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JEF United Chiba vs Kashima Prediction, H2H & Stats

Japan: J1 League · Regular Season - 17
JEF United Chiba

JEF United Chiba

10th in table
DDLDW
Full time
0:2
HT 0 - 1
Kashima

Kashima

1st in table
WDLWW
43' R. Araki
45+3' Carlinhos Junior
53' Zain Issaka
61' Carlinhos Junior
61' Carlinhos Junior
88' S. Morooka
Sunday, 17 May 2026
Fukuda Denshi Arena, Chiba
R. Tanimoto

Head to head

Last 2 meetings
2games
0JEF United Chiba wins
0Draws
2Kashima wins
2Goals per game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
22 Mar 2026J1 League Kashima 2 - 1 JEF United Chiba
23 Dec 2012Emperor Cup JEF United Chiba 0 - 1 Kashima

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Kashima 181503 31:11 +20 45
2 FC Tokyo 181305 32:18 +14 37
3 Machida Zelvia 181305 28:22 +6 37
4 Kawasaki Frontale 181008 26:28 -2 28
5 Tokyo Verdy 181008 22:26 -4 28
6 Urawa 187011 25:22 +3 25
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 186012 28:31 -3 20
8 Kashiwa Reysol 187011 22:24 -2 20
9 Mito Hollyhock 186012 23:39 -16 18
10 JEF United Chiba 183015 18:34 -16 12

Top scorers

J1 League
1 K. TanimuraYokohama F. Marinos 10goals 2assists 19apps
2 Y. YamagishiNagoya Grampus 10goals 0assists 19apps
3 Léo CearáKashima 10goals 3assists 20apps
4 Y. KimuraNagoya Grampus 9goals 2assists 20apps
5 ErikMachida Zelvia 8goals 0assists 18apps
6 D. HümmetGamba Osaka 8goals 0assists 18apps
7 S. SakuragawaCerezo Osaka 8goals 1assists 20apps
8 Matheus JesusV-varen Nagasaki 7goals 4assists 18apps
9 Oh Se-HunShimizu S-pulse 7goals 1assists 19apps
10 ErisonKawasaki Frontale 7goals 0assists 16apps

Recent form

2 W 4 D 4 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026J1 League JEF United Chiba 3 - 0 Avispa Fukuoka W
25 Oct 2026J1 League Cerezo Osaka 2 - 2 JEF United Chiba D
21 Oct 2026J1 League Urawa 3 - 2 JEF United Chiba L
17 Oct 2026J1 League JEF United Chiba 0 - 0 Yokohama F. Marinos D
11 Oct 2026J1 League JEF United Chiba 1 - 1 V-varen Nagasaki D
07 Oct 2026Emperor Cup Fagiano Okayama 1 - 0 JEF United Chiba L
29 Sep 2026J-League Cup Jubilo Iwata 4 - 2 JEF United Chiba L
19 Sep 2026J1 League Shimizu S-pulse 2 - 1 JEF United Chiba L
13 Sep 2026J1 League Tokyo Verdy 1 - 1 JEF United Chiba D
09 Sep 2026J-League Cup Kamatamare Sanuki 0 - 2 JEF United Chiba W
7 W 2 D 1 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026J1 League Kashima 4 - 1 Cerezo Osaka W
28 Oct 2026AFC Champions League Elite Kashima 3 - 0 Pohang Steelers W
24 Oct 2026J1 League Kashima 2 - 3 Kashiwa Reysol L
21 Oct 2026J1 League Kyoto Sanga 2 - 2 Kashima D
17 Oct 2026J1 League Kashima 2 - 0 V-varen Nagasaki W
13 Oct 2026AFC Champions League Elite Công An Nhân Dân 0 - 1 Kashima W
09 Oct 2026J1 League Kashima 2 - 0 Gamba Osaka W
23 Sep 2026Emperor Cup Kashima 3 - 1 Ventforet Kofu W
19 Sep 2026J1 League Kawasaki Frontale 3 - 3 Kashima D
15 Sep 2026AFC Champions League Elite Kashima 7 - 1 Newcastle Jets W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
JEF United Chiba Draw Kashima

Most likely scores

1-1 10.7%
1-2 9.9%
0-1 9.7%
0-2 9%
1-3 6.1%
2-1 5.9%

Expected goals: 1.1 JEF United Chiba · 1.85 Kashima

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals79%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Over 3.5 goals34%
Both teams score56%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
20%
Form
80%
40%
Attack
60%
31%
Defence
69%
25%
Goal model
75%
0%
Head to head
100%
25%
Goals
75%
28%
Overall
71%

Season numbers

J1 League 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
2
2
16-30'
2
2
31-45'
6
1
46-60'
5
5
61-75'
2
5
76-90'
9
6
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
1
4
31-45'
4
6
46-60'
2
4
61-75'
1
4
76-90'
0
JEF United Chiba Kashima

Side by side

JEF United Chiba Kashima
16 Played 16
3 Won 13
0 Drawn 0
13 Lost 3
1 Goals scored per game 1.8
1.8 Goals conceded per game 0.7
1.1 / 0.9 Scored per game (home / away) 1.8 / 1.8
1 Clean sheets 9
6 Failed to score 0
1 Longest winning run 7
3-2 Biggest win 3-0
0-2 Biggest defeat 2-1
1/1 Penalties scored 4/4

JEF United Chiba vs Kashima: preview and prediction

JEF United Chiba host Kashima in the Japan J1 League (Regular Season - 17) on Sunday, 17th May 2026 at 06:00 at Fukuda Denshi Arena, Chiba. JEF United Chiba sit 10th in the table and Kashima 1st.

JEF United Chiba have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-D-L-D-W). Kashima are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-D-L-W-W).

In the last 2 meetings, JEF United Chiba won 0, Kashima won 2 and 0 ended level. These games average 2 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% and over 2.5 goals in 50%.

Our goal model expects about 1.1 goals for JEF United Chiba and 1.85 for Kashima. It gives Kashima the edge (22% home win, 23% draw, 55% away win), 56% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Away Win at odds of 1.68.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

JEF United Chiba vs Kashima FAQs

What is the best prediction for JEF United Chiba vs Kashima?

Our top tip is Away Win: Away Win (1.68 odds).

Who will win JEF United Chiba vs Kashima?

Kashima are favourites: our model gives JEF United Chiba 22%, the draw 23% and Kashima 55%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 56% chance in our model, and it happened in 50% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3 goals in total, with a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is JEF United Chiba vs Kashima?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 17th May 2026 at 06:00 at Fukuda Denshi Arena, Chiba.

Who is the referee?

R. Tanimoto is in charge of this game.