Leeds vs Newcastle Prediction, H2H & Stats

England: Premier League · Regular Season - 4
Leeds

Leeds

7th in table
WDLDD
Full time
4:1
HT 3 - 0
Newcastle

Newcastle

8th in table
LWLLW
32' L. Miley (Own Goal)
34' D. Calvert-Lewin
44' Dominic Calvert-Lewin
45' D. Calvert-Lewin
54' Jacob Murphy
59' N. Okafor
90+1' Tino Livramento
90' B. Toure
Monday, 14 September 2026
Elland Road, Leeds
Michael Salisbury, England

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
2Leeds wins
5Draws
2Newcastle wins
2.9Goals per game
67%Both scored
44%Over 2.5
07 Jan 2026Premier League Newcastle 4 - 3 Leeds
30 Aug 2025Premier League Leeds 0 - 0 Newcastle
13 May 2023Premier League Leeds 2 - 2 Newcastle
31 Dec 2022Premier League Newcastle 0 - 0 Leeds
22 Jan 2022Premier League Leeds 0 - 1 Newcastle
17 Sep 2021Premier League Newcastle 1 - 1 Leeds
26 Jan 2021Premier League Newcastle 1 - 2 Leeds
16 Dec 2020Premier League Leeds 5 - 2 Newcastle
14 Apr 2017Championship Newcastle 1 - 1 Leeds

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Manchester City 8701 20:9 +11 21 LWWWW
2 Arsenal 8701 13:5 +8 21 WWWLW
3 Brighton 8512 23:7 +16 16 LWWWW
4 Liverpool 8431 11:8 +3 15 WWLWD
5 Chelsea 8413 17:15 +2 13 LWWLD
6 Brentford 8251 14:9 +5 11 DLDWD
7 Leeds 8251 9:6 +3 11 DDLDW
8 Newcastle 8323 12:14 -2 11 WLLWL
9 Aston Villa 8323 9:12 -3 11 WWDWL
10 Hull City 8242 9:8 +1 10 DLDLD
11 Everton 8242 8:9 -1 10 LLDWD
12 Ipswich 8314 12:16 -4 10 DLWLW
13 Bournemouth 8233 12:13 -1 9 WWLLD
14 Tottenham 8233 8:10 -2 9 WWDLD
15 Fulham 8224 8:10 -2 8 WWLDD
16 Manchester United 8143 10:13 -3 7 LDDDL
17 Crystal Palace 8215 9:19 -10 7 LLWDL
18 Nottingham Forest 8134 6:10 -4 6 DLLLW
19 Coventry 8206 6:15 -9 6 LLWWL
20 Sunderland 8125 6:14 -8 5 DLLLL

Top scorers

Premier League
1 E. HaalandManchester City 9goals 0assists 8apps
2 A. IsakLiverpool 6goals 0assists 7apps
3 João PedroChelsea 5goals 3assists 6apps
4 M. TavernierBournemouth 5goals 0assists 8apps
5 R. CherkiManchester City 4goals 2assists 7apps
6 M. RogersChelsea 4goals 1assists 8apps
7 B. MbeumoManchester United 4goals 0assists 8apps
8 N. JacksonAston Villa 4goals 0assists 7apps
9 EvanilsonBournemouth 3goals 4assists 8apps
10 C. KostoulasBrighton 3goals 2assists 8apps

Recent form

3 W 5 D 2 L in the last 10
25 Oct 2026Premier League Sunderland 0 - 0 Leeds D
18 Oct 2026Premier League Leeds 1 - 1 Manchester United D
10 Oct 2026Premier League Arsenal 2 - 1 Leeds L
20 Sep 2026Premier League Leeds 0 - 0 Crystal Palace D
14 Sep 2026Premier League Leeds 4 - 1 Newcastle W
09 Sep 2026League Cup Chelsea 6 - 3 Leeds L
05 Sep 2026Premier League Brighton 1 - 1 Leeds D
30 Aug 2026Premier League Leeds 1 - 1 Brentford D
25 Aug 2026League Cup Nottingham Forest 0 - 2 Leeds W
22 Aug 2026Premier League Nottingham Forest 0 - 1 Leeds W
5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10
25 Oct 2026Premier League Crystal Palace 0 - 2 Newcastle W
17 Oct 2026Premier League Newcastle 0 - 1 Aston Villa L
12 Oct 2026Premier League Coventry 4 - 1 Newcastle L
19 Sep 2026Premier League Newcastle 2 - 1 Hull City W
14 Sep 2026Premier League Leeds 4 - 1 Newcastle L
08 Sep 2026League Cup Millwall 0 - 1 Newcastle W
05 Sep 2026Premier League Newcastle 2 - 2 Bournemouth D
29 Aug 2026Premier League Tottenham 0 - 2 Newcastle W
26 Aug 2026League Cup Newcastle 3 - 2 West Brom W
23 Aug 2026Premier League Newcastle 2 - 2 Liverpool D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Leeds Draw Newcastle
Value spotted: Newcastle win at 3.10 (model 45% vs market 32%)

Most likely scores

1-1 12.2%
0-1 10.6%
1-2 9.1%
1-0 8.1%
0-2 7.9%
0-0 7.1%

Expected goals: 1.15 Leeds · 1.5 Newcastle

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals27%
Both teams score53%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
50%
Form
50%
33%
Attack
67%
67%
Defence
33%
0%
Goal model
100%
25%
Head to head
75%
42%
Goals
58%
43%
Overall
56%

Season numbers

Premier League 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
2
0
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
2
2
76-90'
1
0
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
1
1
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
1
Leeds Newcastle

Side by side

Leeds Newcastle
3 Played 3
1 Won 1
2 Drawn 2
0 Lost 0
1 Goals scored per game 2
0.7 Goals conceded per game 1.3
1 / 1 Scored per game (home / away) 2 / 2
1 Clean sheets 1
0 Failed to score 0
1 Longest winning run 1
0-1 Biggest win 0-2
- Biggest defeat -
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

Leeds vs Newcastle: preview and prediction

Leeds host Newcastle in the England Premier League (Regular Season - 4) on Monday, 14th September 2026 at 20:00 at Elland Road, Leeds. Leeds sit 7th in the table and Newcastle 8th.

Leeds have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-D-L-D-D). Newcastle are struggling, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-L-W).

In the last 9 meetings, Leeds won 2, Newcastle won 2 and 5 ended level. These games average 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% and over 2.5 goals in 44%.

Our goal model expects about 1.15 goals for Leeds and 1.5 for Newcastle. It gives Newcastle the edge (29% home win, 26% draw, 45% away win), 49% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.64.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Leeds vs Newcastle FAQs

What is the best prediction for Leeds vs Newcastle?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.64 odds).

Who will win Leeds vs Newcastle?

Newcastle are favourites: our model gives Leeds 29%, the draw 26% and Newcastle 45%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 53% chance in our model, and it happened in 67% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.7 goals in total, with a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Leeds vs Newcastle?

Kick-off is on Monday, 14th September 2026 at 20:00 at Elland Road, Leeds.

Who is the referee?

Michael Salisbury, England is in charge of this game.