LDU de Quito vs Independiente del Valle Prediction, H2H & Stats

Ecuador: Liga Pro · Regular Season - 24
LDU de Quito

LDU de Quito

5th in table
WDLDL
Full time
0:2
HT 0 - 1
Independiente del Valle

Independiente del Valle

1st in table
WLDWW
1' J. Angulo
37' M. Estrada
90' R. Briones
Saturday, 8 August 2026
Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito
B. L. Salazar

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
4LDU de Quito wins
3Draws
1Independiente del Valle wins
2Goals per game
50%Both scored
38%Over 2.5
19 Apr 2026Liga Pro Independiente del Valle 0 - 2 LDU de Quito
10 Dec 2025Liga Pro Independiente del Valle 0 - 0 LDU de Quito
29 Nov 2025Liga Pro LDU de Quito 2 - 1 Independiente del Valle
22 Jun 2025Liga Pro LDU de Quito 1 - 1 Independiente del Valle
23 Feb 2025Liga Pro Independiente del Valle 1 - 1 LDU de Quito
14 Dec 2024Liga Pro Independiente del Valle 1 - 0 LDU de Quito
07 Dec 2024Liga Pro LDU de Quito 3 - 0 Independiente del Valle
09 Nov 2024Liga Pro LDU de Quito 2 - 1 Independiente del Valle

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Independiente del Valle 302424 73:33 +40 74 WWLDW
2 Universidad Catolica 301497 51:27 +24 51 WWDDW
3 Macara 301569 41:33 +8 51 WLWWL
4 Aucas 301488 33:28 +5 50 DDDWW
5 LDU de Quito 3013710 31:24 +7 46 DWDLW
6 Barcelona SC 3011118 32:25 +7 44 DDWLW
7 Libertad 3011811 33:34 -1 41 LWDLW
8 Leones del Norte 3010911 31:32 -1 39 LDWLL
9 Guayaquil City FC 3010911 33:36 -3 39 WLLWW
10 Emelec 3010911 25:34 -9 39 LWDWL
11 Mushuc Runa SC 3091110 35:38 -3 38 LDDWD
12 Deportivo Cuenca 3010614 25:37 -12 36 DLWLD
13 Orense SC 309615 36:47 -11 33 LWLLL
14 Tecnico Universitario 3010218 28:42 -14 32 WLLWL
15 Delfin SC 307716 19:31 -12 28 DLWLL
16 Manta FC 305619 17:42 -25 21 DLLWL

Top scorers

Liga Pro
1 F. PosseMacara 16goals 5assists 34apps
2 E. MeroGuayaquil City FC 13goals 5assists 35apps
3 Vilinton Germán Branda MerlínLibertad 13goals 2assists 34apps
4 R. CarrilloEmelec 13goals 3assists 34apps
5 A. CampanaMacara 12goals 3assists 19apps
6 A. HerreraOrense SC 12goals 3assists 35apps
7 J. FajardoUniversidad Catolica 11goals 3assists 33apps
8 Juan Luis Anangonó LeónLeones del Norte 11goals 1assists 35apps
9 F. AyuntaDelfin SC 11goals 1assists 33apps
10 C. GonzálezIndependiente del Valle 10goals 1assists 22apps

