When the goals come

7
0-15'
9
8
16-30'
13
6
31-45'
7
12
46-60'
4
14
61-75'
6
11
76-90'
10
7
0-15'
9
5
16-30'
13
3
31-45'
14
8
46-60'
13
7
61-75'
18
6
76-90'
10
Linfield Dungannon Swifts

Side by side

Linfield Dungannon Swifts
38 Played 40
19 Won 17
9 Drawn 1
10 Lost 22
1.6 Goals scored per game 1.2
0.9 Goals conceded per game 2
2.1 / 1.2 Scored per game (home / away) 1.6 / 0.8
16 Clean sheets 9
11 Failed to score 14
6 Longest winning run 4
6-0 Biggest win 4-2
0-3 Biggest defeat 1-4
6/6 Penalties scored 5/5

Linfield vs Dungannon Swifts: preview and prediction

Linfield host Dungannon Swifts in the Northern-Ireland Premiership (Final) on Tuesday, 12th May 2026 at 19:45 at Windsor Park, Belfast. Linfield sit 4th in the table and Dungannon Swifts 6th.

Linfield are in good shape, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-D-W-W-D). Dungannon Swifts have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-D-W-L-D).

In the last 7 meetings, Linfield won 6, Dungannon Swifts won 0 and 1 ended level. These games average 3.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 29% and over 2.5 goals in 71%.

Our goal model expects about 2.25 goals for Linfield and 0.75 for Dungannon Swifts. It gives Linfield the edge (71% home win, 18% draw, 11% away win), 57% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 2-0.

Our pick was Home Win at odds of 1.41. We also like Under 3.5, Draw No Bet: Home, Draw.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Linfield vs Dungannon Swifts FAQs

What is the best prediction for Linfield vs Dungannon Swifts?

Our top tip is Home Win: Home Win (1.41 odds).

Who will win Linfield vs Dungannon Swifts?

Linfield are favourites: our model gives Linfield 71%, the draw 18% and Dungannon Swifts 11%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 47% chance in our model, and it happened in 29% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3 goals in total, with a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Linfield vs Dungannon Swifts?

Kick-off is on Tuesday, 12th May 2026 at 19:45 at Windsor Park, Belfast.

Who is the referee?

T. Clarke is in charge of this game.