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Kairat Almaty vs Ordabasy Prediction, H2H & Stats

Kazakhstan: Premier League · Regular Season - 19
Kairat Almaty

Kairat Almaty

2nd in table
DWLDD
Full time
2:1
HT 1 - 0
Ordabasy

Ordabasy

1st in table
WWWDL
14' Marc Gual
47' Lucas Áfrico
57' Aleksandr Martynovich
67' Léo Natel
81' Björn Johnsen
87' Oiva Jukkola
90+2' Björn Johnsen
Sunday, 26 July 2026
Almaty Central Stadium, Almaty
D. Sakhi

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
4Kairat Almaty wins
1Draws
4Ordabasy wins
2.6Goals per game
56%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
28 May 2026Premier League Ordabasy 2 - 1 Kairat Almaty
29 Jun 2025Premier League Ordabasy 0 - 1 Kairat Almaty
14 May 2025Cup Ordabasy 1 - 0 Kairat Almaty
08 Mar 2025Premier League Kairat Almaty 4 - 0 Ordabasy
02 Nov 2024Premier League Kairat Almaty 2 - 1 Ordabasy
31 Mar 2024Premier League Ordabasy 1 - 2 Kairat Almaty
20 Aug 2023Premier League Ordabasy 1 - 0 Kairat Almaty
23 Apr 2023Premier League Kairat Almaty 2 - 2 Ordabasy
15 Sep 2022Premier League Kairat Almaty 1 - 2 Ordabasy

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Ordabasy 302154 59:23 +36 68 LDWWW
2 Kairat Almaty 301983 60:23 +37 65 DDWWL
3 FC Astana 301596 48:31 +17 54 DDDWL
4 Okzhetpes 301668 49:38 +11 54 WWWLW
5 Aktobe 301479 47:39 +8 49 WDLWD
6 Yelimay Semey 301299 43:44 -1 45 LDWWL
7 FK Tobol Kostanay 3012513 42:42 0 41 LDWWL
8 Zhenys 309912 32:40 -8 36 WDLLL
9 Ulytau 309813 27:38 -11 35 LLLWD
10 Kyzyl-Zhar 309615 31:42 -11 33 WWLWD
11 Kaspiy 309615 32:44 -12 33 LLDWW
12 Irtysh 308814 31:44 -13 32 WWLLL
13 Atyrau 3061212 27:35 -8 30 WLDLW
14 Altay 3061014 31:42 -11 28 DDDLL
15 Zhetysu 306915 31:49 -18 27 DDWLL
16 Kaisar 3041313 25:41 -16 25 LDLLD

Top scorers

Premier League
1 Marc GualKairat Almaty 4goals 2assists 7apps
2 N. JamborAltay 3goals 0assists 20apps
3 Léo NatelOrdabasy 3goals 0assists 16apps
4 Gian MartinsZhenys 2goals 2assists 19apps
5 Adílio SantosZhenys 2goals 1assists 20apps
6 NaniAktobe 1goals 3assists 15apps
7 M. VukčevićFK Tobol Kostanay 1goals 1assists 8apps
8 B. KalaicaFC Astana 1goals 0assists 18apps
9 Lucas ÁfricoKairat Almaty 1goals 0assists 14apps
10 A. MerkelZhenys 0goals 0assists 17apps

