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Lille vs SC Freiburg Prediction, H2H & Stats

World: UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 8
Lille

Lille

18th in table
DLDWD
Full time
1:0
HT 0 - 0
SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

7th in table
LLLWW
72' Benjamin André
74' Maximilian Eggestein
86' Hakon Arnar Haraldsson
90' O. Giroud (Penalty)
Thursday, 29 January 2026
Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre Mauroy, Lille
Damian Sylwestrzak, Poland

UEFA Europa League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Lyon 8701 18:5 +13 21 WWWWL
2 Aston Villa 8701 14:6 +8 21 WWWWW
3 FC Midtjylland 8611 18:8 +10 19 WDWLW
4 Real Betis 8521 13:7 +6 17 WLWWW
5 FC Porto 8521 13:7 +6 17 WDWWD
6 SC Braga 8521 11:5 +6 17 DWWDL
7 SC Freiburg 8521 10:4 +6 17 LWWDW
8 AS Roma 8512 13:6 +7 16 DWWWW
9 Genk 8512 11:7 +4 16 WWLWW
10 Bologna 8431 14:7 +7 15 WDWWD
11 VfB Stuttgart 8503 15:9 +6 15 WLWWW
12 Ferencvarosi TC 8431 12:11 +1 15 LDWDW
13 Nottingham Forest 8422 15:7 +8 14 WLWWD
14 Plzen 8350 8:3 +5 14 WDDDD
15 FK Crvena Zvezda 8422 7:6 +1 14 DWWWW
16 Celta Vigo 8413 15:11 +4 13 DWLLW
17 PAOK 8332 17:14 +3 12 LWDDW
18 Lille 8404 12:9 +3 12 WLLWL
19 Fenerbahçe 8332 10:7 +3 12 DLWDD
20 Panathinaikos 8332 11:9 +2 12 DDDWW
21 Celtic 8323 13:15 -2 11 WDLWL
22 Ludogorets 8314 12:15 -3 10 WLDWL
23 Dinamo Zagreb 8314 12:16 -4 10 LWLLL
24 Brann 8233 9:11 -2 9 LDLDD
25 BSC Young Boys 8305 10:16 -6 9 LLWLL
26 Sturm Graz 8215 5:11 -6 7 WLLLD
27 FCSB 8215 9:16 -7 7 DLWLL
28 GO Ahead Eagles 8215 6:14 -8 7 DLLLL
29 Feyenoord 8206 11:15 -4 6 LWLLL
30 FC Basel 1893 8206 9:13 -4 6 LLLLW
31 Red Bull Salzburg 8206 10:15 -5 6 LWLLW
32 Rangers 8116 5:14 -9 4 LWLDL
33 Nice 8107 7:15 -8 3 LWLLL
34 Utrecht 8017 5:15 -10 1 LLLLD
35 Malmo FF 8017 4:15 -11 1 LLLLL
36 Maccabi Tel Aviv 8017 2:22 -20 1 LLLLL

Top scorers

UEFA Europa League
1 M. MouandilmadjiSamsunspor 11goals 1assists 26apps
2 Igor JesusNottingham Forest 7goals 1assists 13apps
3 P. StanićLudogorets 7goals 1assists 11apps
4 AntonyReal Betis 6goals 3assists 10apps
5 K. AktürkoğluFenerbahçe 6goals 1assists 9apps
6 O. WatkinsAston Villa 5goals 2assists 15apps
7 J. McGinnAston Villa 5goals 2assists 12apps
8 W. SwedbergCelta Vigo 5goals 2assists 10apps
9 D. BeljoDinamo Zagreb 5goals 1assists 8apps
10 B. El KhannoussVfB Stuttgart 5goals 0assists 11apps

Recent form

4 W 3 D 3 L in the last 10
03 Nov 2026UEFA Champions League Bodo/Glimt 0 - 0 Lille D
30 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Lille 1 - 0 Lens W
25 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Monaco 1 - 1 Lille D
21 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Lille 2 - 4 Galatasaray L
17 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Lille 1 - 1 Stade Brestois 29 D
13 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Arsenal 3 - 0 Lille L
10 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Lille 1 - 0 Le Havre W
02 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Lille 2 - 1 Zulte Waregem W
20 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Nice 2 - 1 Lille L
13 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Lille 2 - 0 Estac Troyes W
6 W 1 D 3 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Bundesliga FC Augsburg 1 - 2 SC Freiburg W
28 Oct 2026DFB Pokal SC Freiburg 3 - 2 VfL Wolfsburg W
25 Oct 2026Bundesliga SC Freiburg 1 - 3 Bayern München L
22 Oct 2026UEFA Europa Conference League Monaco 3 - 0 SC Freiburg L
18 Oct 2026Bundesliga Bayer Leverkusen 2 - 1 SC Freiburg L
15 Oct 2026UEFA Europa Conference League SC Freiburg 3 - 2 FK Jablonec W
11 Oct 2026Bundesliga SC Freiburg 2 - 1 FC Schalke 04 W
03 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs SC Freiburg 4 - 2 FC Luzern W
19 Sep 2026Bundesliga Eintracht Frankfurt 2 - 2 SC Freiburg D
12 Sep 2026Bundesliga SC Freiburg 5 - 0 Borussia Mönchengladbach W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Lille Draw SC Freiburg
Value spotted: SC Freiburg win at 4.01 (model 31% vs market 25%)

Most likely scores

1-1 9.7%
2-1 9%
1-2 7.3%
2-2 6.8%
1-0 6.5%
2-0 6%

Expected goals: 1.85 Lille · 1.5 SC Freiburg

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals65%
Over 3.5 goals43%
Both teams score65%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
19%
Form
81%
53%
Attack
47%
11%
Defence
89%
42%
Goal model
58%
0%
Head to head
0%
0%
Goals
0%
31%
Overall
68%

Season numbers

UEFA Europa League 2025

When the goals come

1
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
2
1
31-45'
4
2
46-60'
3
2
61-75'
0
4
76-90'
1
1
0-15'
0
2
16-30'
2
1
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
0
3
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
1
Lille SC Freiburg

Side by side

Lille SC Freiburg
7 Played 7
3 Won 5
0 Drawn 2
4 Lost 0
1.6 Goals scored per game 1.4
1.3 Goals conceded per game 0.4
3 / 0.5 Scored per game (home / away) 1.5 / 1.3
2 Clean sheets 4
2 Failed to score 1
2 Longest winning run 2
4-0 Biggest win 2-0
3-4 Biggest defeat -
0/0 Penalties scored 2/2

Lille vs SC Freiburg: preview and prediction

Lille host SC Freiburg in the World UEFA Europa League (League Stage - 8) on Thursday, 29th January 2026 at 21:00 at Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre Mauroy, Lille. Lille sit 18th in the table and SC Freiburg 7th.

Lille have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-L-D-W-D). SC Freiburg are struggling, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-L-W-W).

Our goal model expects about 1.85 goals for Lille and 1.5 for SC Freiburg. It gives Lille the edge (46% home win, 22% draw, 31% away win), 65% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Away Win at odds of 4.01.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Lille vs SC Freiburg FAQs

What is the best prediction for Lille vs SC Freiburg?

Our top tip is Away Win: Away Win (4.01 odds).

Who will win Lille vs SC Freiburg?

Lille are favourites: our model gives Lille 46%, the draw 22% and SC Freiburg 31%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 65% chance in our model.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.4 goals in total, with a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Lille vs SC Freiburg?

Kick-off is on Thursday, 29th January 2026 at 21:00 at Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre Mauroy, Lille.

Who is the referee?

Damian Sylwestrzak, Poland is in charge of this game.