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Independiente Medellin vs Llaneros Prediction, H2H & Stats

Colombia: Primera A · Clausura - 8
Independiente Medellin

Independiente Medellin

11th in table
DLWLL
Full time
2:1
HT 2 - 1
Llaneros

Llaneros

14th in table
LLLWL
3' Yony González
17' J. Medina
21' J. Montano
27' Joel Contreras
44' F. Meza
50' Kevin Mantilla
54' Kelvin Osorio
61' Luis Miranda
64' Juan Pertuz
78' Keiner Klinger
90+2' Carlos Lucumi
Sunday, 30 August 2026
Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellin
Jhon Alexander Ospina Londono, Colombia

Head to head

Last 3 meetings
3games
2Independiente Medellin wins
1Draws
0Llaneros wins
2.7Goals per game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
20 Feb 2026Primera A Llaneros 2 - 2 Independiente Medellin
11 Aug 2025Primera A Llaneros 0 - 1 Independiente Medellin
28 Feb 2025Primera A Independiente Medellin 3 - 0 Llaneros

Primera A table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Atletico Nacional 191315 35:15 +20 40 WLWDW
2 Junior 191126 31:24 +7 35 WDDDL
3 Deportivo Pasto 191045 29:25 +4 34 LLDLW
4 America de Cali 191036 25:15 +10 33 DLWWD
5 Once Caldas 19892 31:22 +9 33 DWWDL
6 Deportes Tolima 19874 27:17 +10 31 LLDDD
7 Santa Fe 19784 29:22 +7 29 WLWWL
8 Internacional de Bogota 19775 26:26 0 28 WDDDL
9 Deportivo Cali 19766 20:16 +4 27 WDDWW
10 Millonarios 19757 31:23 +8 26 DWDDD
11 Independiente Medellin 19757 26:24 +2 26 LWLDL
12 Águilas Doradas 19757 20:25 -5 26 LWDDW
13 Bucaramanga 19586 26:20 +6 23 LDDWW
14 Llaneros 194105 17:20 -3 22 LWLLL
15 Fortaleza FC 19577 22:27 -5 22 LDDDL
16 Jaguares 195311 20:33 -13 18 LLWLL
17 Alianza Valledupar 19388 13:27 -14 17 WDLWL
18 Chico 195212 15:32 -17 17 WLLLD
19 Cucuta 19379 22:35 -13 16 WWWWL
20 Deportivo Pereira 191711 15:32 -17 10 WDDLL

Top scorers

Primera A
1 A. EstupiñánMillonarios 19goals 4assists 34apps
2 Y. GuzmánAmerica de Cali 18goals 6assists 32apps
3 D. MorenoOnce Caldas 16goals 1assists 34apps
4 L. MurielJunior 16goals 2assists 35apps
5 A. MorelosAtletico Nacional 14goals 6assists 30apps
6 H. RodallegaSanta Fe 14goals 3assists 36apps
7 L. PonsBucaramanga 12goals 5assists 31apps
8 J. ZapataOnce Caldas 12goals 3assists 34apps
9 L. CastroMillonarios 12goals 6assists 31apps
10 E. BatallaBucaramanga 11goals 5assists 28apps

