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Lillestrom vs Valerenga Prediction, H2H & Stats

Norway: Eliteserien · Regular Season - 21
Lillestrom

Lillestrom

5th in table
WLWWW
Full time
2:0
HT 1 - 0
Valerenga

Valerenga

8th in table
LWWLW
25' R. Gabrielsen
29' Fredrik Gulbrandsen
41' Sebastian Jarl
70' Hakon Sjatil
80' Frederik Elkær
90+5' Ole Christian Saeter
90+4' Odin Thiago Holm
90' T. Olsen
Saturday, 12 September 2026
Åråsen, Lillestrøm
Rohit Saggi, Norway

Head to head

Last 7 meetings
7games
4Lillestrom wins
2Draws
1Valerenga wins
3Goals per game
43%Both scored
43%Over 2.5
19 Apr 2026Eliteserien Valerenga 0 - 2 Lillestrom
22 Oct 2023Eliteserien Lillestrom 2 - 0 Valerenga
01 May 2023Eliteserien Valerenga 3 - 4 Lillestrom
04 Sep 2022Eliteserien Valerenga 3 - 1 Lillestrom
25 May 2022Eliteserien Lillestrom 2 - 0 Valerenga
07 Nov 2021Eliteserien Lillestrom 0 - 0 Valerenga
11 Jul 2021Eliteserien Valerenga 2 - 2 Lillestrom

Eliteserien table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Viking 251924 64:26 +38 59 LWWWW
2 Bodo/Glimt 251924 61:23 +38 59 WLWWL
3 Molde 251348 59:39 +20 43 LWWDL
4 Rosenborg 251348 49:31 +18 43 WWWDW
5 Lillestrom 251339 36:33 +3 42 WWWDL
6 Tromso 251177 43:38 +5 40 LLDDW
7 Brann 2510213 45:42 +3 32 WLLLW
8 Valerenga 259511 43:46 -3 32 WWWLD
9 Sarpsborg 08 FF 258710 32:39 -7 31 LWLWL
10 KFUM Oslo 258710 32:41 -9 31 DDDWW
11 Fredrikstad 258512 29:44 -15 29 LLLDD
12 Sandefjord 257612 26:34 -8 27 WLLDW
13 Ham-Kam 257612 35:53 -18 27 DLLWL
14 Aalesund 255911 43:57 -14 24 LLWLW
15 Kristiansund BK 256514 29:51 -22 23 WDLLL
16 Start 255416 26:55 -29 19 LWLLL

Top scorers

Eliteserien
1 Amin ChiakhaRosenborg 17goals 4assists 24apps
2 P. ChristiansenViking 15goals 7assists 24apps
3 A. HelmersenBodo/Glimt 13goals 1assists 22apps
4 K. LonebuMolde 13goals 2assists 22apps
5 L. AlvheimKristiansund BK 12goals 0assists 23apps
6 L. HarenValerenga 11goals 2assists 24apps
7 M. ChristensenAalesund 11goals 5assists 24apps
8 E. BreivikMolde 10goals 10assists 25apps
9 H. LarsenTromso 10goals 4assists 25apps
10 S. Kvia-EgeskogViking 9goals 3assists 25apps

Recent form

5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Eliteserien Start 0 - 1 Lillestrom W
28 Oct 2026NM Cupen Lillestrom 2 - 1 Sogndal W
25 Oct 2026Eliteserien Lillestrom 3 - 2 Brann W
22 Oct 2026UEFA Europa League Lillestrom 0 - 6 Real Sociedad L
18 Oct 2026Eliteserien Sandefjord 0 - 2 Lillestrom W
15 Oct 2026UEFA Europa League Sparta Praha 1 - 1 Lillestrom D
11 Oct 2026Eliteserien Lillestrom 2 - 2 Molde D
01 Oct 2026NM Cupen Bærum 1 - 5 Lillestrom W
20 Sep 2026Eliteserien Viking 3 - 0 Lillestrom L
17 Sep 2026UEFA Europa League Lillestrom 1 - 2 Torreense L
4 W 2 D 4 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Eliteserien Valerenga 4 - 0 Tromso W
28 Oct 2026NM Cupen Sarpsborg 08 FF 3 - 2 Valerenga L
24 Oct 2026Eliteserien Bodo/Glimt 0 - 1 Valerenga W
18 Oct 2026Eliteserien Valerenga 3 - 1 Brann W
12 Oct 2026Eliteserien KFUM Oslo 2 - 1 Valerenga L
20 Sep 2026Eliteserien Valerenga 1 - 1 Fredrikstad D
17 Sep 2026NM Cupen Skeid 1 - 4 Valerenga W
12 Sep 2026Eliteserien Lillestrom 2 - 0 Valerenga L
06 Sep 2026Eliteserien Sarpsborg 08 FF 2 - 2 Valerenga D
30 Aug 2026Eliteserien Valerenga 3 - 4 Molde L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Lillestrom Draw Valerenga

Most likely scores

2-1 8.6%
1-1 8.4%
2-2 7.1%
1-2 6.9%
3-1 5.9%
2-0 5.2%

Expected goals: 2.05 Lillestrom · 1.65 Valerenga

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals88%
Over 2.5 goals71%
Over 3.5 goals50%
Both teams score70%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
67%
Form
33%
27%
Attack
73%
57%
Defence
43%
53%
Goal model
47%
80%
Head to head
20%
65%
Goals
35%
58%
Overall
41%

Season numbers

Eliteserien 2026

When the goals come

5
0-15'
4
3
16-30'
5
1
31-45'
6
5
46-60'
5
4
61-75'
5
8
76-90'
7
5
0-15'
7
5
16-30'
8
3
31-45'
7
4
46-60'
6
2
61-75'
3
6
76-90'
10
Lillestrom Valerenga

Side by side

Lillestrom Valerenga
19 Played 19
9 Won 6
2 Drawn 4
8 Lost 9
1.4 Goals scored per game 1.7
1.4 Goals conceded per game 2.1
1.7 / 1.1 Scored per game (home / away) 1.9 / 1.6
5 Clean sheets 2
6 Failed to score 6
3 Longest winning run 2
4-0 Biggest win 6-1
1-4 Biggest defeat 0-3
3/4 Penalties scored 0/2

Lillestrom vs Valerenga: preview and prediction

Lillestrom host Valerenga in the Norway Eliteserien (Regular Season - 21) on Saturday, 12th September 2026 at 15:00 at Åråsen, Lillestrøm. Lillestrom sit 5th in the table and Valerenga 8th.

Lillestrom are flying, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-L-W-W-W). Valerenga are in good shape, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-W-L-W).

In the last 7 meetings, Lillestrom won 4, Valerenga won 1 and 2 ended level. These games average 3 goals, with both teams scoring in 43% and over 2.5 goals in 43%.

Our goal model expects about 2.05 goals for Lillestrom and 1.65 for Valerenga. It gives Lillestrom the edge (47% home win, 21% draw, 31% away win), 71% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 2-1.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.29. We also like Under 3.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Lillestrom vs Valerenga FAQs

What is the best prediction for Lillestrom vs Valerenga?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.29 odds).

Who will win Lillestrom vs Valerenga?

Lillestrom are favourites: our model gives Lillestrom 47%, the draw 21% and Valerenga 31%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 70% chance in our model, and it happened in 43% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.7 goals in total, with a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Lillestrom vs Valerenga?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 12th September 2026 at 15:00 at Åråsen, Lillestrøm.

Who is the referee?

Rohit Saggi, Norway is in charge of this game.