Las Vegas Lights vs El Paso Locomotive Prediction, H2H & Stats

USA: USL Championship · Group Stage
Las Vegas Lights

Las Vegas Lights

11th in table
LWLLL
Full time
1:2
HT 1 - 1
El Paso Locomotive

El Paso Locomotive

3rd in table
DLWLL
20' A. Mendez
43' B. Mines
45' J. Rodriguez
52' A. Quezada
69' M. Ybarra
80' A. Ortiz
Sunday, 5 July 2026
Cashman Field
E. Carvajal

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
3Las Vegas Lights wins
0Draws
6El Paso Locomotive wins
3.4Goals per game
44%Both scored
56%Over 2.5
05 Apr 2026USL Championship El Paso Locomotive 3 - 2 Las Vegas Lights
03 Aug 2025USL Championship El Paso Locomotive 6 - 0 Las Vegas Lights
25 May 2025USL Championship Las Vegas Lights 1 - 2 El Paso Locomotive
13 Jul 2024USL Championship El Paso Locomotive 0 - 2 Las Vegas Lights
24 Mar 2024USL Championship Las Vegas Lights 1 - 0 El Paso Locomotive
14 Sep 2023USL Championship Las Vegas Lights 0 - 1 El Paso Locomotive
15 Jun 2023USL Championship El Paso Locomotive 2 - 1 Las Vegas Lights
28 May 2022USL Championship Las Vegas Lights 0 - 1 El Paso Locomotive
24 Mar 2022USL Championship El Paso Locomotive 4 - 5 Las Vegas Lights

USL Championship table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 New Mexico United 301578 45:34 +11 52 WLWWL
2 Sacramento Republic 3013125 42:28 +14 51 WWDDW
3 El Paso Locomotive 3015510 48:38 +10 50 LLWLD
4 Lexington 3014610 57:39 +18 48 DWDWW
5 Colorado Springs 301389 44:38 +6 47 WWDDD
6 San Antonio 3011127 32:30 +2 45 WWDLD
7 FC Tulsa 3011109 34:31 +3 43 LLDDW
8 Phoenix Rising 30101010 45:46 -1 40 DWWLL
9 Orange County SC 3010911 39:49 -10 39 LLLLW
10 Oakland Roots 3091110 39:40 -1 38 LWDDW
11 Las Vegas Lights 3010614 41:48 -7 36 LLLWL
12 Monterey Bay 306618 32:52 -20 24 WLLWL

Top scorers

USL Championship
1 J. LocadiaMiami FC 6goals 0assists 14apps
2 A. MéndezEl Paso Locomotive 2goals 1assists 4apps
3 Pedro SantosLoudoun United 0goals 0assists 5apps
4 J. SoñoraMiami FC 0goals 0assists 2apps
5 Mattheus OliveiraTampa Bay Rowdies 0goals 0assists 2apps

Recent form

2 W 1 D 7 L in the last 10
25 Oct 2026USL Championship Monterey Bay 2 - 1 Las Vegas Lights L
18 Oct 2026USL Championship Las Vegas Lights 3 - 5 Lexington L
11 Oct 2026USL Championship Phoenix Rising 3 - 2 Las Vegas Lights L
04 Oct 2026USL Championship Las Vegas Lights 1 - 0 San Antonio W
01 Oct 2026USL Championship Sacramento Republic 3 - 2 Las Vegas Lights L
20 Sep 2026USL Championship Las Vegas Lights 1 - 1 Hartford Athletic D
13 Sep 2026USL Championship Orange County SC 0 - 2 Las Vegas Lights W
06 Sep 2026USL Championship Las Vegas Lights 1 - 2 New Mexico United L
30 Aug 2026USL Championship Las Vegas Lights 0 - 2 Charleston Battery L
22 Aug 2026USL Championship Lexington 2 - 0 Las Vegas Lights L
5 W 1 D 3 L in the last 9
25 Oct 2026USL Championship El Paso Locomotive 0 - 1 New Mexico United L
18 Oct 2026USL Championship El Paso Locomotive 0 - 1 Sacramento Republic L
11 Oct 2026USL Championship El Paso Locomotive 2 - 1 Orange County SC W
03 Oct 2026USL Championship Lexington 3 - 1 El Paso Locomotive L
26 Sep 2026USL Championship El Paso Locomotive 1 - 1 FC Tulsa D
20 Sep 2026USL Championship Phoenix Rising 1 - 3 El Paso Locomotive W
12 Sep 2026USL Championship Louisville City 1 - 2 El Paso Locomotive W
30 Aug 2026USL Championship El Paso Locomotive 4 - 1 Loudoun United W
27 Aug 2026USL Championship El Paso Locomotive 2 - 1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Las Vegas Lights Draw El Paso Locomotive

Most likely scores

1-1 12.7%
0-1 11.1%
1-0 9.4%
1-2 8.6%
0-0 8.2%
0-2 7.5%

Expected goals: 1.15 Las Vegas Lights · 1.35 El Paso Locomotive

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Both teams score51%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
78%
Form
22%
64%
Attack
36%
56%
Defence
44%
41%
Goal model
59%
40%
Head to head
60%
35%
Goals
65%
52%
Overall
47%

Season numbers

USL Championship 2026

When the goals come

2
0-15'
5
2
16-30'
4
5
31-45'
5
4
46-60'
7
4
61-75'
1
4
76-90'
2
2
0-15'
2
4
16-30'
3
4
31-45'
4
5
46-60'
3
3
61-75'
4
4
76-90'
6
Las Vegas Lights El Paso Locomotive

Side by side

Las Vegas Lights El Paso Locomotive
13 Played 13
4 Won 4
3 Drawn 4
6 Lost 5
1.5 Goals scored per game 1.8
1.8 Goals conceded per game 1.8
1.3 / 1.7 Scored per game (home / away) 1.7 / 1.9
3 Clean sheets 2
1 Failed to score 1
1 Longest winning run 4
2-0 Biggest win 3-2
2-3 Biggest defeat 1-4
1/2 Penalties scored 4/4

Las Vegas Lights vs El Paso Locomotive: preview and prediction

Las Vegas Lights host El Paso Locomotive in the USA USL Championship (Group Stage) on Sunday, 5th July 2026 at 03:30 at Cashman Field. Las Vegas Lights sit 11th in the table and El Paso Locomotive 3rd.

Las Vegas Lights are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-L-L). El Paso Locomotive are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-W-L-L).

In the last 9 meetings, Las Vegas Lights won 3, El Paso Locomotive won 6 and 0 ended level. These games average 3.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 44% and over 2.5 goals in 56%.

Our goal model expects about 1.15 goals for Las Vegas Lights and 1.35 for El Paso Locomotive. It gives El Paso Locomotive the edge (32% home win, 27% draw, 41% away win), 46% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.42. We also like Under 3.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Las Vegas Lights vs El Paso Locomotive FAQs

What is the best prediction for Las Vegas Lights vs El Paso Locomotive?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.42 odds).

Who will win Las Vegas Lights vs El Paso Locomotive?

El Paso Locomotive are favourites: our model gives Las Vegas Lights 32%, the draw 27% and El Paso Locomotive 41%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 51% chance in our model, and it happened in 44% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.5 goals in total, with a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Las Vegas Lights vs El Paso Locomotive?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 5th July 2026 at 03:30 at Cashman Field.

Who is the referee?

E. Carvajal is in charge of this game.