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Kashima vs FC Tokyo Prediction, H2H & Stats

Japan: J1 League · Regular Season - 18
Kashima

Kashima

1st in table
WDLWW
Full time
1:0
HT 0 - 0
FC Tokyo

FC Tokyo

2nd in table
LWDWW
39' Sei Muroya
79' S. Morooka
89' Yuma Suzuki
Saturday, 23 May 2026
Mercari Stadium, Kashima
H. Kimura

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
4Kashima wins
2Draws
3FC Tokyo wins
2.3Goals per game
56%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
07 Feb 2026J1 League FC Tokyo 1 - 1 Kashima
10 Aug 2025J1 League FC Tokyo 0 - 1 Kashima
01 Mar 2025J1 League Kashima 2 - 0 FC Tokyo
20 Jul 2024J1 League Kashima 2 - 1 FC Tokyo
07 Apr 2024J1 League FC Tokyo 2 - 0 Kashima
16 Jul 2023J1 League FC Tokyo 1 - 3 Kashima
20 May 2023J1 League Kashima 1 - 1 FC Tokyo
01 Oct 2022J1 League Kashima 0 - 1 FC Tokyo
29 May 2022J1 League FC Tokyo 3 - 1 Kashima

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Kashima 181503 31:11 +20 45
2 FC Tokyo 181305 32:18 +14 37
3 Machida Zelvia 181305 28:22 +6 37
4 Kawasaki Frontale 181008 26:28 -2 28
5 Tokyo Verdy 181008 22:26 -4 28
6 Urawa 187011 25:22 +3 25
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 186012 28:31 -3 20
8 Kashiwa Reysol 187011 22:24 -2 20
9 Mito Hollyhock 186012 23:39 -16 18
10 JEF United Chiba 183015 18:34 -16 12

Top scorers

J1 League
1 K. TanimuraYokohama F. Marinos 10goals 2assists 19apps
2 Y. YamagishiNagoya Grampus 10goals 0assists 19apps
3 Léo CearáKashima 10goals 3assists 20apps
4 Y. KimuraNagoya Grampus 9goals 2assists 20apps
5 ErikMachida Zelvia 8goals 0assists 18apps
6 D. HümmetGamba Osaka 8goals 0assists 18apps
7 S. SakuragawaCerezo Osaka 8goals 1assists 20apps
8 Matheus JesusV-varen Nagasaki 7goals 4assists 18apps
9 Oh Se-HunShimizu S-pulse 7goals 1assists 19apps
10 ErisonKawasaki Frontale 7goals 0assists 16apps

Recent form

7 W 2 D 1 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026J1 League Kashima 4 - 1 Cerezo Osaka W
28 Oct 2026AFC Champions League Elite Kashima 3 - 0 Pohang Steelers W
24 Oct 2026J1 League Kashima 2 - 3 Kashiwa Reysol L
21 Oct 2026J1 League Kyoto Sanga 2 - 2 Kashima D
17 Oct 2026J1 League Kashima 2 - 0 V-varen Nagasaki W
13 Oct 2026AFC Champions League Elite Công An Nhân Dân 0 - 1 Kashima W
09 Oct 2026J1 League Kashima 2 - 0 Gamba Osaka W
23 Sep 2026Emperor Cup Kashima 3 - 1 Ventforet Kofu W
19 Sep 2026J1 League Kawasaki Frontale 3 - 3 Kashima D
15 Sep 2026AFC Champions League Elite Kashima 7 - 1 Newcastle Jets W
8 W 1 D 1 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026J1 League Fagiano Okayama 0 - 4 FC Tokyo W
25 Oct 2026J1 League FC Tokyo 6 - 0 Mito Hollyhock W
21 Oct 2026J1 League FC Tokyo 0 - 0 Kashiwa Reysol D
17 Oct 2026J1 League Tokyo Verdy 0 - 4 FC Tokyo W
14 Oct 2026J-League Cup Mito Hollyhock 1 - 0 FC Tokyo L
10 Oct 2026J1 League FC Tokyo 3 - 0 Urawa W
07 Oct 2026Emperor Cup FC Tokyo 4 - 0 Shonan Bellmare W
29 Sep 2026J-League Cup Ehime FC 0 - 2 FC Tokyo W
19 Sep 2026J1 League FC Tokyo 1 - 0 Nagoya Grampus W
12 Sep 2026J1 League Gamba Osaka 0 - 2 FC Tokyo W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Kashima Draw FC Tokyo

Most likely scores

1-1 12.9%
1-0 11.2%
0-1 9.9%
0-0 8.6%
2-1 8.4%
1-2 7.4%

Expected goals: 1.3 Kashima · 1.15 FC Tokyo

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals70%
Over 2.5 goals44%
Over 3.5 goals23%
Both teams score50%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
50%
Form
50%
56%
Attack
44%
56%
Defence
44%
69%
Goal model
31%
60%
Head to head
40%
55%
Goals
45%
57%
Overall
42%

Season numbers

J1 League 2026

When the goals come

2
0-15'
1
2
16-30'
2
7
31-45'
11
5
46-60'
4
2
61-75'
4
10
76-90'
5
1
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
2
4
31-45'
2
2
46-60'
1
1
61-75'
5
0
76-90'
5
Kashima FC Tokyo

Side by side

Kashima FC Tokyo
17 Played 17
14 Won 13
0 Drawn 0
3 Lost 4
1.8 Goals scored per game 1.9
0.6 Goals conceded per game 1
1.8 / 1.8 Scored per game (home / away) 1.8 / 2
10 Clean sheets 4
0 Failed to score 4
7 Longest winning run 4
3-0 Biggest win 5-2
2-1 Biggest defeat 0-3
4/4 Penalties scored 4/4

Kashima vs FC Tokyo: preview and prediction

Kashima host FC Tokyo in the Japan J1 League (Regular Season - 18) on Saturday, 23rd May 2026 at 09:30 at Mercari Stadium, Kashima. Kashima sit 1st in the table and FC Tokyo 2nd.

Kashima are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-D-L-W-W). FC Tokyo are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (L-W-D-W-W).

In the last 9 meetings, Kashima won 4, FC Tokyo won 3 and 2 ended level. These games average 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 56% and over 2.5 goals in 33%.

Our goal model expects about 1.3 goals for Kashima and 1.15 for FC Tokyo. It gives Kashima the edge (40% home win, 27% draw, 33% away win), 44% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.42. We also like Over 1.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Kashima vs FC Tokyo FAQs

What is the best prediction for Kashima vs FC Tokyo?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.42 odds).

Who will win Kashima vs FC Tokyo?

Kashima are favourites: our model gives Kashima 40%, the draw 27% and FC Tokyo 33%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 50% chance in our model, and it happened in 56% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.5 goals in total, with a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Kashima vs FC Tokyo?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 23rd May 2026 at 09:30 at Mercari Stadium, Kashima.

Who is the referee?

H. Kimura is in charge of this game.