Leon vs Monterrey Prediction, H2H & Stats

Mexico: Liga MX · Apertura - 5
Leon

Leon

6th in table
WDLWD
Full time
2:0
HT 1 - 0
Monterrey

Monterrey

8th in table
WDWWL
24' J. Cortizo
45' Ricardo Chávez
66' Jhohan Romaña
77' Luis Cárdenas
79' D. Arcila (Penalty)
90+7' Juan Guevara
Saturday, 22 August 2026
Estadio Leon, Leon
César Ramos Palazuelos, Mexico

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
1Leon wins
2Draws
6Monterrey wins
2.7Goals per game
56%Both scored
44%Over 2.5
15 Feb 2026Liga MX Monterrey 1 - 0 Leon
12 Aug 2025Liga MX Leon 1 - 3 Monterrey
21 Apr 2025Liga MX Leon 0 - 2 Monterrey
11 Nov 2024Liga MX Monterrey 2 - 1 Leon
20 Apr 2024Liga MX Leon 2 - 0 Monterrey
17 Sep 2023Liga MX Monterrey 3 - 1 Leon
28 Feb 2023Liga MX Leon 1 - 1 Monterrey
07 Aug 2022Liga MX Monterrey 5 - 1 Leon
02 Mar 2022Liga MX Leon 0 - 0 Monterrey

Liga MX table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Club America 14842 34:19 +15 28 DLWWD
2 Cruz Azul 14824 32:23 +9 26 WWWDD
3 Guadalajara Chivas 14752 21:12 +9 26 WWDDL
4 Atlas 14734 25:26 -1 24 WLWDW
5 Toluca 14653 29:19 +10 23 DDDLD
6 Leon 14644 21:18 +3 22 DWLDW
7 Club Tijuana 14563 22:18 +4 21 DWDDD
8 Monterrey 13625 23:18 +5 20 LWWDL
9 Club Queretaro 13625 17:18 -1 20 LLLWW
10 Santos Laguna 14617 20:20 0 19 LWWWW
11 Atletico San Luis 14545 19:22 -3 19 WWDLW
12 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 14455 20:23 -3 17 DLWDL
13 CF Pachuca 14446 22:19 +3 16 WLLDL
14 Puebla 14446 16:21 -5 16 LLDDL
15 Tigres UANL 14365 15:19 -4 15 DLDWW
16 Atlante FC 14356 14:20 -6 14 LWLLW
17 Necaxa 14248 16:27 -11 10 DLLDL
18 FC Juarez 141211 9:33 -24 5 DLLDL

Top scorers

Liga MX
1 S. RondónCF Pachuca 13goals 1assists 14apps
2 J. BrunettaTigres UANL 8goals 4assists 13apps
3 JuninhoU.N.A.M. - Pumas 8goals 1assists 14apps
4 H. MartínClub America 8goals 3assists 12apps
5 F. ViñasToluca 7goals 0assists 11apps
6 J. CarranzaNecaxa 7goals 2assists 13apps
7 L. OcamposMonterrey 6goals 3assists 11apps
8 Ó. EstupiñánFC Juarez 6goals 0assists 14apps
9 D. RossiMonterrey 5goals 3assists 12apps
10 B. RodríguezClub America 5goals 3assists 10apps

Recent form

4 W 3 D 3 L in the last 10
24 Oct 2026Liga MX Leon 1 - 1 Toluca D
21 Oct 2026Liga MX Tigres UANL 0 - 2 Leon W
18 Oct 2026Liga MX Leon 3 - 5 Club America L
10 Oct 2026Liga MX Puebla 1 - 1 Leon D
28 Sep 2026Liga MX Leon 2 - 1 FC Juarez W
21 Sep 2026Liga MX Club Queretaro 1 - 1 Leon D
15 Sep 2026Liga MX Leon 2 - 0 Atletico San Luis W
11 Sep 2026Liga MX U.N.A.M. - Pumas 3 - 1 Leon L
06 Sep 2026Leagues Cup Leon 1 - 0 Club America W
03 Sep 2026Leagues Cup Toluca 2 - 0 Leon L
4 W 3 D 3 L in the last 10
25 Oct 2026Liga MX Monterrey 0 - 1 Guadalajara Chivas L
22 Oct 2026Liga MX Puebla 1 - 4 Monterrey W
19 Oct 2026Liga MX Monterrey 2 - 1 CF Pachuca W
11 Oct 2026Liga MX Club America 1 - 1 Monterrey D
03 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Monterrey 2 - 1 Toluca W
26 Sep 2026Liga MX Atlante FC 4 - 2 Monterrey L
20 Sep 2026Liga MX Monterrey 1 - 0 Cruz Azul W
13 Sep 2026Liga MX Monterrey 0 - 0 Tigres UANL D
07 Sep 2026Leagues Cup Toluca 2 - 0 Monterrey L
03 Sep 2026Leagues Cup Club America 2 - 2 Monterrey D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Leon Draw Monterrey

Most likely scores

1-1 12%
0-1 9.6%
1-2 9%
1-0 8%
2-1 7.5%
0-2 7.2%

Expected goals: 1.25 Leon · 1.5 Monterrey

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Both teams score55%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
40%
Form
60%
29%
Attack
71%
50%
Defence
50%
39%
Goal model
61%
20%
Head to head
80%
33%
Goals
67%
35%
Overall
64%

Season numbers

Liga MX 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
2
2
16-30'
4
1
31-45'
2
0
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
2
1
76-90'
2
1
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
2
2
46-60'
1
2
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
2
Leon Monterrey

Side by side

Leon Monterrey
4 Played 4
2 Won 3
0 Drawn 0
2 Lost 1
1.3 Goals scored per game 3
1.3 Goals conceded per game 1.3
1.5 / 1 Scored per game (home / away) 4.5 / 1.5
1 Clean sheets 1
1 Failed to score 0
0 Longest winning run 1
1-0 Biggest win 6-1
2-3 Biggest defeat 2-1
0/0 Penalties scored 2/2

Leon vs Monterrey: preview and prediction

Leon host Monterrey in the Mexico Liga MX (Apertura - 5) on Saturday, 22nd August 2026 at 02:00 at Estadio Leon, Leon. Leon sit 6th in the table and Monterrey 8th.

Leon have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-D-L-W-D). Monterrey are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-D-W-W-L).

In the last 9 meetings, Leon won 1, Monterrey won 6 and 2 ended level. These games average 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 56% and over 2.5 goals in 44%.

Our goal model expects about 1.25 goals for Leon and 1.5 for Monterrey. It gives Monterrey the edge (32% home win, 25% draw, 43% away win), 52% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Home Win at odds of 3.21. We also like Under 3.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Leon vs Monterrey FAQs

What is the best prediction for Leon vs Monterrey?

Our top tip is Home Win: Home Win (3.21 odds).

Who will win Leon vs Monterrey?

Monterrey are favourites: our model gives Leon 32%, the draw 25% and Monterrey 43%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 55% chance in our model, and it happened in 56% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.8 goals in total, with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Leon vs Monterrey?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 22nd August 2026 at 02:00 at Estadio Leon, Leon.

Who is the referee?

César Ramos Palazuelos, Mexico is in charge of this game.