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Libertad vs Universidad Catolica Prediction, H2H & Stats

Ecuador: Liga Pro · Regular Season - 24
Libertad

Libertad

7th in table
WWLDL
Full time
2:1
HT 1 - 0
Universidad Catolica

Universidad Catolica

2nd in table
DDLWD
15' Luis Cangá
40' Vilington Branda
41' Facundo Martinez
45+5' Mauro Díaz
57' Xavier Pineda
67' Enrique Caicedo
76' Rodrigo Morinigo
85' Saenddy Yánez
90+1' Gabriel Cortez
90' Johan Estacio
Monday, 10 August 2026
Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne, Loja
O. Contreras

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
2Libertad wins
5Draws
2Universidad Catolica wins
2.2Goals per game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
18 Apr 2026Liga Pro Universidad Catolica 2 - 0 Libertad
21 Nov 2025Liga Pro Universidad Catolica 1 - 1 Libertad
19 Oct 2025Liga Pro Libertad 1 - 1 Universidad Catolica
16 Aug 2025Liga Pro Universidad Catolica 1 - 1 Libertad
29 Apr 2025Liga Pro Libertad 3 - 1 Universidad Catolica
10 Aug 2024Liga Pro Universidad Catolica 1 - 2 Libertad
12 Mar 2024Liga Pro Libertad 0 - 1 Universidad Catolica
07 Nov 2023Liga Pro Universidad Catolica 0 - 0 Libertad
27 May 2023Liga Pro Libertad 2 - 2 Universidad Catolica

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Independiente del Valle 302424 73:33 +40 74 WWLDW
2 Universidad Catolica 301497 51:27 +24 51 WWDDW
3 Macara 301569 41:33 +8 51 WLWWL
4 Aucas 301488 33:28 +5 50 DDDWW
5 LDU de Quito 3013710 31:24 +7 46 DWDLW
6 Barcelona SC 3011118 32:25 +7 44 DDWLW
7 Libertad 3011811 33:34 -1 41 LWDLW
8 Leones del Norte 3010911 31:32 -1 39 LDWLL
9 Guayaquil City FC 3010911 33:36 -3 39 WLLWW
10 Emelec 3010911 25:34 -9 39 LWDWL
11 Mushuc Runa SC 3091110 35:38 -3 38 LDDWD
12 Deportivo Cuenca 3010614 25:37 -12 36 DLWLD
13 Orense SC 309615 36:47 -11 33 LWLLL
14 Tecnico Universitario 3010218 28:42 -14 32 WLLWL
15 Delfin SC 307716 19:31 -12 28 DLWLL
16 Manta FC 305619 17:42 -25 21 DLLWL

Top scorers

Liga Pro
1 F. PosseMacara 17goals 5assists 35apps
2 E. MeroGuayaquil City FC 13goals 5assists 36apps
3 Vilinton Germán Branda MerlínLibertad 13goals 2assists 35apps
4 R. CarrilloEmelec 13goals 3assists 34apps
5 J. FajardoUniversidad Catolica 13goals 3assists 34apps
6 A. CampanaMacara 12goals 3assists 20apps
7 A. HerreraOrense SC 12goals 3assists 36apps
8 C. GonzálezIndependiente del Valle 11goals 1assists 23apps
9 Juan Luis Anangonó LeónLeones del Norte 11goals 1assists 36apps
10 F. AyuntaDelfin SC 11goals 1assists 33apps

