Kerry FC vs UCD Prediction, H2H & Stats

Ireland: First Division · Regular Season - 28
Kerry FC

Kerry FC

LWWWD
Full time
1:1
HT 0 - 1
UCD

UCD

2nd in table
LLWDW
15' C. Akinrintayo
44' C. Akinrintayo
47' N. Brookwell
59' E. Lee
60' M. McCullagh
76' J. Goad
Friday, 21 August 2026
Mounthawk Park, Tralee

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
2Kerry FC wins
1Draws
6UCD wins
2Goals per game
44%Both scored
44%Over 2.5
19 Jun 2026First Division UCD 0 - 1 Kerry FC
10 Apr 2026First Division Kerry FC 1 - 1 UCD
13 Feb 2026First Division UCD 2 - 1 Kerry FC
19 Sep 2025First Division UCD 2 - 1 Kerry FC
25 Jul 2025First Division Kerry FC 0 - 3 UCD
02 May 2025First Division UCD 0 - 1 Kerry FC
28 Mar 2025First Division Kerry FC 0 - 1 UCD
30 Aug 2024First Division Kerry FC 0 - 1 UCD
07 Jun 2024First Division UCD 2 - 1 Kerry FC

First Division table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Cork City 362367 74:35 +39 75 DWLLW
2 UCD 3616812 67:51 +16 56 WDWLL
3 Bray Wanderers 3615912 67:53 +14 54 LDLWW
4 Kerry 36141012 45:41 +4 52 DWWWL
5 Longford Town 36141012 49:46 +3 52 WDDWW
6 Cobh Ramblers 3614715 46:54 -8 49 LLWDL
7 Athlone Town 3613914 42:43 -1 48 LLWDW
8 Wexford 3611916 44:58 -14 42 LDDLW
9 Treaty United 3611916 37:53 -16 42 WWLWL
10 Finn Harps 367722 33:70 -37 28 WLLLL

Recent form

5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10
16 Oct 2026First Division Kerry FC 1 - 1 Cork City D
09 Oct 2026First Division Cobh Ramblers 0 - 2 Kerry FC W
02 Oct 2026First Division Finn Harps 1 - 2 Kerry FC W
25 Sep 2026First Division Kerry FC 1 - 0 Wexford W
18 Sep 2026First Division Athlone Town 3 - 0 Kerry FC L
11 Sep 2026First Division Kerry FC 0 - 1 Bray Wanderers L
05 Sep 2026First Division Longford Town 0 - 1 Kerry FC W
28 Aug 2026First Division Kerry FC 3 - 1 Treaty United W
21 Aug 2026First Division Kerry FC 1 - 1 UCD D
15 Aug 2026FAI Cup Sligo Rovers 4 - 0 Kerry FC L
3 W 4 D 3 L in the last 10
16 Oct 2026First Division Wexford 2 - 5 UCD W
09 Oct 2026First Division UCD 1 - 1 Longford Town D
02 Oct 2026First Division Treaty United 0 - 4 UCD W
25 Sep 2026First Division UCD 1 - 3 Bray Wanderers L
18 Sep 2026First Division Cork City 5 - 1 UCD L
11 Sep 2026First Division UCD 2 - 2 Athlone Town D
04 Sep 2026First Division Cobh Ramblers 1 - 1 UCD D
28 Aug 2026First Division UCD 5 - 4 Finn Harps W
21 Aug 2026First Division Kerry FC 1 - 1 UCD D
14 Aug 2026FAI Cup UCD 1 - 2 Derry City L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Kerry FC Draw UCD
Value spotted: Kerry FC win at 2.67 (model 45% vs market 34%)

Most likely scores

1-1 12.5%
1-0 11.3%
2-1 9%
0-1 8.6%
2-0 8.2%
0-0 7.8%

Expected goals: 1.45 Kerry FC · 1.1 UCD

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals72%
Over 2.5 goals47%
Over 3.5 goals25%
Both teams score51%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
59%
Form
41%
55%
Attack
45%
65%
Defence
35%
52%
Goal model
48%
29%
Head to head
71%
33%
Goals
67%
48%
Overall
51%

Season numbers

First Division 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
6
0
16-30'
9
1
31-45'
6
0
46-60'
9
0
61-75'
5
0
76-90'
12
7
0-15'
5
9
16-30'
6
10
31-45'
4
10
46-60'
3
9
61-75'
7
21
76-90'
6
Kerry FC UCD

Side by side

Kerry FC UCD
27 Played 27
9 Won 13
8 Drawn 4
10 Lost 10
1.3 Goals scored per game 1.7
1.2 Goals conceded per game 1.2
1.4 / 1.1 Scored per game (home / away) 2 / 1.4
7 Clean sheets 11
5 Failed to score 6
3 Longest winning run 4
3-0 Biggest win 4-0
1-2 Biggest defeat 3-4
0/0 Penalties scored 2/2

Kerry FC vs UCD: preview and prediction

Kerry FC host UCD in the Ireland First Division (Regular Season - 28) on Friday, 21st August 2026 at 19:45 at Mounthawk Park, Tralee.

Kerry FC are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (L-W-W-W-D). UCD have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-W-D-W).

In the last 9 meetings, Kerry FC won 2, UCD won 6 and 1 ended level. These games average 2 goals, with both teams scoring in 44% and over 2.5 goals in 44%.

Our goal model expects about 1.45 goals for Kerry FC and 1.1 for UCD. It gives Kerry FC the edge (45% home win, 26% draw, 29% away win), 47% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.46. We also like Over 2.5, Draw.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Kerry FC vs UCD FAQs

What is the best prediction for Kerry FC vs UCD?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.46 odds).

Who will win Kerry FC vs UCD?

Kerry FC are favourites: our model gives Kerry FC 45%, the draw 26% and UCD 29%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 51% chance in our model, and it happened in 44% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.6 goals in total, with a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Kerry FC vs UCD?

Kick-off is on Friday, 21st August 2026 at 19:45 at Mounthawk Park, Tralee.