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Le Mans vs Toulouse Prediction, H2H & Stats

France: Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 7
Le Mans

Le Mans

17th in table
LLLDL
Full time
0:3
HT 0 - 0
Toulouse

Toulouse

12th in table
LDWDL
46' J. Russell-Rowe
49' Jacen Russell Rowe
59' A. Donnum
87' C. Tengstedt
90+4' Djibril Sidibé
90' Samuel Yohou
Friday, 16 October 2026
Stade Marie-Marvingt, Le Mans
A. Petit

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 9621 21:10 +11 20 WWWWW
2 Lille 9531 12:6 +6 18 WDDWL
3 Lyon 9522 15:7 +8 17 WLWLW
4 Paris FC 9522 16:10 +6 17 WLWLW
5 Rennes 9513 20:19 +1 16 LWLWL
6 Marseille 9504 20:13 +7 15 WWWWL
7 Monaco 9432 12:10 +2 15 LDLDW
8 Nice 9423 13:12 +1 14 WWLWW
9 Lens 9414 16:13 +3 13 LWWWL
10 Stade Brestois 29 9333 16:12 +4 12 WLDWL
11 Lorient 9333 7:8 -1 12 LDWWL
12 Toulouse 9243 12:13 -1 10 LDWDW
13 Strasbourg 9315 17:19 -2 10 WLLLL
14 Auxerre 9315 13:23 -10 10 LDWLW
15 Angers 9225 9:17 -8 8 LDLLW
16 Estac Troyes 9225 7:16 -9 8 WDLLL
17 Le Mans 9144 11:18 -7 7 LDLLW
18 Le Havre 9027 9:20 -11 2 LLLLL

Top scorers

Ligue 1
1 L. SinayokoParis FC 8goals 5assists 9apps
2 E. LepaulRennes 7goals 0assists 7apps
3 C. ArcherAuxerre 6goals 0assists 7apps
4 A. GouiriMarseille 6goals 3assists 9apps
5 E. WahiNice 6goals 2assists 8apps
6 C. TengstedtToulouse 5goals 1assists 7apps
7 Gessime YassineStrasbourg 4goals 3assists 9apps
8 Ferran TorresParis Saint Germain 4goals 1assists 9apps
9 L. AjorqueStade Brestois 29 4goals 1assists 9apps
10 S. SzymańskiRennes 4goals 1assists 7apps

Recent form

1 W 4 D 5 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Estac Troyes 2 - 0 Le Mans L
25 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Auxerre 1 - 1 Le Mans D
16 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Le Mans 0 - 3 Toulouse L
10 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Paris Saint Germain 3 - 1 Le Mans L
02 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Guingamp 2 - 1 Le Mans L
19 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Le Mans 2 - 1 Lorient W
13 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Le Mans 2 - 2 Lens D
05 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Nice 1 - 1 Le Mans D
30 Aug 2026Ligue 1 Rennes 3 - 2 Le Mans L
22 Aug 2026Ligue 1 Le Mans 2 - 2 Stade Brestois 29 D
2 W 4 D 4 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Ligue 1 Marseille 2 - 0 Toulouse L
25 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Toulouse 0 - 0 Estac Troyes D
16 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Le Mans 0 - 3 Toulouse W
10 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Monaco 2 - 2 Toulouse D
03 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Toulouse 2 - 3 PAU L
19 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Toulouse 3 - 2 Le Havre W
12 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Lorient 2 - 2 Toulouse D
03 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Toulouse 0 - 1 Lille L
29 Aug 2026Ligue 1 Stade Brestois 29 2 - 2 Toulouse D
22 Aug 2026Ligue 1 Toulouse 0 - 2 Lyon L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Le Mans Draw Toulouse
Value spotted: Le Mans win at 3.12 (model 42% vs market 32%)

Most likely scores

1-1 7.9%
2-1 7.9%
1-2 7.3%
2-2 7.3%
3-1 5.2%
3-2 4.9%

Expected goals: 2 Le Mans · 1.85 Toulouse

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals90%
Over 2.5 goals74%
Over 3.5 goals53%
Both teams score73%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
45%
Form
55%
47%
Attack
53%
47%
Defence
53%
47%
Goal model
53%
0%
Head to head
0%
0%
Goals
0%
46%
Overall
53%

Season numbers

Ligue 1 2026

When the goals come

2
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
0
3
31-45'
0
4
46-60'
5
0
61-75'
2
0
76-90'
1
1
0-15'
0
2
16-30'
2
3
31-45'
3
1
46-60'
0
3
61-75'
3
1
76-90'
3
Le Mans Toulouse

Side by side

Le Mans Toulouse
6 Played 6
1 Won 1
3 Drawn 3
2 Lost 2
1.7 Goals scored per game 1.5
2 Goals conceded per game 1.8
2 / 1.3 Scored per game (home / away) 1 / 2
0 Clean sheets 0
0 Failed to score 2
1 Longest winning run 1
2-1 Biggest win 3-2
3-1 Biggest defeat 0-2
1/1 Penalties scored 2/2

Le Mans vs Toulouse: preview and prediction

Le Mans host Toulouse in the France Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 7) on Friday, 16th October 2026 at 19:45 at Stade Marie-Marvingt, Le Mans. Le Mans sit 17th in the table and Toulouse 12th.

Le Mans are struggling, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-L-D-L). Toulouse have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-D-W-D-L).

Our goal model expects about 2 goals for Le Mans and 1.85 for Toulouse. It gives Le Mans the edge (42% home win, 21% draw, 36% away win), 74% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Over 2.5 at odds of 1.76. We also like Over 1.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Le Mans vs Toulouse FAQs

What is the best prediction for Le Mans vs Toulouse?

Our top tip is Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5 (1.76 odds).

Who will win Le Mans vs Toulouse?

Le Mans are favourites: our model gives Le Mans 42%, the draw 21% and Toulouse 36%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 73% chance in our model.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.9 goals in total, with a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Le Mans vs Toulouse?

Kick-off is on Friday, 16th October 2026 at 19:45 at Stade Marie-Marvingt, Le Mans.

Who is the referee?

A. Petit is in charge of this game.