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Kelty Hearts vs Dumbarton Prediction, H2H & Stats

Scotland: League Two · Regular Season - 4
Kelty Hearts

Kelty Hearts

5th in table
LWLLW
Full time
3:1
HT 2 - 1
Dumbarton

Dumbarton

8th in table
LLDWL
16' L. McIntosh (Penalty)
19' J. Hislop
20' L. Moore
40' R. Shanley
52' K. Kirkpatrick
72' A. Ferguson
73' A. Ferguson
74' F. Moffett
Saturday, 22 August 2026
New Central Park, Kelty

Head to head

Last 6 meetings
6games
2Kelty Hearts wins
2Draws
2Dumbarton wins
4Goals per game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
23 Sep 2025Challenge Cup Dumbarton 3 - 3 Kelty Hearts
05 Apr 2025League One Kelty Hearts 0 - 6 Dumbarton
28 Dec 2024League One Dumbarton 2 - 0 Kelty Hearts
09 Nov 2024League One Kelty Hearts 2 - 0 Dumbarton
31 Aug 2024League One Dumbarton 2 - 2 Kelty Hearts
09 Sep 2023Challenge Cup Dumbarton 1 - 3 Kelty Hearts

League Two table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Stranraer 12732 25:9 +16 24 DWWDW
2 Clyde 12732 27:18 +9 24 DWWLD
3 Elgin City 12633 28:17 +11 21 WDWWL
4 Spartans 12534 25:22 +3 18 WLWLL
5 Kelty Hearts 12507 16:22 -6 15 LWLWL
6 Stirling Albion 12435 19:26 -7 15 WDWWD
7 Edinburgh City 12543 22:19 +3 14 WDLDW
8 Dumbarton 12417 13:20 -7 13 LDLWW
9 Forfar Athletic 12327 13:24 -11 11 LLLLW
10 Annan Athletic 12309 13:24 -11 9 LLLLL

Recent form

4 W 0 D 6 L in the last 10
03 Nov 2026Challenge Cup Morton 0 - 1 Kelty Hearts W
31 Oct 2026League Two Kelty Hearts 0 - 1 Elgin City L
24 Oct 2026FA Cup Edinburgh City 4 - 1 Kelty Hearts L
17 Oct 2026League Two Kelty Hearts 2 - 1 Forfar Athletic W
13 Oct 2026Challenge Cup East Kilbride 2 - 1 Kelty Hearts L
10 Oct 2026League Two Stirling Albion 2 - 1 Kelty Hearts L
03 Oct 2026League Two Spartans 0 - 2 Kelty Hearts W
26 Sep 2026Challenge Cup Kelty Hearts 2 - 1 Montrose W
22 Sep 2026Challenge Cup Kelty Hearts 3 - 5 Hearts U21 L
19 Sep 2026League Two Kelty Hearts 1 - 3 Edinburgh City L
5 W 1 D 4 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026League Two Edinburgh City 2 - 1 Dumbarton L
24 Oct 2026FA Cup Dumbarton 1 - 0 Keith W
17 Oct 2026League Two Dumbarton 1 - 1 Stirling Albion D
13 Oct 2026Challenge Cup Clydebank 4 - 0 Dumbarton L
10 Oct 2026League Two Clyde 2 - 1 Dumbarton L
03 Oct 2026League Two Dumbarton 2 - 1 Forfar Athletic W
26 Sep 2026Challenge Cup Dumbarton 3 - 2 Banks O' Dee W
22 Sep 2026Challenge Cup Dumbarton 3 - 2 Kilmarnock II W
19 Sep 2026League Two Dumbarton 3 - 0 Spartans W
12 Sep 2026League Two Stranraer 3 - 1 Dumbarton L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Kelty Hearts Draw Dumbarton
Value spotted: Kelty Hearts win at 1.63 (model 66% vs market 56%)

Most likely scores

2-1 9.3%
2-0 8.1%
3-1 7.8%
1-1 7.5%
3-0 6.8%
1-0 6.5%

Expected goals: 2.5 Kelty Hearts · 1.15 Dumbarton

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals87%
Over 2.5 goals70%
Over 3.5 goals49%
Both teams score62%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
50%
Form
50%
80%
Attack
20%
42%
Defence
58%
100%
Goal model
0%
38%
Head to head
62%
35%
Goals
65%
49%
Overall
51%

Season numbers

League Two 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
1
1
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
0
1
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
1
0
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
1
1
61-75'
0
3
76-90'
1
Kelty Hearts Dumbarton

Side by side

Kelty Hearts Dumbarton
3 Played 3
1 Won 1
0 Drawn 0
2 Lost 2
1.3 Goals scored per game 0.3
2.3 Goals conceded per game 1.7
3 / 0.5 Scored per game (home / away) 0.5 / 0
0 Clean sheets 1
1 Failed to score 2
1 Longest winning run 1
3-2 Biggest win 1-0
4-1 Biggest defeat 0-3
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

Kelty Hearts vs Dumbarton: preview and prediction

Kelty Hearts host Dumbarton in the Scotland League Two (Regular Season - 4) on Saturday, 22nd August 2026 at 15:00 at New Central Park, Kelty. Kelty Hearts sit 5th in the table and Dumbarton 8th.

Kelty Hearts are struggling, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-L-W). Dumbarton are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-D-W-L).

In the last 6 meetings, Kelty Hearts won 2, Dumbarton won 2 and 2 ended level. These games average 4 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% and over 2.5 goals in 67%.

Our goal model expects about 2.5 goals for Kelty Hearts and 1.15 for Dumbarton. It gives Kelty Hearts the edge (66% home win, 18% draw, 16% away win), 70% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 2-1.

Our pick was Home Win at odds of 1.63. We also like Over 2.5, Draw.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Kelty Hearts vs Dumbarton FAQs

What is the best prediction for Kelty Hearts vs Dumbarton?

Our top tip is Home Win: Home Win (1.63 odds).

Who will win Kelty Hearts vs Dumbarton?

Kelty Hearts are favourites: our model gives Kelty Hearts 66%, the draw 18% and Dumbarton 16%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 62% chance in our model, and it happened in 50% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.7 goals in total, with a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Kelty Hearts vs Dumbarton?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 22nd August 2026 at 15:00 at New Central Park, Kelty.