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JEF United Chiba vs Fagiano Okayama Prediction, H2H & Stats

Japan: J1 League · Regular Season - 5
JEF United Chiba

JEF United Chiba

18th in table
DDLDW
Full time
1:2
HT 1 - 1
Fagiano Okayama

Fagiano Okayama

10th in table
DLWLL
31' Leo Gaucho
41' K. Tanaka
45' Takumi Tsukui
77' Koki Yonekura
90+3' Eiji Miyamoto
90' Kamiya Yuta
Wednesday, 2 September 2026
Fukuda Denshi Arena, Chiba
Yusuke Ohashi, Japan

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
5JEF United Chiba wins
3Draws
0Fagiano Okayama wins
2.9Goals per game
63%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
10 Aug 2024J2 League Fagiano Okayama 0 - 0 JEF United Chiba
01 Jun 2024J2 League JEF United Chiba 2 - 1 Fagiano Okayama
01 Oct 2023J2 League Fagiano Okayama 0 - 5 JEF United Chiba
25 Mar 2023J2 League JEF United Chiba 1 - 1 Fagiano Okayama
30 Jul 2022J2 League Fagiano Okayama 1 - 1 JEF United Chiba
08 May 2022J2 League JEF United Chiba 1 - 0 Fagiano Okayama
05 Dec 2021J2 League Fagiano Okayama 1 - 3 JEF United Chiba
09 May 2021J2 League JEF United Chiba 4 - 2 Fagiano Okayama

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 FC Tokyo 13931 31:8 +23 30 WWDWW
2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 13922 32:10 +22 29 WWLWW
3 Machida Zelvia 13841 30:10 +20 28 DDWWW
4 Kashiwa Reysol 13913 29:19 +10 28 WWDLW
5 Vissel Kobe 13823 21:12 +9 26 WDLWL
6 Kashima 13724 29:22 +7 23 WLDWW
7 Kawasaki Frontale 13643 27:22 +5 22 LWWWL
8 Yokohama F. Marinos 13562 20:14 +6 21 WDDDD
9 Urawa 13706 21:27 -6 21 LWWWL
10 Fagiano Okayama 13517 15:21 -6 16 LLWLL
11 Nagoya Grampus 13427 15:21 -6 14 LDDWW
12 Cerezo Osaka 13355 13:23 -10 14 LDDLD
13 Shimizu S-pulse 13427 10:22 -12 14 LLLDW
14 Kyoto Sanga 13346 17:23 -6 13 WDDLL
15 V-varen Nagasaki 13337 16:21 -5 12 LLWLD
16 Gamba Osaka 13265 14:21 -7 12 DDWDL
17 Tokyo Verdy 13256 11:22 -11 11 WWDLL
18 JEF United Chiba 13247 15:24 -9 10 WDLDD
19 Mito Hollyhock 13238 12:25 -13 9 LLLLL
20 Avispa Fukuoka 132110 13:24 -11 7 LLLLW

Top scorers

J1 League
1 Léo CearáKashima 12goals 0assists 11apps
2 A. SuzukiSanfrecce Hiroshima 9goals 4assists 13apps
3 MarcinhoKawasaki Frontale 8goals 3assists 13apps
4 M. NagakuraFC Tokyo 7goals 4assists 13apps
5 Rafael EliasKyoto Sanga 7goals 3assists 11apps
6 Y. SegawaKashiwa Reysol 7goals 2assists 12apps
7 A. ČavrićKashima 7goals 1assists 13apps
8 K. TanimuraYokohama F. Marinos 7goals 1assists 13apps
9 Y. OsakoVissel Kobe 6goals 0assists 11apps
10 Matheus SávioUrawa 5goals 1assists 12apps

