Leon vs Atlas Prediction, H2H & Stats

Mexico: Liga MX · Apertura - 1
Leon

Leon

6th in table
WDLWD
Full time
2:3
HT 1 - 1
Atlas

Atlas

4th in table
WDWLW
2' Duk
27' D. Cambindo
42' D. Cambindo
50' A. Gonzalez
73' R. Echeverria
73' A. Rocha (Penalty)
77' J. Cortizo
84' M. Capasso
85' A. Rocha
90+9' A. Alvarado
Saturday, 18 July 2026
Estadio Leon, Leon
Jesus Rafael Lopez Valle, Mexico

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
5Leon wins
3Draws
1Atlas wins
2.1Goals per game
44%Both scored
22%Over 2.5
05 Apr 2026Liga MX Leon 2 - 0 Atlas
23 Oct 2025Liga MX Atlas 2 - 0 Leon
19 Jan 2025Liga MX Atlas 1 - 2 Leon
24 Oct 2024Liga MX Leon 0 - 0 Atlas
18 Feb 2024Liga MX Atlas 0 - 1 Leon
25 Oct 2023Liga MX Leon 1 - 1 Atlas
11 Mar 2023Liga MX Atlas 0 - 1 Leon
29 Aug 2022Liga MX Leon 4 - 2 Atlas
20 Jan 2022Liga MX Leon 1 - 1 Atlas

Liga MX table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Club America 14842 34:19 +15 28 DLWWD
2 Cruz Azul 14824 32:23 +9 26 WWWDD
3 Guadalajara Chivas 14752 21:12 +9 26 WWDDL
4 Atlas 14734 25:26 -1 24 WLWDW
5 Toluca 14653 29:19 +10 23 DDDLD
6 Leon 14644 21:18 +3 22 DWLDW
7 Club Tijuana 14563 22:18 +4 21 DWDDD
8 Monterrey 13625 23:18 +5 20 LWWDL
9 Club Queretaro 13625 17:18 -1 20 LLLWW
10 Santos Laguna 14617 20:20 0 19 LWWWW
11 Atletico San Luis 14545 19:22 -3 19 WWDLW
12 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 14455 20:23 -3 17 DLWDL
13 CF Pachuca 14446 22:19 +3 16 WLLDL
14 Puebla 14446 16:21 -5 16 LLDDL
15 Tigres UANL 14365 15:19 -4 15 DLDWW
16 Atlante FC 14356 14:20 -6 14 LWLLW
17 Necaxa 14248 16:27 -11 10 DLLDL
18 FC Juarez 141211 9:33 -24 5 DLLDL

Top scorers

Liga MX
1 S. RondónCF Pachuca 13goals 1assists 14apps
2 J. BrunettaTigres UANL 8goals 4assists 13apps
3 JuninhoU.N.A.M. - Pumas 8goals 1assists 14apps
4 H. MartínClub America 8goals 3assists 12apps
5 F. ViñasToluca 7goals 0assists 11apps
6 J. CarranzaNecaxa 7goals 2assists 13apps
7 M. BorjaClub America 6goals 0assists 7apps
8 L. OcamposMonterrey 6goals 3assists 11apps
9 Ó. EstupiñánFC Juarez 6goals 0assists 14apps
10 D. RossiMonterrey 5goals 3assists 12apps

Recent form

4 W 3 D 3 L in the last 10
24 Oct 2026Liga MX Leon 1 - 1 Toluca D
21 Oct 2026Liga MX Tigres UANL 0 - 2 Leon W
18 Oct 2026Liga MX Leon 3 - 5 Club America L
10 Oct 2026Liga MX Puebla 1 - 1 Leon D
28 Sep 2026Liga MX Leon 2 - 1 FC Juarez W
21 Sep 2026Liga MX Club Queretaro 1 - 1 Leon D
15 Sep 2026Liga MX Leon 2 - 0 Atletico San Luis W
11 Sep 2026Liga MX U.N.A.M. - Pumas 3 - 1 Leon L
06 Sep 2026Leagues Cup Leon 1 - 0 Club America W
03 Sep 2026Leagues Cup Toluca 2 - 0 Leon L
3 W 3 D 3 L in the last 9
25 Oct 2026Liga MX Atlas 4 - 3 Puebla W
22 Oct 2026Liga MX Atlas 2 - 5 Club America L
17 Oct 2026Liga MX Necaxa 0 - 2 Atlas W
11 Oct 2026Liga MX Atlas 1 - 1 Guadalajara Chivas D
26 Sep 2026Liga MX Club Tijuana 2 - 3 Atlas W
19 Sep 2026Liga MX Atlas 1 - 1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas D
12 Sep 2026Liga MX Toluca 5 - 2 Atlas L
06 Sep 2026Liga MX Atlas 1 - 1 Atlante FC D
29 Aug 2026Liga MX Atlas 1 - 3 Club Queretaro L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Leon Draw Atlas

Most likely scores

1-1 12.6%
1-0 11.5%
0-1 9%
2-1 8.8%
0-0 8.2%
2-0 8%

Expected goals: 1.4 Leon · 1.1 Atlas

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Both teams score50%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
0%
Form
0%
0%
Attack
0%
0%
Defence
0%
0%
Goal model
0%
71%
Head to head
29%
63%
Goals
38%
67%
Overall
33%

Leon vs Atlas: preview and prediction

Leon host Atlas in the Mexico Liga MX (Apertura - 1) on Saturday, 18th July 2026 at 02:00 at Estadio Leon, Leon. Leon sit 6th in the table and Atlas 4th.

Leon have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-D-L-W-D). Atlas are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-D-W-L-W).

In the last 9 meetings, Leon won 5, Atlas won 1 and 3 ended level. These games average 2.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 44% and over 2.5 goals in 22%.

Our goal model expects about 1.4 goals for Leon and 1.1 for Atlas. It gives Leon the edge (44% home win, 27% draw, 30% away win), 46% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.27. We also like Home Win.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Leon vs Atlas FAQs

What is the best prediction for Leon vs Atlas?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.27 odds).

Who will win Leon vs Atlas?

Leon are favourites: our model gives Leon 44%, the draw 27% and Atlas 30%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 50% chance in our model, and it happened in 44% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.5 goals in total, with a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Leon vs Atlas?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 18th July 2026 at 02:00 at Estadio Leon, Leon.

Who is the referee?

Jesus Rafael Lopez Valle, Mexico is in charge of this game.