Recent form

4 W 3 D 3 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Liga Pro Independiente del Valle 2 - 0 LDU de Quito L
30 Oct 2026Copa Ecuador Universidad Catolica 2 - 2 LDU de Quito D
24 Oct 2026Liga Pro LDU de Quito 1 - 2 Macara L
17 Oct 2026Liga Pro Aucas 1 - 1 LDU de Quito D
11 Oct 2026Liga Pro LDU de Quito 2 - 1 Barcelona SC W
20 Sep 2026Liga Pro LDU de Quito 2 - 1 Universidad Catolica W
16 Sep 2026CONMEBOL Libertadores LDU de Quito 3 - 2 Palmeiras W
13 Sep 2026Liga Pro LDU de Quito 1 - 1 Deportivo Cuenca D
09 Sep 2026CONMEBOL Libertadores Palmeiras 1 - 0 LDU de Quito L
05 Sep 2026Liga Pro Tecnico Universitario 1 - 3 LDU de Quito W
6 W 2 D 2 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Liga Pro Independiente del Valle 2 - 0 LDU de Quito W
29 Oct 2026Copa Ecuador Delfin SC 0 - 3 Independiente del Valle W
23 Oct 2026Liga Pro Independiente del Valle 0 - 0 Universidad Catolica D
17 Oct 2026Liga Pro Macara 1 - 0 Independiente del Valle L
10 Oct 2026Liga Pro Independiente del Valle 2 - 1 Aucas W
25 Sep 2026Copa Ecuador Gualaceo SC 0 - 2 Independiente del Valle W
18 Sep 2026CONMEBOL Libertadores Flamengo 1 - 1 Independiente del Valle D
13 Sep 2026Liga Pro Libertad 2 - 3 Independiente del Valle W
11 Sep 2026CONMEBOL Libertadores Independiente del Valle 0 - 2 Flamengo L
05 Sep 2026Liga Pro Independiente del Valle 3 - 1 Macara W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
LDU de Quito Draw Independiente del Valle
Value spotted: Independiente del Valle win at 2.68 (model 51% vs market 35%)

Most likely scores

0-1 11.9%
1-1 11.9%
0-2 9.5%
1-2 9.5%
0-0 7.4%
1-0 7.4%

Expected goals: 1 LDU de Quito · 1.6 Independiente del Valle

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals73%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals26%
Both teams score50%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
32%
Form
68%
20%
Attack
80%
43%
Defence
57%
29%
Goal model
71%
75%
Head to head
25%
67%
Goals
33%
44%
Overall
55%

Season numbers

Liga Pro 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
5
2
16-30'
7
3
31-45'
9
7
46-60'
11
2
61-75'
7
4
76-90'
13
3
0-15'
3
1
16-30'
5
2
31-45'
3
6
46-60'
8
2
61-75'
2
4
76-90'
3
LDU de Quito Independiente del Valle

Side by side

LDU de Quito Independiente del Valle
23 Played 23
10 Won 19
5 Drawn 1
8 Lost 3
1 Goals scored per game 2.4
0.8 Goals conceded per game 1
0.9 / 1.1 Scored per game (home / away) 2.3 / 2.5
8 Clean sheets 10
9 Failed to score 2
3 Longest winning run 5
3-0 Biggest win 6-1
0-2 Biggest defeat 0-2
2/3 Penalties scored 0/2

LDU de Quito vs Independiente del Valle: preview and prediction

LDU de Quito host Independiente del Valle in the Ecuador Liga Pro (Regular Season - 24) on Saturday, 8th August 2026 at 01:00 at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito. LDU de Quito sit 5th in the table and Independiente del Valle 1st.

LDU de Quito have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-D-L-D-L). Independiente del Valle are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-L-D-W-W).

In the last 8 meetings, LDU de Quito won 4, Independiente del Valle won 1 and 3 ended level. These games average 2 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% and over 2.5 goals in 38%.

Our goal model expects about 1 goals for LDU de Quito and 1.6 for Independiente del Valle. It gives Independiente del Valle the edge (24% home win, 25% draw, 51% away win), 48% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 0-1.

Our pick was Away Win at odds of 2.68. We also like Under 2.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

LDU de Quito vs Independiente del Valle FAQs

What is the best prediction for LDU de Quito vs Independiente del Valle?

Our top tip is Away Win: Away Win (2.68 odds).

Who will win LDU de Quito vs Independiente del Valle?

Independiente del Valle are favourites: our model gives LDU de Quito 24%, the draw 25% and Independiente del Valle 51%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 50% chance in our model, and it happened in 50% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.6 goals in total, with a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is LDU de Quito vs Independiente del Valle?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 8th August 2026 at 01:00 at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito.

Who is the referee?

B. L. Salazar is in charge of this game.