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Kagoshima United vs Tochigi SC Prediction, H2H & Stats

Japan: J3 League · Regular Season - 7
Kagoshima United

Kagoshima United

1st in table
WWLDD
Full time
3:1
HT 2 - 0
Tochigi SC

Tochigi SC

13th in table
LWDWD
5' S. Suzuki (Own Goal)
12' K. Sugimori
37' K. Yoshio
44' K. Yagi
83' T. Myogan
86'
90' A. Takahashi
90' W. I. Suzuki
Saturday, 19 September 2026
Shiranami Stadium, Kagoshima

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
3Kagoshima United wins
0Draws
6Tochigi SC wins
2.8Goals per game
56%Both scored
56%Over 2.5
09 Nov 2025J3 League Tochigi SC 2 - 0 Kagoshima United
05 Jul 2025J3 League Kagoshima United 1 - 0 Tochigi SC
22 Sep 2024J2 League Tochigi SC 2 - 1 Kagoshima United
21 Apr 2024J2 League Kagoshima United 2 - 1 Tochigi SC
22 Sep 2019J2 League Tochigi SC 3 - 1 Kagoshima United
22 Jun 2019J2 League Kagoshima United 2 - 0 Tochigi SC
09 Sep 2017J3 League Kagoshima United 1 - 5 Tochigi SC
17 Jun 2017J3 League Tochigi SC 2 - 1 Kagoshima United
16 Jul 2016J3 League Kagoshima United 0 - 1 Tochigi SC

J3 League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Kagoshima United 15942 29:18 +11 31 DDLWW
2 Nara Club 15924 28:21 +7 29 WWLLW
3 FC Gifu 15915 28:15 +13 28 WWLWW
4 Sagamihara 15843 25:15 +10 28 WWDLW
5 Renofa Yamaguchi 15834 20:12 +8 27 DLWLW
6 Ehime FC 15825 30:25 +5 26 LLLWL
7 Roasso Kumamoto 14662 16:8 +8 24 DWWWL
8 Osaka 14653 23:14 +9 23 LWWLD
9 FC Ryukyu 15726 23:20 +3 23 LWWWW
10 Parceiro Nagano 15726 22:20 +2 23 WWLLW
11 Kanazawa 15627 27:21 +6 20 LWWLL
12 Kitakyushu 15546 21:23 -2 19 LWWLW
13 Tochigi SC 15465 14:16 -2 18 DWDWL
14 Matsumoto Yamaga 15456 15:17 -2 17 LWLWL
15 Biwako Shiga 15528 19:27 -8 17 WLLLL
16 Fukushima United 15438 27:32 -5 15 DLWWL
17 Gainare Tottori 15438 15:29 -14 15 LLDLD
18 Thespakusatsu Gunma 154110 12:29 -17 13 LLWLD
19 Kamatamare Sanuki 153210 16:27 -11 11 WLLWL
20 Kochi United 152310 10:31 -21 9 WLDLL

Recent form

4 W 3 D 3 L in the last 10
03 Nov 2026J3 League Renofa Yamaguchi 1 - 1 Kagoshima United D
31 Oct 2026J3 League Kagoshima United 1 - 1 Roasso Kumamoto D
24 Oct 2026J3 League Osaka 2 - 1 Kagoshima United L
21 Oct 2026J3 League Kagoshima United 3 - 1 Kochi United W
17 Oct 2026J3 League Kagoshima United 4 - 2 Ehime FC W
11 Oct 2026J3 League Matsumoto Yamaga 1 - 0 Kagoshima United L
07 Oct 2026Emperor Cup Cerezo Osaka 2 - 0 Kagoshima United L
04 Oct 2026J3 League Kagoshima United 3 - 2 Fukushima United W
26 Sep 2026J3 League Kitakyushu 1 - 1 Kagoshima United D
19 Sep 2026J3 League Kagoshima United 3 - 1 Tochigi SC W
2 W 4 D 4 L in the last 10
03 Nov 2026J3 League Tochigi SC 0 - 0 Fukushima United D
31 Oct 2026J3 League Tochigi SC 2 - 0 Ehime FC W
24 Oct 2026J3 League Sagamihara 0 - 0 Tochigi SC D
21 Oct 2026J3 League Tochigi SC 1 - 0 Biwako Shiga W
17 Oct 2026J3 League FC Ryukyu 1 - 0 Tochigi SC L
11 Oct 2026J3 League Tochigi SC 0 - 1 Renofa Yamaguchi L
04 Oct 2026J3 League Kamatamare Sanuki 0 - 0 Tochigi SC D
26 Sep 2026J3 League Tochigi SC 1 - 2 Matsumoto Yamaga L
19 Sep 2026J3 League Kagoshima United 3 - 1 Tochigi SC L
13 Sep 2026J3 League Parceiro Nagano 1 - 1 Tochigi SC D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Kagoshima United Draw Tochigi SC
Value spotted: Kagoshima United win at 2.22 (model 58% vs market 41%)

Most likely scores

1-0 21.2%
0-0 15.7%
2-0 14.3%
1-1 10.6%
0-1 7.9%
2-1 7.2%

Expected goals: 1.35 Kagoshima United · 0.5 Tochigi SC

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals55%
Over 2.5 goals28%
Over 3.5 goals12%
Both teams score29%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
68%
Form
32%
65%
Attack
35%
54%
Defence
46%
87%
Goal model
13%
40%
Head to head
60%
38%
Goals
62%
58%
Overall
41%

Season numbers

J3 League 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
0
2
31-45'
1
4
46-60'
1
2
61-75'
2
3
76-90'
5
1
0-15'
2
0
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
3
0
46-60'
1
3
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
1
Kagoshima United Tochigi SC

Side by side

Kagoshima United Tochigi SC
6 Played 6
5 Won 2
1 Drawn 3
0 Lost 1
2 Goals scored per game 1.5
1 Goals conceded per game 1.5
1 / 3 Scored per game (home / away) 2.3 / 0.7
2 Clean sheets 2
1 Failed to score 1
2 Longest winning run 1
2-1 Biggest win 2-0
- Biggest defeat 4-1
1/1 Penalties scored 0/0

Kagoshima United vs Tochigi SC: preview and prediction

Kagoshima United host Tochigi SC in the Japan J3 League (Regular Season - 7) on Saturday, 19th September 2026 at 11:00 at Shiranami Stadium, Kagoshima. Kagoshima United sit 1st in the table and Tochigi SC 13th.

Kagoshima United have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-W-L-D-D). Tochigi SC have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (L-W-D-W-D).

In the last 9 meetings, Kagoshima United won 3, Tochigi SC won 6 and 0 ended level. These games average 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 56% and over 2.5 goals in 56%.

Our goal model expects about 1.35 goals for Kagoshima United and 0.5 for Tochigi SC. It gives Kagoshima United the edge (58% home win, 28% draw, 14% away win), 28% for over 2.5 goals and 29% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Home Win at odds of 2.22.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Kagoshima United vs Tochigi SC FAQs

What is the best prediction for Kagoshima United vs Tochigi SC?

Our top tip is Home Win: Home Win (2.22 odds).

Who will win Kagoshima United vs Tochigi SC?

Kagoshima United are favourites: our model gives Kagoshima United 58%, the draw 28% and Tochigi SC 14%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 29% chance in our model, and it happened in 56% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 1.9 goals in total, with a 28% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Kagoshima United vs Tochigi SC?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 19th September 2026 at 11:00 at Shiranami Stadium, Kagoshima.