Recent form

2 W 4 D 4 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026J1 League JEF United Chiba 3 - 0 Avispa Fukuoka W
25 Oct 2026J1 League Cerezo Osaka 2 - 2 JEF United Chiba D
21 Oct 2026J1 League Urawa 3 - 2 JEF United Chiba L
17 Oct 2026J1 League JEF United Chiba 0 - 0 Yokohama F. Marinos D
11 Oct 2026J1 League JEF United Chiba 1 - 1 V-varen Nagasaki D
07 Oct 2026Emperor Cup Fagiano Okayama 1 - 0 JEF United Chiba L
29 Sep 2026J-League Cup Jubilo Iwata 4 - 2 JEF United Chiba L
19 Sep 2026J1 League Shimizu S-pulse 2 - 1 JEF United Chiba L
13 Sep 2026J1 League Tokyo Verdy 1 - 1 JEF United Chiba D
09 Sep 2026J-League Cup Kamatamare Sanuki 0 - 2 JEF United Chiba W
4 W 1 D 5 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026J1 League Fagiano Okayama 0 - 4 FC Tokyo L
25 Oct 2026J1 League Kawasaki Frontale 2 - 1 Fagiano Okayama L
21 Oct 2026J1 League Fagiano Okayama 2 - 0 Mito Hollyhock W
18 Oct 2026J1 League Fagiano Okayama 0 - 3 Vissel Kobe L
14 Oct 2026J-League Cup Nagoya Grampus 3 - 3 Fagiano Okayama D
10 Oct 2026J1 League Avispa Fukuoka 2 - 1 Fagiano Okayama L
07 Oct 2026Emperor Cup Fagiano Okayama 1 - 0 JEF United Chiba W
29 Sep 2026J-League Cup Consadole Sapporo 1 - 2 Fagiano Okayama W
19 Sep 2026J1 League Fagiano Okayama 1 - 2 Kyoto Sanga L
13 Sep 2026J1 League Urawa 1 - 2 Fagiano Okayama W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
JEF United Chiba Draw Fagiano Okayama
Value spotted: Fagiano Okayama win at 1.92 (model 64% vs market 50%)

Most likely scores

1-2 9.2%
1-3 7.7%
0-2 7.3%
1-1 7.3%
0-3 6.1%
0-1 5.9%

Expected goals: 1.25 JEF United Chiba · 2.5 Fagiano Okayama

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals88%
Over 2.5 goals72%
Over 3.5 goals51%
Both teams score65%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
0%
Form
100%
40%
Attack
60%
24%
Defence
76%
0%
Goal model
100%
75%
Head to head
25%
75%
Goals
25%
53%
Overall
46%

Season numbers

J1 League 2027

When the goals come

0
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0
2
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
2
4
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
0
2
61-75'
0
4
76-90'
1
JEF United Chiba Fagiano Okayama

Side by side

JEF United Chiba Fagiano Okayama
4 Played 4
0 Won 1
0 Drawn 1
4 Lost 2
0.5 Goals scored per game 0.8
3.3 Goals conceded per game 1
0 / 0.7 Scored per game (home / away) 0.5 / 1
0 Clean sheets 2
3 Failed to score 1
0 Longest winning run 1
- Biggest win 1-0
0-4 Biggest defeat 2-1
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

JEF United Chiba vs Fagiano Okayama: preview and prediction

JEF United Chiba host Fagiano Okayama in the Japan J1 League (Regular Season - 5) on Wednesday, 2nd September 2026 at 11:00 at Fukuda Denshi Arena, Chiba. JEF United Chiba sit 18th in the table and Fagiano Okayama 10th.

JEF United Chiba have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-D-L-D-W). Fagiano Okayama are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-W-L-L).

In the last 8 meetings, JEF United Chiba won 5, Fagiano Okayama won 0 and 3 ended level. These games average 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 63% and over 2.5 goals in 50%.

Our goal model expects about 1.25 goals for JEF United Chiba and 2.5 for Fagiano Okayama. It gives Fagiano Okayama the edge (17% home win, 18% draw, 64% away win), 72% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-2.

Our pick was Away Win at odds of 1.92.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

JEF United Chiba vs Fagiano Okayama FAQs

What is the best prediction for JEF United Chiba vs Fagiano Okayama?

Our top tip is Away Win: Away Win (1.92 odds).

Who will win JEF United Chiba vs Fagiano Okayama?

Fagiano Okayama are favourites: our model gives JEF United Chiba 17%, the draw 18% and Fagiano Okayama 64%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 65% chance in our model, and it happened in 63% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.8 goals in total, with a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is JEF United Chiba vs Fagiano Okayama?

Kick-off is on Wednesday, 2nd September 2026 at 11:00 at Fukuda Denshi Arena, Chiba.

Who is the referee?

Yusuke Ohashi, Japan is in charge of this game.