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Independiente del Valle vs Flamengo Prediction, H2H & Stats

World: CONMEBOL Libertadores · Quarter-finals
Independiente del Valle

Independiente del Valle

WDWWL
Full time
0:2
HT 0 - 0
Flamengo

Flamengo

1st in table
WDWDW
50' Erick Pulgar
57' Mateo Carabajal
61' Bruno Henrique
75' Léo Pereira
90+2' Edwin Quintero
Friday, 11 September 2026
Estadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito
F. Tello

Head to head

Last 6 meetings
6games
2Independiente del Valle wins
1Draws
3Flamengo wins
3Goals per game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
01 Mar 2023CONMEBOL Recopa Flamengo 1 - 0 Independiente del Valle
22 Feb 2023CONMEBOL Recopa Independiente del Valle 1 - 0 Flamengo
01 Oct 2020CONMEBOL Libertadores Flamengo 4 - 0 Independiente del Valle
18 Sep 2020CONMEBOL Libertadores Independiente del Valle 5 - 0 Flamengo
27 Feb 2020CONMEBOL Recopa Flamengo 3 - 0 Independiente del Valle
20 Feb 2020CONMEBOL Recopa Independiente del Valle 2 - 2 Flamengo

CONMEBOL Libertadores table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Flamengo 6510 14:2 +12 16 WWDWW
2 Estudiantes L.P. 6231 6:5 +1 9 WLDDW
3 Independiente Medellin 6213 6:11 -5 7 LWWLD
4 Cusco 6015 4:12 -8 1 LLDLL

Top scorers

CONMEBOL Libertadores
1 A. ArceIndepend. Rivadavia 9goals 0assists 7apps
2 C. GonzálezIndependiente del Valle 7goals 0assists 9apps
3 Bruno HenriqueFlamengo 5goals 2assists 11apps
4 F. FydriszewskiIndependiente Medellin 4goals 1assists 10apps
5 G. de ArrascaetaFlamengo 4goals 1assists 7apps
6 F. ZampedriU. Catolica 4goals 0assists 7apps
7 J. LópezPalmeiras 4goals 4assists 11apps
8 Matheus PereiraCruzeiro 4goals 1assists 8apps
9 L. MelgarejoLibertad Asuncion 4goals 0assists 5apps
10 J. AriasPalmeiras 3goals 2assists 11apps

Recent form

4 W 2 D 3 L in the last 9
17 Oct 2026Liga Pro Macara 1 - 0 Independiente del Valle L
10 Oct 2026Liga Pro Independiente del Valle 2 - 1 Aucas W
25 Sep 2026Copa Ecuador Gualaceo SC 0 - 2 Independiente del Valle W
18 Sep 2026CONMEBOL Libertadores Flamengo 1 - 1 Independiente del Valle D
13 Sep 2026Liga Pro Libertad 2 - 3 Independiente del Valle W
11 Sep 2026CONMEBOL Libertadores Independiente del Valle 0 - 2 Flamengo L
05 Sep 2026Liga Pro Independiente del Valle 3 - 1 Macara W
03 Sep 2026Liga Pro Barcelona SC 2 - 1 Independiente del Valle L
29 Aug 2026Liga Pro Independiente del Valle 2 - 2 Universidad Catolica D
7 W 3 D 0 L in the last 10
18 Oct 2026Serie A Bahia 0 - 3 Flamengo W
16 Oct 2026CONMEBOL Libertadores Estudiantes L.P. 0 - 0 Flamengo D
11 Oct 2026Serie A Flamengo 1 - 0 Fluminense W
08 Oct 2026Serie A Santos 2 - 2 Flamengo D
20 Sep 2026Serie A Flamengo 2 - 1 RB Bragantino W
18 Sep 2026CONMEBOL Libertadores Flamengo 1 - 1 Independiente del Valle D
13 Sep 2026Serie A Flamengo 2 - 1 Corinthians W
11 Sep 2026CONMEBOL Libertadores Independiente del Valle 0 - 2 Flamengo W
06 Sep 2026Serie A Remo 0 - 1 Flamengo W
02 Sep 2026Serie A Flamengo 2 - 0 Mirassol W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Independiente del Valle Draw Flamengo
Value spotted: Independiente del Valle win at 2.73 (model 54% vs market 35%)

Most likely scores

1-1 11.2%
1-0 10.6%
2-1 9.8%
2-0 9.3%
0-1 6.4%
0-0 6.1%

Expected goals: 1.75 Independiente del Valle · 1.05 Flamengo

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals77%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Over 3.5 goals31%
Both teams score54%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
52%
Form
48%
53%
Attack
47%
43%
Defence
57%
55%
Goal model
45%
40%
Head to head
60%
43%
Goals
57%
47%
Overall
52%

Season numbers

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
0
5
31-45'
3
2
46-60'
2
5
61-75'
3
2
76-90'
5
0
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
0
2
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
3
1
61-75'
0
2
76-90'
0
Independiente del Valle Flamengo

Side by side

Independiente del Valle Flamengo
8 Played 7
6 Won 5
1 Drawn 2
1 Lost 0
1.9 Goals scored per game 2
0.9 Goals conceded per game 0.6
2.8 / 1 Scored per game (home / away) 2.5 / 1.3
3 Clean sheets 3
2 Failed to score 0
2 Longest winning run 2
4-1 Biggest win 4-1
2-0 Biggest defeat -
1/1 Penalties scored 1/1

Independiente del Valle vs Flamengo: preview and prediction

Independiente del Valle host Flamengo in the World CONMEBOL Libertadores (Quarter-finals) on Friday, 11th September 2026 at 01:30 at Estadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito.

Independiente del Valle are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-D-W-W-L). Flamengo are in good shape, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-D-W-D-W).

In the last 6 meetings, Independiente del Valle won 2, Flamengo won 3 and 1 ended level. These games average 3 goals, with both teams scoring in 17% and over 2.5 goals in 67%.

Our goal model expects about 1.75 goals for Independiente del Valle and 1.05 for Flamengo. It gives Independiente del Valle the edge (54% home win, 24% draw, 23% away win), 53% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.47. We also like BTTS Yes, Over 1.5, Draw.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Independiente del Valle vs Flamengo FAQs

What is the best prediction for Independiente del Valle vs Flamengo?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.47 odds).

Who will win Independiente del Valle vs Flamengo?

Independiente del Valle are favourites: our model gives Independiente del Valle 54%, the draw 24% and Flamengo 23%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 54% chance in our model, and it happened in 17% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.8 goals in total, with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Independiente del Valle vs Flamengo?

Kick-off is on Friday, 11th September 2026 at 01:30 at Estadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito.

Who is the referee?

F. Tello is in charge of this game.