Leones del Norte vs Universidad Catolica Prediction, H2H & Stats

Ecuador: Liga Pro · Regular Season - 18
Leones del Norte

Leones del Norte

8th in table
DLLWW
Full time
1:0
HT 1 - 0
Universidad Catolica

Universidad Catolica

2nd in table
LDDDL
16' Ariel Aguas
19' Eric Valencia
27' Emiliano Griffa
45+6' Jonathan Arroyo
45+6' Jhon Chancellor
53' Cristhian Solano
57' Gregori Anangonó
64' Mauricio Alonso
71' Jerónimo Cacciabue
84' Miguel Caicedo
90+3' Ronny Borja
90+7' Álex Rodríguez
Friday, 10 July 2026
Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra, Ibarra
A. Aragon

Head to head

Last 1 meetings
1games
0Leones del Norte wins
0Draws
1Universidad Catolica wins
3Goals per game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
08 Mar 2026Liga Pro Universidad Catolica 3 - 0 Leones del Norte

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Independiente del Valle 302424 73:33 +40 74 WWLDW
2 Universidad Catolica 301497 51:27 +24 51 WWDDW
3 Macara 301569 41:33 +8 51 WLWWL
4 Aucas 301488 33:28 +5 50 DDDWW
5 LDU de Quito 3013710 31:24 +7 46 DWDLW
6 Barcelona SC 3011118 32:25 +7 44 DDWLW
7 Libertad 3011811 33:34 -1 41 LWDLW
8 Leones del Norte 3010911 31:32 -1 39 LDWLL
9 Guayaquil City FC 3010911 33:36 -3 39 WLLWW
10 Emelec 3010911 25:34 -9 39 LWDWL
11 Mushuc Runa SC 3091110 35:38 -3 38 LDDWD
12 Deportivo Cuenca 3010614 25:37 -12 36 DLWLD
13 Orense SC 309615 36:47 -11 33 LWLLL
14 Tecnico Universitario 3010218 28:42 -14 32 WLLWL
15 Delfin SC 307716 19:31 -12 28 DLWLL
16 Manta FC 305619 17:42 -25 21 DLLWL

Top scorers

Liga Pro
1 F. PosseMacara 16goals 5assists 34apps
2 E. MeroGuayaquil City FC 13goals 5assists 35apps
3 Vilinton Germán Branda MerlínLibertad 13goals 2assists 34apps
4 R. CarrilloEmelec 13goals 3assists 34apps
5 A. CampanaMacara 12goals 3assists 19apps
6 A. HerreraOrense SC 12goals 3assists 35apps
7 J. FajardoUniversidad Catolica 11goals 3assists 33apps
8 Juan Luis Anangonó LeónLeones del Norte 11goals 1assists 35apps
9 F. AyuntaDelfin SC 11goals 1assists 33apps
10 C. GonzálezIndependiente del Valle 10goals 1assists 22apps

Recent form

3 W 2 D 5 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Liga Pro Emelec 0 - 2 Leones del Norte W
25 Oct 2026Liga Pro Leones del Norte 4 - 1 Libertad W
18 Oct 2026Liga Pro Leones del Norte 1 - 3 Emelec L
09 Oct 2026Liga Pro Libertad 3 - 0 Leones del Norte L
19 Sep 2026Liga Pro Guayaquil City FC 1 - 1 Leones del Norte D
13 Sep 2026Liga Pro Leones del Norte 0 - 1 Tecnico Universitario L
08 Sep 2026Liga Pro Mushuc Runa SC 1 - 1 Leones del Norte D
03 Sep 2026Liga Pro Leones del Norte 1 - 0 Orense SC W
30 Aug 2026Liga Pro Emelec 2 - 1 Leones del Norte L
22 Aug 2026Liga Pro Leones del Norte 2 - 3 Independiente del Valle L
3 W 4 D 3 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Liga Pro Universidad Catolica 1 - 2 Aucas L
30 Oct 2026Copa Ecuador Universidad Catolica 2 - 2 LDU de Quito D
23 Oct 2026Liga Pro Independiente del Valle 0 - 0 Universidad Catolica D
18 Oct 2026Liga Pro Barcelona SC 1 - 1 Universidad Catolica D
11 Oct 2026Liga Pro Universidad Catolica 0 - 1 Macara L
20 Sep 2026Liga Pro LDU de Quito 2 - 1 Universidad Catolica L
15 Sep 2026Liga Pro Universidad Catolica 2 - 1 Orense SC W
10 Sep 2026Copa Ecuador Astillero FC (Ecu) 0 - 1 Universidad Catolica W
06 Sep 2026Liga Pro Delfin SC 0 - 1 Universidad Catolica W
03 Sep 2026Liga Pro Universidad Catolica 1 - 1 Aucas D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Leones del Norte Draw Universidad Catolica
Value spotted: Leones del Norte win at 3.34 (model 43% vs market 28%)

Most likely scores

1-0 15.6%
0-0 13.5%
1-1 13.2%
0-1 11.5%
2-0 8.9%
2-1 7.6%

Expected goals: 1.15 Leones del Norte · 0.85 Universidad Catolica

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals59%
Over 2.5 goals32%
Over 3.5 goals14%
Both teams score39%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
64%
Form
36%
53%
Attack
47%
56%
Defence
44%
57%
Goal model
43%
0%
Head to head
100%
0%
Goals
100%
57%
Overall
42%

Season numbers

Liga Pro 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
3
3
16-30'
2
1
31-45'
2
9
46-60'
7
1
61-75'
5
2
76-90'
5
0
0-15'
2
1
16-30'
3
5
31-45'
2
4
46-60'
3
3
61-75'
5
3
76-90'
2
Leones del Norte Universidad Catolica

Side by side

Leones del Norte Universidad Catolica
17 Played 17
5 Won 7
5 Drawn 5
7 Lost 5
1.1 Goals scored per game 1.6
1.1 Goals conceded per game 1
1.4 / 0.8 Scored per game (home / away) 2.3 / 0.9
5 Clean sheets 6
6 Failed to score 3
1 Longest winning run 3
3-0 Biggest win 4-0
0-2 Biggest defeat 2-3
3/3 Penalties scored 3/5

Leones del Norte vs Universidad Catolica: preview and prediction

Leones del Norte host Universidad Catolica in the Ecuador Liga Pro (Regular Season - 18) on Friday, 10th July 2026 at 23:00 at Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra, Ibarra. Leones del Norte sit 8th in the table and Universidad Catolica 2nd.

Leones del Norte have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-L-W-W). Universidad Catolica are still looking for a win, with 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-D-D-D-L).

In the last 1 meetings, Leones del Norte won 0, Universidad Catolica won 1 and 0 ended level. These games average 3 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% and over 2.5 goals in 100%.

Our goal model expects about 1.15 goals for Leones del Norte and 0.85 for Universidad Catolica. It gives Leones del Norte the edge (43% home win, 30% draw, 27% away win), 32% for over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.29. We also like Over 1.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Leones del Norte vs Universidad Catolica FAQs

What is the best prediction for Leones del Norte vs Universidad Catolica?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.29 odds).

Who will win Leones del Norte vs Universidad Catolica?

Leones del Norte are favourites: our model gives Leones del Norte 43%, the draw 30% and Universidad Catolica 27%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 39% chance in our model, and it happened in 0% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2 goals in total, with a 32% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Leones del Norte vs Universidad Catolica?

Kick-off is on Friday, 10th July 2026 at 23:00 at Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra, Ibarra.

Who is the referee?

A. Aragon is in charge of this game.