Kagoshima United vs Fukushima United Prediction, H2H & Stats

Japan: J3 League · Regular Season - 9
Kagoshima United

Kagoshima United

1st in table
WWLDD
Full time
3:2
HT 2 - 0
Fukushima United

Fukushima United

16th in table
LWWLD
21' R. Arita
37' W. Tanaka
61' R. Arita (Penalty)
70' K. Kawamura
71' Y. Okada (Penalty)
86' Y. Okada
90+4' Juanma Delgado
Sunday, 4 October 2026
Shiranami Stadium, Kagoshima

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
6Kagoshima United wins
3Draws
0Fukushima United wins
3.1Goals per game
67%Both scored
56%Over 2.5
30 Aug 2025J3 League Fukushima United 2 - 2 Kagoshima United
17 May 2025J3 League Kagoshima United 5 - 0 Fukushima United
29 Oct 2023J3 League Fukushima United 0 - 1 Kagoshima United
09 Jul 2023J3 League Kagoshima United 3 - 1 Fukushima United
23 Oct 2022J3 League Fukushima United 1 - 1 Kagoshima United
09 Jul 2022J3 League Kagoshima United 2 - 1 Fukushima United
10 Oct 2021J3 League Fukushima United 1 - 1 Kagoshima United
28 Mar 2021J3 League Kagoshima United 2 - 0 Fukushima United
05 Dec 2020J3 League Kagoshima United 3 - 2 Fukushima United

J3 League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Kagoshima United 15942 29:18 +11 31 DDLWW
2 Nara Club 15924 28:21 +7 29 WWLLW
3 FC Gifu 15915 28:15 +13 28 WWLWW
4 Sagamihara 15843 25:15 +10 28 WWDLW
5 Renofa Yamaguchi 15834 20:12 +8 27 DLWLW
6 Osaka 15753 25:15 +10 26 WLWWL
7 Ehime FC 15825 30:25 +5 26 LLLWL
8 Roasso Kumamoto 15663 17:10 +7 24 LDWWW
9 FC Ryukyu 15726 23:20 +3 23 LWWWW
10 Parceiro Nagano 15726 22:20 +2 23 WWLLW
11 Kanazawa 15627 27:21 +6 20 LWWLL
12 Kitakyushu 15546 21:23 -2 19 LWWLW
13 Tochigi SC 15465 14:16 -2 18 DWDWL
14 Matsumoto Yamaga 15456 15:17 -2 17 LWLWL
15 Biwako Shiga 15528 19:27 -8 17 WLLLL
16 Fukushima United 15438 27:32 -5 15 DLWWL
17 Gainare Tottori 15438 15:29 -14 15 LLDLD
18 Thespakusatsu Gunma 154110 12:29 -17 13 LLWLD
19 Kamatamare Sanuki 153210 16:27 -11 11 WLLWL
20 Kochi United 152310 10:31 -21 9 WLDLL

Recent form

4 W 3 D 3 L in the last 10
03 Nov 2026J3 League Renofa Yamaguchi 1 - 1 Kagoshima United D
31 Oct 2026J3 League Kagoshima United 1 - 1 Roasso Kumamoto D
24 Oct 2026J3 League Osaka 2 - 1 Kagoshima United L
21 Oct 2026J3 League Kagoshima United 3 - 1 Kochi United W
17 Oct 2026J3 League Kagoshima United 4 - 2 Ehime FC W
11 Oct 2026J3 League Matsumoto Yamaga 1 - 0 Kagoshima United L
07 Oct 2026Emperor Cup Cerezo Osaka 2 - 0 Kagoshima United L
04 Oct 2026J3 League Kagoshima United 3 - 2 Fukushima United W
26 Sep 2026J3 League Kitakyushu 1 - 1 Kagoshima United D
19 Sep 2026J3 League Kagoshima United 3 - 1 Tochigi SC W
3 W 2 D 5 L in the last 10
03 Nov 2026J3 League Tochigi SC 0 - 0 Fukushima United D
31 Oct 2026J3 League Fukushima United 1 - 3 Matsumoto Yamaga L
25 Oct 2026J3 League Ehime FC 2 - 4 Fukushima United W
21 Oct 2026J3 League Fukushima United 2 - 1 Kitakyushu W
17 Oct 2026J3 League FC Gifu 1 - 0 Fukushima United L
10 Oct 2026J3 League Fukushima United 2 - 2 Biwako Shiga D
04 Oct 2026J3 League Kagoshima United 3 - 2 Fukushima United L
29 Sep 2026J-League Cup Fukushima United 0 - 7 Mito Hollyhock L
26 Sep 2026J3 League Fukushima United 4 - 3 Parceiro Nagano W
18 Sep 2026J3 League Osaka 4 - 1 Fukushima United L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Kagoshima United Draw Fukushima United
Value spotted: Fukushima United win at 6.45 (model 22% vs market 15%)

Most likely scores

2-1 9.6%
1-1 9%
2-0 7.7%
1-0 7.2%
3-1 6.9%
2-2 6%

Expected goals: 2.15 Kagoshima United · 1.25 Fukushima United

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals66%
Over 3.5 goals44%
Both teams score63%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
65%
Form
35%
52%
Attack
48%
63%
Defence
37%
78%
Goal model
22%
85%
Head to head
15%
75%
Goals
25%
69%
Overall
30%

Season numbers

J3 League 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
2
1
16-30'
1
3
31-45'
3
4
46-60'
2
2
61-75'
1
5
76-90'
6
2
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
2
1
31-45'
3
0
46-60'
5
4
61-75'
5
2
76-90'
5
Kagoshima United Fukushima United

Side by side

Kagoshima United Fukushima United
8 Played 8
6 Won 2
2 Drawn 1
0 Lost 5
2 Goals scored per game 2
1 Goals conceded per game 2.5
1.5 / 2.5 Scored per game (home / away) 2 / 2
2 Clean sheets 0
1 Failed to score 0
4 Longest winning run 1
3-1 Biggest win 4-3
- Biggest defeat 1-2
1/1 Penalties scored 0/0

Kagoshima United vs Fukushima United: preview and prediction

Kagoshima United host Fukushima United in the Japan J3 League (Regular Season - 9) on Sunday, 4th October 2026 at 10:00 at Shiranami Stadium, Kagoshima. Kagoshima United sit 1st in the table and Fukushima United 16th.

Kagoshima United have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-W-L-D-D). Fukushima United have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-W-L-D).

In the last 9 meetings, Kagoshima United won 6, Fukushima United won 0 and 3 ended level. These games average 3.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% and over 2.5 goals in 56%.

Our goal model expects about 2.15 goals for Kagoshima United and 1.25 for Fukushima United. It gives Kagoshima United the edge (58% home win, 20% draw, 22% away win), 66% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 2-1.

Our pick was Home Win at odds of 1.44. We also like BTTS Yes.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Kagoshima United vs Fukushima United FAQs

What is the best prediction for Kagoshima United vs Fukushima United?

Our top tip is Home Win: Home Win (1.44 odds).

Who will win Kagoshima United vs Fukushima United?

Kagoshima United are favourites: our model gives Kagoshima United 58%, the draw 20% and Fukushima United 22%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 63% chance in our model, and it happened in 67% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.4 goals in total, with a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Kagoshima United vs Fukushima United?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 4th October 2026 at 10:00 at Shiranami Stadium, Kagoshima.