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Kashima vs Tokyo Verdy Prediction, H2H & Stats

Japan: J1 League · Regular Season - 5
Kashima

Kashima

1st in table
WDLWW
Full time
2:0
HT 2 - 0
Tokyo Verdy

Tokyo Verdy

5th in table
LLDWW
26' Y. Suzuki
45' Y. Suzuki (Penalty)
66' Kazuya Miyahara
Saturday, 7 March 2026
Mercari Stadium, Kashima
F. Nakamura

Head to head

Last 4 meetings
4games
2Kashima wins
1Draws
1Tokyo Verdy wins
3.5Goals per game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
30 Nov 2025J1 League Tokyo Verdy 0 - 1 Kashima
22 Feb 2025J1 League Kashima 4 - 0 Tokyo Verdy
25 Aug 2024J1 League Tokyo Verdy 2 - 1 Kashima
12 May 2024J1 League Kashima 3 - 3 Tokyo Verdy

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Kashima 181503 31:11 +20 45
2 FC Tokyo 181305 32:18 +14 37
3 Machida Zelvia 181305 28:22 +6 37
4 Kawasaki Frontale 181008 26:28 -2 28
5 Tokyo Verdy 181008 22:26 -4 28
6 Urawa 187011 25:22 +3 25
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 186012 28:31 -3 20
8 Kashiwa Reysol 187011 22:24 -2 20
9 Mito Hollyhock 186012 23:39 -16 18
10 JEF United Chiba 183015 18:34 -16 12

Top scorers

J1 League
1 K. TanimuraYokohama F. Marinos 10goals 2assists 19apps
2 Y. YamagishiNagoya Grampus 10goals 0assists 19apps
3 Léo CearáKashima 10goals 3assists 20apps
4 Y. KimuraNagoya Grampus 9goals 2assists 20apps
5 ErikMachida Zelvia 8goals 0assists 18apps
6 D. HümmetGamba Osaka 8goals 0assists 18apps
7 S. SakuragawaCerezo Osaka 8goals 1assists 20apps
8 Matheus JesusV-varen Nagasaki 7goals 4assists 18apps
9 Oh Se-HunShimizu S-pulse 7goals 1assists 19apps
10 ErisonKawasaki Frontale 7goals 0assists 16apps

Recent form

7 W 2 D 1 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026J1 League Kashima 4 - 1 Cerezo Osaka W
28 Oct 2026AFC Champions League Elite Kashima 3 - 0 Pohang Steelers W
24 Oct 2026J1 League Kashima 2 - 3 Kashiwa Reysol L
21 Oct 2026J1 League Kyoto Sanga 2 - 2 Kashima D
17 Oct 2026J1 League Kashima 2 - 0 V-varen Nagasaki W
13 Oct 2026AFC Champions League Elite Công An Nhân Dân 0 - 1 Kashima W
09 Oct 2026J1 League Kashima 2 - 0 Gamba Osaka W
23 Sep 2026Emperor Cup Kashima 3 - 1 Ventforet Kofu W
19 Sep 2026J1 League Kawasaki Frontale 3 - 3 Kashima D
15 Sep 2026AFC Champions League Elite Kashima 7 - 1 Newcastle Jets W
3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026J1 League V-varen Nagasaki 1 - 2 Tokyo Verdy W
24 Oct 2026J1 League Tokyo Verdy 3 - 1 Avispa Fukuoka W
21 Oct 2026J1 League Yokohama F. Marinos 2 - 2 Tokyo Verdy D
17 Oct 2026J1 League Tokyo Verdy 0 - 4 FC Tokyo L
11 Oct 2026J1 League Tokyo Verdy 0 - 2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L
07 Oct 2026Emperor Cup Gainare Tottori 0 - 0 Tokyo Verdy D
29 Sep 2026J-League Cup Sagan Tosu 2 - 1 Tokyo Verdy L
19 Sep 2026J1 League Urawa 3 - 1 Tokyo Verdy L
13 Sep 2026J1 League Tokyo Verdy 1 - 1 JEF United Chiba D
09 Sep 2026J-League Cup Biwako Shiga 0 - 1 Tokyo Verdy W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Kashima Draw Tokyo Verdy
Value spotted: Tokyo Verdy win at 4.37 (model 33% vs market 21%)

Most likely scores

1-1 10.2%
2-1 8.9%
1-2 7.6%
1-0 6.8%
2-2 6.7%
2-0 5.9%

Expected goals: 1.75 Kashima · 1.5 Tokyo Verdy

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals63%
Over 3.5 goals41%
Both teams score64%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
50%
Form
50%
41%
Attack
59%
64%
Defence
36%
100%
Goal model
0%
64%
Head to head
36%
64%
Goals
36%
56%
Overall
43%

Season numbers

J1 League 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
1
3
31-45'
0
2
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
2
2
76-90'
4
1
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
2
0
46-60'
3
0
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
1
Kashima Tokyo Verdy

Side by side

Kashima Tokyo Verdy
4 Played 4
3 Won 3
0 Drawn 0
1 Lost 1
1.8 Goals scored per game 2.5
1 Goals conceded per game 1.8
1.5 / 2 Scored per game (home / away) 3 / 2
2 Clean sheets 0
0 Failed to score 0
0 Longest winning run 3
2-0 Biggest win 3-1
2-1 Biggest defeat 3-2
1/1 Penalties scored 0/0

Kashima vs Tokyo Verdy: preview and prediction

Kashima host Tokyo Verdy in the Japan J1 League (Regular Season - 5) on Saturday, 7th March 2026 at 08:00 at Mercari Stadium, Kashima. Kashima sit 1st in the table and Tokyo Verdy 5th.

Kashima are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-D-L-W-W). Tokyo Verdy have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-D-W-W).

In the last 4 meetings, Kashima won 2, Tokyo Verdy won 1 and 1 ended level. These games average 3.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% and over 2.5 goals in 75%.

Our goal model expects about 1.75 goals for Kashima and 1.5 for Tokyo Verdy. It gives Kashima the edge (44% home win, 23% draw, 33% away win), 63% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Over 1.5 at odds of 1.40. We also like Home Win.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Kashima vs Tokyo Verdy FAQs

What is the best prediction for Kashima vs Tokyo Verdy?

Our top tip is Free Tip: Over 1.5 (1.40 odds).

Who will win Kashima vs Tokyo Verdy?

Kashima are favourites: our model gives Kashima 44%, the draw 23% and Tokyo Verdy 33%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 64% chance in our model, and it happened in 50% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.3 goals in total, with a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Kashima vs Tokyo Verdy?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 7th March 2026 at 08:00 at Mercari Stadium, Kashima.

Who is the referee?

F. Nakamura is in charge of this game.