Recent form

4 W 2 D 4 L in the last 10
07 Nov 2026Liga Pro Libertad 0 - 1 Emelec L
01 Nov 2026Liga Pro Guayaquil City FC 0 - 0 Libertad D
25 Oct 2026Liga Pro Leones del Norte 4 - 1 Libertad L
17 Oct 2026Liga Pro Libertad 4 - 0 Guayaquil City FC W
09 Oct 2026Liga Pro Libertad 3 - 0 Leones del Norte W
20 Sep 2026Liga Pro Emelec 1 - 2 Libertad W
13 Sep 2026Liga Pro Libertad 2 - 3 Independiente del Valle L
07 Sep 2026Liga Pro Deportivo Cuenca 0 - 1 Libertad W
04 Sep 2026Liga Pro Libertad 1 - 1 Emelec D
30 Aug 2026Liga Pro Aucas 1 - 0 Libertad L
3 W 4 D 3 L in the last 10
08 Nov 2026Liga Pro Macara 2 - 2 Universidad Catolica D
05 Nov 2026Copa Ecuador LDU de Quito 1 - 2 Universidad Catolica W
01 Nov 2026Liga Pro Universidad Catolica 1 - 2 Aucas L
30 Oct 2026Copa Ecuador Universidad Catolica 2 - 2 LDU de Quito D
23 Oct 2026Liga Pro Independiente del Valle 0 - 0 Universidad Catolica D
18 Oct 2026Liga Pro Barcelona SC 1 - 1 Universidad Catolica D
11 Oct 2026Liga Pro Universidad Catolica 0 - 1 Macara L
20 Sep 2026Liga Pro LDU de Quito 2 - 1 Universidad Catolica L
15 Sep 2026Liga Pro Universidad Catolica 2 - 1 Orense SC W
10 Sep 2026Copa Ecuador Astillero FC (Ecu) 0 - 1 Universidad Catolica W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Libertad Draw Universidad Catolica
Value spotted: Libertad win at 3.94 (model 38% vs market 24%)

Most likely scores

0-0 15.7%
1-0 15.7%
0-1 13.4%
1-1 13.4%
2-0 7.9%
2-1 6.7%

Expected goals: 1 Libertad · 0.85 Universidad Catolica

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals55%
Over 2.5 goals28%
Over 3.5 goals12%
Both teams score36%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
48%
Form
52%
41%
Attack
59%
50%
Defence
50%
49%
Goal model
51%
50%
Head to head
50%
50%
Goals
50%
48%
Overall
52%

Season numbers

Liga Pro 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
5
3
16-30'
2
5
31-45'
4
2
46-60'
10
4
61-75'
5
9
76-90'
7
3
0-15'
3
4
16-30'
4
3
31-45'
2
5
46-60'
3
6
61-75'
6
5
76-90'
2
Libertad Universidad Catolica

Side by side

Libertad Universidad Catolica
23 Played 23
8 Won 11
6 Drawn 6
9 Lost 6
1 Goals scored per game 1.7
1.1 Goals conceded per game 0.8
1.3 / 0.8 Scored per game (home / away) 2.4 / 0.8
8 Clean sheets 10
8 Failed to score 5
1 Longest winning run 3
3-0 Biggest win 5-0
1-3 Biggest defeat 2-3
0/0 Penalties scored 4/7

Libertad vs Universidad Catolica: preview and prediction

Libertad host Universidad Catolica in the Ecuador Liga Pro (Regular Season - 24) on Monday, 10th August 2026 at 22:30 at Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne, Loja. Libertad sit 7th in the table and Universidad Catolica 2nd.

Libertad have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-L-D-L). Universidad Catolica have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-D-L-W-D).

In the last 9 meetings, Libertad won 2, Universidad Catolica won 2 and 5 ended level. These games average 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% and over 2.5 goals in 33%.

Our goal model expects about 1 goals for Libertad and 0.85 for Universidad Catolica. It gives Libertad the edge (38% home win, 32% draw, 30% away win), 28% for over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 0-0.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.22. We also like Under 2.5, BTTS No.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Libertad vs Universidad Catolica FAQs

What is the best prediction for Libertad vs Universidad Catolica?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.22 odds).

Who will win Libertad vs Universidad Catolica?

Libertad are favourites: our model gives Libertad 38%, the draw 32% and Universidad Catolica 30%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 36% chance in our model, and it happened in 67% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 1.9 goals in total, with a 28% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Libertad vs Universidad Catolica?

Kick-off is on Monday, 10th August 2026 at 22:30 at Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne, Loja.

Who is the referee?

O. Contreras is in charge of this game.