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Japan vs Iceland Prediction, H2H & Stats

World: Friendlies · Friendly International
Japan

Japan

LWWDW
Full time
1:0
HT 0 - 0
Iceland

Iceland

LDWWD
33' Kristian Hlynsson
75' Stefán Teitur Þórðarson
87' K. Ogawa
Sunday, 31 May 2026
New National Stadium, Tokyo
Damian Kos, Poland

Top scorers

Friendlies
1 M. OsmajićMontenegro 5goals 0assists 4apps
2 Son Heung-MinSouth Korea 5goals 0assists 8apps
3 L. SadulaevRussia 4goals 1assists 7apps
4 J. VélezPeru 4goals 0assists 8apps
5 D. LukebakioBelgium 4goals 0assists 3apps
6 F. WirtzGermany 3goals 2assists 4apps
7 N. PazArgentina 3goals 1assists 6apps
8 M. AraújoUruguay 3goals 1assists 5apps
9 J. HallUSA 3goals 1assists 4apps
10 M. OliseFrance 3goals 1assists 4apps

Recent form

6 W 3 D 1 L in the last 10
05 Oct 2026Kirin Cup Japan 2 - 1 New Zealand W
01 Oct 2026Kirin Cup Japan 0 - 0 Ecuador D
28 Sep 2026Friendlies Japan 2 - 1 Venezuela W
24 Sep 2026Friendlies Japan 3 - 1 Uruguay W
29 Jun 2026World Cup Brazil 2 - 1 Japan L
25 Jun 2026World Cup Japan 1 - 1 Sweden D
21 Jun 2026World Cup Tunisia 0 - 4 Japan W
14 Jun 2026World Cup Netherlands 2 - 2 Japan D
31 May 2026Friendlies Japan 1 - 0 Iceland W
31 Mar 2026Friendlies England 0 - 1 Japan W
2 W 4 D 4 L in the last 10
06 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Estonia 0 - 0 Iceland D
03 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Iceland 3 - 0 Bulgaria W
29 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Luxembourg 0 - 3 Iceland W
26 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Iceland 1 - 1 Estonia D
10 Jun 2026Friendlies Argentina 3 - 0 Iceland L
31 May 2026Friendlies Japan 1 - 0 Iceland L
31 Mar 2026Friendlies Haiti 1 - 1 Iceland D
28 Mar 2026Friendlies Canada 2 - 2 Iceland D
26 Feb 2026Friendlies Mexico 4 - 0 Iceland L
16 Nov 2025World Cup - Qualification Europe Ukraine 2 - 0 Iceland L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Japan Draw Iceland
Value spotted: Draw at 7.16 (model 25% vs market 14%) · Iceland win at 14.50 (model 23% vs market 7%)

Most likely scores

1-0 11.7%
1-1 11.7%
2-0 9.6%
2-1 9.6%
0-0 7.1%
0-1 7.1%

Expected goals: 1.65 Japan · 1 Iceland

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals27%
Both teams score51%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
75%
Form
25%
40%
Attack
60%
100%
Defence
0%
0%
Goal model
0%
0%
Head to head
0%
0%
Goals
0%
57%
Overall
42%

Season numbers

Friendlies 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
1
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
2
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
2
0
76-90'
2
Japan Iceland

Side by side

Japan Iceland
2 Played 3
2 Won 0
0 Drawn 2
0 Lost 1
1 Goals scored per game 1
0 Goals conceded per game 2.3
0 / 1 Scored per game (home / away) 0 / 1
2 Clean sheets 0
0 Failed to score 1
2 Longest winning run 0
0-1 Biggest win -
- Biggest defeat 4-0
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

Japan vs Iceland: preview and prediction

Japan host Iceland in the World Friendlies (Friendly International) on Sunday, 31st May 2026 at 11:25 at New National Stadium, Tokyo.

Japan are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (L-W-W-D-W). Iceland have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (L-D-W-W-D).

Our goal model expects about 1.65 goals for Japan and 1 for Iceland. It gives Japan the edge (53% home win, 25% draw, 23% away win), 49% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was BTTS No at odds of 1.77. We also like Under 3.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Japan vs Iceland FAQs

What is the best prediction for Japan vs Iceland?

Our top tip is Both Teams to Score: BTTS No (1.77 odds).

Who will win Japan vs Iceland?

Japan are favourites: our model gives Japan 53%, the draw 25% and Iceland 23%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 51% chance in our model.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.7 goals in total, with a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Japan vs Iceland?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 31st May 2026 at 11:25 at New National Stadium, Tokyo.

Who is the referee?

Damian Kos, Poland is in charge of this game.