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Le Havre vs Marseille Prediction, H2H & Stats

France: Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 33
Le Havre

Le Havre

14th in table
WLLLL
Full time
0:1
HT 0 - 0
Marseille

Marseille

5th in table
LWLWW
41' Sofiane Boufal
47' Ayumu Seko
55' M. Greenwood (Penalty)
57' Yanis Zouaoui
59' Tochukwu Nnadi
81' Quinten Timber
88' Simon Ebonog
Sunday, 10 May 2026
Stade Océane, Le Havre
B. Bastien

Head to head

Last 6 meetings
6games
0Le Havre wins
0Draws
6Marseille wins
4.7Goals per game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
18 Oct 2025Ligue 1 Marseille 6 - 2 Le Havre
10 May 2025Ligue 1 Le Havre 1 - 3 Marseille
05 Jan 2025Ligue 1 Marseille 5 - 1 Le Havre
19 May 2024Ligue 1 Le Havre 1 - 2 Marseille
08 Oct 2023Ligue 1 Marseille 3 - 0 Le Havre
22 Jan 2012Coupe de France Marseille 3 - 1 Le Havre

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 74:29 +45 76 LWWDW
2 Lens 342248 66:35 +31 70 WLWDD
3 Lille 341879 52:37 +15 61 LWDWD
4 Lyon 3418610 53:40 +13 60 LLWWW
5 Marseille 3418511 63:45 +18 59 WWLDL
6 Rennes 341789 59:50 +9 59 LWLWW
7 Monaco 3416612 60:54 +6 54 LLWDD
8 Strasbourg 3415811 58:47 +11 53 WWDLW
9 Lorient 34111211 48:51 -3 45 LWDLW
10 Toulouse 3312813 47:46 +1 44 WWDLL
11 Paris FC 34111112 47:50 -3 44 WLWLW
12 Stade Brestois 29 3410915 43:55 -12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers 349916 29:48 -19 36 DDLLD
14 Le Havre 3471413 32:44 -12 35 WLDDD
15 Auxerre 3481016 34:44 -10 34 WWWLD
16 Nice 3471116 37:60 -23 32 WDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 29:52 -23 23 LWLLD
18 Metz 343823 32:76 -44 17 DLLDL

Top scorers

Ligue 1
1 E. LepaulRennes 21goals 5assists 34apps
2 M. GreenwoodMarseille 16goals 7assists 32apps
3 J. PanichelliStrasbourg 16goals 1assists 27apps
4 F. BalogunMonaco 13goals 4assists 30apps
5 O. ÉdouardLens 12goals 3assists 29apps
6 W. SaïdLens 12goals 2assists 29apps
7 L. SinayokoAuxerre 12goals 4assists 32apps
8 P. ŠulcLyon 11goals 3assists 27apps
9 B. BarcolaParis Saint Germain 11goals 1assists 29apps
10 F. ThauvinLens 11goals 6assists 33apps

Recent form

1 W 2 D 7 L in the last 10
30 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Le Havre 1 - 5 Paris Saint Germain L
25 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Marseille 4 - 3 Le Havre L
18 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Le Havre 1 - 3 Auxerre L
10 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Lille 1 - 0 Le Havre L
02 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Le Havre 6 - 1 Boulogne W
19 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Toulouse 3 - 2 Le Havre L
12 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Le Havre 0 - 0 Angers D
05 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Le Havre 1 - 2 Stade Brestois 29 L
29 Aug 2026Ligue 1 Lyon 1 - 1 Le Havre D
23 Aug 2026Ligue 1 Le Havre 0 - 1 Monaco L
4 W 0 D 6 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Ligue 1 Marseille 2 - 0 Toulouse W
25 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Marseille 4 - 3 Le Havre W
22 Oct 2026UEFA Europa League Sturm Graz 1 - 0 Marseille L
18 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Angers 2 - 5 Marseille W
15 Oct 2026UEFA Europa League Marseille 0 - 1 Olympiakos Piraeus L
11 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Estac Troyes 0 - 2 Marseille W
20 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Marseille 1 - 2 Paris Saint Germain L
17 Sep 2026UEFA Europa League Beşiktaş 4 - 1 Marseille L
11 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Rennes 1 - 0 Marseille L
06 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Marseille 2 - 3 Paris FC L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Le Havre Draw Marseille
Value spotted: Le Havre win at 3.72 (model 43% vs market 26%)

Most likely scores

1-1 12.3%
1-0 10.2%
2-1 8.9%
0-1 8.5%
2-0 7.4%
1-2 7.4%

Expected goals: 1.45 Le Havre · 1.2 Marseille

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals27%
Both teams score53%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
56%
Form
44%
62%
Attack
38%
53%
Defence
47%
51%
Goal model
49%
0%
Head to head
100%
21%
Goals
79%
48%
Overall
51%

Season numbers

Ligue 1 2025

When the goals come

5
0-15'
6
4
16-30'
10
7
31-45'
7
5
46-60'
9
6
61-75'
11
6
76-90'
17
5
0-15'
6
6
16-30'
6
9
31-45'
3
5
46-60'
9
6
61-75'
5
9
76-90'
14
Le Havre Marseille

Side by side

Le Havre Marseille
32 Played 32
6 Won 16
14 Drawn 5
12 Lost 11
0.9 Goals scored per game 1.8
1.3 Goals conceded per game 1.4
1.3 / 0.6 Scored per game (home / away) 2.4 / 1.3
7 Clean sheets 8
13 Failed to score 8
2 Longest winning run 5
3-1 Biggest win 6-2
1-2 Biggest defeat 0-2
2/2 Penalties scored 5/5

Le Havre vs Marseille: preview and prediction

Le Havre host Marseille in the France Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 33) on Sunday, 10th May 2026 at 20:00 at Stade Océane, Le Havre. Le Havre sit 14th in the table and Marseille 5th.

Le Havre are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-L-L-L). Marseille are in good shape, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-W-W).

In the last 6 meetings, Le Havre won 0, Marseille won 6 and 0 ended level. These games average 4.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 83% and over 2.5 goals in 100%.

Our goal model expects about 1.45 goals for Le Havre and 1.2 for Marseille. It gives Le Havre the edge (43% home win, 26% draw, 31% away win), 49% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Away or Draw. We also like BTTS Yes.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Le Havre vs Marseille FAQs

What is the best prediction for Le Havre vs Marseille?

Our top tip is Tip of the Day: Away or Draw.

Who will win Le Havre vs Marseille?

Le Havre are favourites: our model gives Le Havre 43%, the draw 26% and Marseille 31%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 53% chance in our model, and it happened in 83% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.7 goals in total, with a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Le Havre vs Marseille?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 10th May 2026 at 20:00 at Stade Océane, Le Havre.

Who is the referee?

B. Bastien is in charge of this game.