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Korea Republic U23 vs China PR U23 Prediction, H2H & Stats

World: Asian Games · Semi-finals
Korea Republic U23

Korea Republic U23

WWWWD
Full time
2:1
HT 1 - 1
China PR U23

China PR U23

1st in table
DDWLD
18' Xu Bin
23' Y. Wang
33' Lee Young-Jun
42' Bae Jun-ho
82' Bae Jun-Ho
86+4' Antonio Puche Vicente
Wednesday, 30 September 2026
Osaka Nagai Stadium, Osaka
Sadullo Gulmurodi

Head to head

Last 5 meetings
5games
4Korea Republic U23 wins
0Draws
1China PR U23 wins
2Goals per game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
19 Apr 2024AFC U23 Asian Cup China PR U23 0 - 2 Korea Republic U23
01 Oct 2023Asian Games China PR U23 0 - 2 Korea Republic U23
19 Jun 2023Friendlies China PR U23 1 - 0 Korea Republic U23
15 Jun 2023Friendlies China PR U23 1 - 3 Korea Republic U23
09 Jan 2020AFC U23 Asian Cup Korea Republic U23 1 - 0 China PR U23

Asian Games table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 China PR U23 3120 2:1 +1 5 WLWDD
2 Korea DPR U23 3111 5:3 +2 4 LWDL
3 Iran U23 3111 4:5 -1 4 LDW
4 UAE U23 3021 1:3 -2 2 DDL

Recent form

7 W 2 D 1 L in the last 10
06 Oct 2026Friendlies Australia U23 2 - 2 Korea Republic U23 D
03 Oct 2026Asian Games Korea Republic U23 1 - 0 Japan U23 W
03 Oct 2026Friendlies Australia U23 1 - 2 Korea Republic U23 W
30 Sep 2026Asian Games Korea Republic U23 2 - 1 China PR U23 W
25 Sep 2026Asian Games Korea Republic U23 4 - 0 Vietnam U23 W
22 Sep 2026Asian Games Korea Republic U23 2 - 0 Saudi Arabia U23 W
15 Sep 2026Asian Games Qatar U23 1 - 4 Korea Republic U23 W
09 Jun 2026Friendlies Korea Republic U23 0 - 1 Kyrgyz Republic U23 L
06 Jun 2026Friendlies Thailand U23 2 - 3 Korea Republic U23 W
03 Jun 2026Friendlies Korea Republic U23 1 - 1 UAE U23 D
6 W 3 D 1 L in the last 10
03 Oct 2026Asian Games China PR U23 2 - 2 Uzbekistan U23 D
30 Sep 2026Asian Games Korea Republic U23 2 - 1 China PR U23 L
26 Sep 2026Asian Games China PR U23 3 - 0 Thailand U23 W
23 Sep 2026Asian Games China PR U23 0 - 0 UAE U23 D
20 Sep 2026Asian Games Iran U23 0 - 0 China PR U23 D
16 Sep 2026Asian Games China PR U23 2 - 1 Korea DPR U23 W
10 Sep 2026Friendlies China PR U23 2 - 0 Uzbekistan U23 W
09 Jun 2026Friendlies China PR U23 3 - 0 Tajikistan U23 W
06 Jun 2026Friendlies China PR U23 1 - 0 Tajikistan U23 W
31 Mar 2026Friendlies China PR U23 1 - 0 Vietnam U23 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Korea Republic U23 Draw China PR U23
Value spotted: China PR U23 win at 8.75 (model 18% vs market 11%)

Most likely scores

1-0 14.2%
2-0 11.7%
1-1 11.4%
2-1 9.4%
0-0 8.6%
0-1 6.9%

Expected goals: 1.65 Korea Republic U23 · 0.8 China PR U23

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals70%
Over 2.5 goals44%
Over 3.5 goals23%
Both teams score44%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
53%
Form
47%
67%
Attack
33%
50%
Defence
50%
0%
Goal model
0%
80%
Head to head
20%
80%
Goals
20%
66%
Overall
34%

Season numbers

Asian Games 2026

When the goals come

2
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
1
3
61-75'
2
3
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
1
0
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
0
Korea Republic U23 China PR U23

Side by side

Korea Republic U23 China PR U23
3 Played 4
3 Won 2
0 Drawn 2
0 Lost 0
3.3 Goals scored per game 1.3
0.3 Goals conceded per game 0.3
3 / 4 Scored per game (home / away) 1.7 / 0
2 Clean sheets 3
0 Failed to score 2
3 Longest winning run 1
4-0 Biggest win 3-0
- Biggest defeat -
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

Korea Republic U23 vs China PR U23: preview and prediction

Korea Republic U23 host China PR U23 in the World Asian Games (Semi-finals) on Wednesday, 30th September 2026 at 07:00 at Osaka Nagai Stadium, Osaka.

Korea Republic U23 are flying, with 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-W-W-D). China PR U23 have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-D-W-L-D).

In the last 5 meetings, Korea Republic U23 won 4, China PR U23 won 1 and 0 ended level. These games average 2 goals, with both teams scoring in 20% and over 2.5 goals in 20%.

Our goal model expects about 1.65 goals for Korea Republic U23 and 0.8 for China PR U23. It gives Korea Republic U23 the edge (58% home win, 24% draw, 18% away win), 44% for over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Home Win at odds of 1.32. We also like Draw.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Korea Republic U23 vs China PR U23 FAQs

What is the best prediction for Korea Republic U23 vs China PR U23?

Our top tip is Home Win: Home Win (1.32 odds).

Who will win Korea Republic U23 vs China PR U23?

Korea Republic U23 are favourites: our model gives Korea Republic U23 58%, the draw 24% and China PR U23 18%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 44% chance in our model, and it happened in 20% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.5 goals in total, with a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Korea Republic U23 vs China PR U23?

Kick-off is on Wednesday, 30th September 2026 at 07:00 at Osaka Nagai Stadium, Osaka.

Who is the referee?

Sadullo Gulmurodi is in charge of this game.