Recent form

4 W 3 D 3 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Premier League Kairat Almaty 1 - 1 Altay D
25 Oct 2026Premier League Aktobe 2 - 2 Kairat Almaty D
22 Oct 2026UEFA Europa Conference League Kairat Almaty 1 - 5 Panathinaikos L
18 Oct 2026Premier League Kairat Almaty 5 - 0 Irtysh W
15 Oct 2026UEFA Europa Conference League Riga 1 - 1 Kairat Almaty D
10 Oct 2026Premier League Kairat Almaty 1 - 0 Zhetysu W
17 Sep 2026Premier League FC Astana 1 - 0 Kairat Almaty L
13 Sep 2026Premier League Kairat Almaty 1 - 4 FK Tobol Kostanay L
09 Sep 2026Premier League Kairat Almaty 3 - 0 Zhenys W
05 Sep 2026Premier League Kaspiy 0 - 3 Kairat Almaty W
7 W 1 D 2 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Premier League Irtysh 2 - 0 Ordabasy L
24 Oct 2026Premier League Ordabasy 1 - 1 Zhenys D
17 Oct 2026Premier League Aktobe 1 - 3 Ordabasy W
11 Oct 2026Premier League Kaisar 1 - 4 Ordabasy W
17 Sep 2026Premier League Atyrau 0 - 3 Ordabasy W
12 Sep 2026Premier League Ordabasy 1 - 0 FC Astana W
05 Sep 2026Premier League Okzhetpes 2 - 1 Ordabasy L
29 Aug 2026Premier League Ordabasy 3 - 0 Kyzyl-Zhar W
19 Aug 2026Cup Altay 1 - 2 Ordabasy W
15 Aug 2026Premier League Ordabasy 3 - 1 Altay W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Kairat Almaty Draw Ordabasy
Value spotted: Kairat Almaty win at 2.56 (model 48% vs market 37%)

Most likely scores

1-1 12%
1-0 11%
2-1 9.3%
2-0 8.5%
0-1 7.8%
0-0 7.1%

Expected goals: 1.55 Kairat Almaty · 1.1 Ordabasy

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals27%
Both teams score53%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
56%
Form
44%
67%
Attack
33%
50%
Defence
50%
65%
Goal model
35%
60%
Head to head
40%
67%
Goals
33%
60%
Overall
39%

Season numbers

Premier League 2026

When the goals come

8
0-15'
3
5
16-30'
3
4
31-45'
6
5
46-60'
2
4
61-75'
7
11
76-90'
8
3
0-15'
3
3
16-30'
2
1
31-45'
2
0
46-60'
2
4
61-75'
1
2
76-90'
3
Kairat Almaty Ordabasy

Side by side

Kairat Almaty Ordabasy
19 Played 18
12 Won 13
6 Drawn 4
1 Lost 1
1.9 Goals scored per game 1.8
0.7 Goals conceded per game 0.7
2.3 / 1.7 Scored per game (home / away) 1.9 / 1.8
9 Clean sheets 8
2 Failed to score 1
2 Longest winning run 7
5-0 Biggest win 3-1
2-1 Biggest defeat 3-2
1/2 Penalties scored 3/3

Kairat Almaty vs Ordabasy: preview and prediction

Kairat Almaty host Ordabasy in the Kazakhstan Premier League (Regular Season - 19) on Sunday, 26th July 2026 at 15:00 at Almaty Central Stadium, Almaty. Kairat Almaty sit 2nd in the table and Ordabasy 1st.

Kairat Almaty have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-W-L-D-D). Ordabasy are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-W-W-D-L).

In the last 9 meetings, Kairat Almaty won 4, Ordabasy won 4 and 1 ended level. These games average 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 56% and over 2.5 goals in 67%.

Our goal model expects about 1.55 goals for Kairat Almaty and 1.1 for Ordabasy. It gives Kairat Almaty the edge (48% home win, 25% draw, 27% away win), 49% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.38. We also like Draw.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Kairat Almaty vs Ordabasy FAQs

What is the best prediction for Kairat Almaty vs Ordabasy?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.38 odds).

Who will win Kairat Almaty vs Ordabasy?

Kairat Almaty are favourites: our model gives Kairat Almaty 48%, the draw 25% and Ordabasy 27%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 53% chance in our model, and it happened in 56% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.7 goals in total, with a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Kairat Almaty vs Ordabasy?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 26th July 2026 at 15:00 at Almaty Central Stadium, Almaty.

Who is the referee?

D. Sakhi is in charge of this game.