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KäPa vs MP Prediction, H2H & Stats

Finland: Ykkösliiga · Group Stage
KäPa

KäPa

9th in table
WDLDD
Full time
1:1
HT 1 - 1
MP

MP

7th in table
DWDDL
5' D. Ripatti
13' S. Seppanen
14' D. Ripatti
15' N. Forsell
58' O. Heinonen
65' S. Puputti
71' A. Ring
71' H. Toivonen
Friday, 9 October 2026
Markku.fi Areena, Helsinki
J. Nieminen

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
6KäPa wins
1Draws
2MP wins
4.2Goals per game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
29 Jul 2026Ykkösliiga MP 2 - 1 KäPa
19 Apr 2026Ykkösliiga MP 0 - 1 KäPa
14 Sep 2024Ykkösliiga KäPa 3 - 2 MP
11 Jul 2024Ykkösliiga MP 2 - 6 KäPa
12 May 2024Ykkösliiga KäPa 4 - 0 MP
28 Jun 2023Ykkönen MP 6 - 2 KäPa
16 Apr 2023Ykkönen KäPa 2 - 0 MP
26 Aug 2016Kakkonen - Lohko A KäPa 3 - 2 MP
12 Jun 2016Kakkonen - Lohko A MP 1 - 1 KäPa

Ykkösliiga table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Kooteepee 271854 48:26 +22 59 DLDWW
2 PK-35 271575 44:23 +21 52 WLDLW
3 Haka 271458 51:31 +20 47 LWLWD
4 JIPPO 271386 38:22 +16 47 WWDLW
5 JäPS 2712213 25:41 -16 38 WLLWL
6 EIF 279513 32:46 -14 32 WLDLD
7 MP 278613 29:38 -9 30 LDDWD
8 Klubi-04 276912 37:37 0 27 DWWLL
9 KäPa 276714 33:49 -16 25 LDWWL
10 SJK Akatemia 273816 23:47 -24 17 LWDLD

Top scorers

Ykkösliiga
1 Ussumane DjalóSJK Akatemia 1goals 0assists 4apps

Recent form

2 W 5 D 3 L in the last 10
25 Oct 2026Ykkösliiga KäPa 1 - 1 Rops D
22 Oct 2026Ykkösliiga Rops 1 - 1 KäPa D
17 Oct 2026Ykkösliiga EIF 3 - 2 KäPa L
09 Oct 2026Ykkösliiga KäPa 1 - 1 MP D
25 Sep 2026Ykkösliiga KäPa 3 - 2 Haka W
19 Sep 2026Ykkösliiga SJK Akatemia 2 - 3 KäPa W
11 Sep 2026Ykkösliiga KäPa 1 - 4 PK-35 L
07 Sep 2026Ykkösliiga Klubi-04 2 - 2 KäPa D
28 Aug 2026Ykkösliiga JäPS 0 - 0 KäPa D
20 Aug 2026Ykkösliiga KäPa 1 - 3 JIPPO L
2 W 3 D 5 L in the last 10
17 Oct 2026Ykkösliiga MP 1 - 2 JäPS L
09 Oct 2026Ykkösliiga KäPa 1 - 1 MP D
25 Sep 2026Ykkösliiga Kooteepee 1 - 1 MP D
19 Sep 2026Ykkösliiga MP 1 - 0 JIPPO W
12 Sep 2026Ykkösliiga MP 1 - 1 SJK Akatemia D
06 Sep 2026Ykkösliiga Haka 0 - 2 MP W
29 Aug 2026Ykkösliiga MP 0 - 3 PK-35 L
22 Aug 2026Ykkösliiga Klubi-04 4 - 3 MP L
16 Aug 2026Ykkösliiga MP 0 - 2 EIF L
07 Aug 2026Ykkösliiga JäPS 1 - 0 MP L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
KäPa Draw MP
Value spotted: MP win at 3.06 (model 38% vs market 30%)

Most likely scores

1-1 12.1%
0-1 8.9%
1-0 8.6%
1-2 8.5%
2-1 8.2%
0-0 6.4%

Expected goals: 1.35 KäPa · 1.4 MP

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Both teams score56%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
50%
Form
50%
64%
Attack
36%
33%
Defence
67%
47%
Goal model
53%
80%
Head to head
20%
71%
Goals
29%
57%
Overall
42%

Season numbers

Ykkösliiga 2026

When the goals come

6
0-15'
3
3
16-30'
5
5
31-45'
8
6
46-60'
0
7
61-75'
1
4
76-90'
10
5
0-15'
8
10
16-30'
5
7
31-45'
4
6
46-60'
6
3
61-75'
4
13
76-90'
8
KäPa MP

Side by side

KäPa MP
25 Played 25
6 Won 8
6 Drawn 5
13 Lost 12
1.2 Goals scored per game 1.1
1.8 Goals conceded per game 1.4
1.3 / 1.2 Scored per game (home / away) 1.2 / 1
3 Clean sheets 6
7 Failed to score 7
1 Longest winning run 2
3-1 Biggest win 2-1
1-4 Biggest defeat 0-3
0/0 Penalties scored 3/4

KäPa vs MP: preview and prediction

KäPa host MP in the Finland Ykkösliiga (Group Stage) on Friday, 9th October 2026 at 17:00 at Markku.fi Areena, Helsinki. KäPa sit 9th in the table and MP 7th.

KäPa have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-D-L-D-D). MP have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-W-D-D-L).

In the last 9 meetings, KäPa won 6, MP won 2 and 1 ended level. These games average 4.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% and over 2.5 goals in 67%.

Our goal model expects about 1.35 goals for KäPa and 1.4 for MP. It gives MP the edge (36% home win, 26% draw, 38% away win), 52% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.28. We also like Over 2.5, BTTS Yes.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

KäPa vs MP FAQs

What is the best prediction for KäPa vs MP?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.28 odds).

Who will win KäPa vs MP?

MP are favourites: our model gives KäPa 36%, the draw 26% and MP 38%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 56% chance in our model, and it happened in 67% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.8 goals in total, with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is KäPa vs MP?

Kick-off is on Friday, 9th October 2026 at 17:00 at Markku.fi Areena, Helsinki.

Who is the referee?

J. Nieminen is in charge of this game.