Recent form

3 W 2 D 5 L in the last 10
18 Oct 2026Primera A Independiente Medellin 0 - 2 Once Caldas L
15 Oct 2026Copa Colombia Atletico Nacional 3 - 2 Independiente Medellin L
12 Oct 2026Primera A America de Cali 1 - 2 Independiente Medellin W
06 Oct 2026Primera A Independiente Medellin 0 - 1 Santa Fe L
30 Sep 2026Primera A Independiente Medellin 2 - 2 Millonarios D
27 Sep 2026Primera A Junior 2 - 0 Independiente Medellin L
22 Sep 2026Primera A Independiente Medellin 2 - 1 Jaguares W
18 Sep 2026Primera A Bucaramanga 2 - 2 Independiente Medellin D
12 Sep 2026Primera A Chico 2 - 1 Independiente Medellin L
10 Sep 2026Copa Colombia Deportivo Pasto 1 - 4 Independiente Medellin W
2 W 1 D 7 L in the last 10
21 Oct 2026Primera A Llaneros 0 - 3 Deportivo Cali L
18 Oct 2026Primera A Llaneros 1 - 0 Santa Fe W
15 Oct 2026Copa Colombia Internacional de Bogota 4 - 1 Llaneros L
10 Oct 2026Primera A Once Caldas 1 - 0 Llaneros L
05 Oct 2026Primera A Llaneros 1 - 2 America de Cali L
26 Sep 2026Primera A Cucuta 2 - 1 Llaneros L
21 Sep 2026Primera A Llaneros 2 - 0 Atletico Nacional W
12 Sep 2026Primera A Internacional de Bogota 3 - 2 Llaneros L
07 Sep 2026Primera A Llaneros 1 - 2 Deportes Tolima L
02 Sep 2026Copa Colombia Quindio 1 - 1 Llaneros D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Independiente Medellin Draw Llaneros
Value spotted: Llaneros win at 6.85 (model 30% vs market 14%)

Most likely scores

1-0 13.2%
1-1 13.2%
0-0 10.5%
0-1 10.5%
2-0 8.2%
2-1 8.2%

Expected goals: 1.25 Independiente Medellin · 1 Llaneros

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals66%
Over 2.5 goals39%
Over 3.5 goals19%
Both teams score45%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
53%
Form
47%
57%
Attack
43%
42%
Defence
58%
50%
Goal model
50%
88%
Head to head
13%
75%
Goals
25%
60%
Overall
39%

Season numbers

Primera A 2026

When the goals come

4
0-15'
1
5
16-30'
3
3
31-45'
6
5
46-60'
6
5
61-75'
4
10
76-90'
4
3
0-15'
5
7
16-30'
3
9
31-45'
4
4
46-60'
6
1
61-75'
2
6
76-90'
5
Independiente Medellin Llaneros

Side by side

Independiente Medellin Llaneros
23 Played 25
10 Won 7
5 Drawn 12
8 Lost 6
1.4 Goals scored per game 1
1.3 Goals conceded per game 1
1.5 / 1.4 Scored per game (home / away) 1.2 / 0.8
6 Clean sheets 8
3 Failed to score 7
3 Longest winning run 1
2-0 Biggest win 3-1
2-3 Biggest defeat 0-2
3/3 Penalties scored 4/5

Independiente Medellin vs Llaneros: preview and prediction

Independiente Medellin host Llaneros in the Colombia Primera A (Clausura - 8) on Sunday, 30th August 2026 at 22:10 at Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellin. Independiente Medellin sit 11th in the table and Llaneros 14th.

Independiente Medellin are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-W-L-L). Llaneros are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-L-W-L).

In the last 3 meetings, Independiente Medellin won 2, Llaneros won 0 and 1 ended level. These games average 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% and over 2.5 goals in 67%.

Our goal model expects about 1.25 goals for Independiente Medellin and 1 for Llaneros. It gives Independiente Medellin the edge (42% home win, 28% draw, 30% away win), 39% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Under 2.5 at odds of 1.88. We also like BTTS No.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Independiente Medellin vs Llaneros FAQs

What is the best prediction for Independiente Medellin vs Llaneros?

Our top tip is Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5 (1.88 odds).

Who will win Independiente Medellin vs Llaneros?

Independiente Medellin are favourites: our model gives Independiente Medellin 42%, the draw 28% and Llaneros 30%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 45% chance in our model, and it happened in 33% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.3 goals in total, with a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Independiente Medellin vs Llaneros?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 30th August 2026 at 22:10 at Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellin.

Who is the referee?

Jhon Alexander Ospina Londono, Colombia is in charge of this game.