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Independiente del Valle vs Deportivo Cuenca Prediction, H2H & Stats

Ecuador: Liga Pro · Regular Season - 23
Independiente del Valle

Independiente del Valle

1st in table
WLDWW
Full time
1:0
HT 0 - 0
Deportivo Cuenca

Deportivo Cuenca

12th in table
DDWWL
20' Arón Rodríguez
53' Juan Angulo
77' Mateo Maccari
86' Patricio Boolsen
Sunday, 2 August 2026
Estadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito
Augusto Bergelio Aragon Bautista, Ecuador

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
8Independiente del Valle wins
0Draws
1Deportivo Cuenca wins
2.8Goals per game
33%Both scored
56%Over 2.5
12 Apr 2026Liga Pro Deportivo Cuenca 2 - 3 Independiente del Valle
27 Jul 2025Liga Pro Deportivo Cuenca 0 - 3 Independiente del Valle
06 Apr 2025Liga Pro Independiente del Valle 4 - 0 Deportivo Cuenca
25 Oct 2024Liga Pro Deportivo Cuenca 0 - 2 Independiente del Valle
05 May 2024Liga Pro Independiente del Valle 1 - 0 Deportivo Cuenca
28 Oct 2023Liga Pro Independiente del Valle 2 - 0 Deportivo Cuenca
20 May 2023Liga Pro Deportivo Cuenca 1 - 2 Independiente del Valle
03 Sep 2022Liga Pro Deportivo Cuenca 2 - 1 Independiente del Valle
20 Apr 2022Liga Pro Independiente del Valle 2 - 0 Deportivo Cuenca

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Independiente del Valle 302424 73:33 +40 74 WWLDW
2 Universidad Catolica 301497 51:27 +24 51 WWDDW
3 Macara 301569 41:33 +8 51 WLWWL
4 Aucas 301488 33:28 +5 50 DDDWW
5 LDU de Quito 3013710 31:24 +7 46 DWDLW
6 Barcelona SC 3011118 32:25 +7 44 DDWLW
7 Libertad 3011811 33:34 -1 41 LWDLW
8 Leones del Norte 3010911 31:32 -1 39 LDWLL
9 Guayaquil City FC 3010911 33:36 -3 39 WLLWW
10 Emelec 3010911 25:34 -9 39 LWDWL
11 Mushuc Runa SC 3091110 35:38 -3 38 LDDWD
12 Deportivo Cuenca 3010614 25:37 -12 36 DLWLD
13 Orense SC 309615 36:47 -11 33 LWLLL
14 Tecnico Universitario 3010218 28:42 -14 32 WLLWL
15 Delfin SC 307716 19:31 -12 28 DLWLL
16 Manta FC 305619 17:42 -25 21 DLLWL

Top scorers

Liga Pro
1 F. PosseMacara 16goals 5assists 34apps
2 E. MeroGuayaquil City FC 13goals 5assists 35apps
3 Vilinton Germán Branda MerlínLibertad 13goals 2assists 34apps
4 R. CarrilloEmelec 13goals 3assists 34apps
5 A. CampanaMacara 12goals 3assists 19apps
6 A. HerreraOrense SC 12goals 3assists 35apps
7 J. FajardoUniversidad Catolica 11goals 3assists 33apps
8 Juan Luis Anangonó LeónLeones del Norte 11goals 1assists 35apps
9 F. AyuntaDelfin SC 11goals 1assists 33apps
10 C. GonzálezIndependiente del Valle 10goals 1assists 22apps

Recent form

6 W 2 D 2 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Liga Pro Independiente del Valle 2 - 0 LDU de Quito W
29 Oct 2026Copa Ecuador Delfin SC 0 - 3 Independiente del Valle W
23 Oct 2026Liga Pro Independiente del Valle 0 - 0 Universidad Catolica D
17 Oct 2026Liga Pro Macara 1 - 0 Independiente del Valle L
10 Oct 2026Liga Pro Independiente del Valle 2 - 1 Aucas W
25 Sep 2026Copa Ecuador Gualaceo SC 0 - 2 Independiente del Valle W
18 Sep 2026CONMEBOL Libertadores Flamengo 1 - 1 Independiente del Valle D
13 Sep 2026Liga Pro Libertad 2 - 3 Independiente del Valle W
11 Sep 2026CONMEBOL Libertadores Independiente del Valle 0 - 2 Flamengo L
05 Sep 2026Liga Pro Independiente del Valle 3 - 1 Macara W
3 W 4 D 3 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Liga Pro Delfin SC 3 - 1 Deportivo Cuenca L
24 Oct 2026Liga Pro Manta FC 0 - 2 Deportivo Cuenca W
16 Oct 2026Liga Pro Deportivo Cuenca 2 - 1 Tecnico Universitario W
11 Oct 2026Liga Pro Orense SC 0 - 0 Deportivo Cuenca D
20 Sep 2026Liga Pro Deportivo Cuenca 1 - 1 Mushuc Runa SC D
13 Sep 2026Liga Pro LDU de Quito 1 - 1 Deportivo Cuenca D
07 Sep 2026Liga Pro Deportivo Cuenca 0 - 1 Libertad L
02 Sep 2026Liga Pro Deportivo Cuenca 1 - 0 Guayaquil City FC W
29 Aug 2026Liga Pro Tecnico Universitario 3 - 1 Deportivo Cuenca L
22 Aug 2026Liga Pro Deportivo Cuenca 0 - 0 Mushuc Runa SC D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Independiente del Valle Draw Deportivo Cuenca
Value spotted: Deportivo Cuenca win at 9.95 (model 16% vs market 9%)

Most likely scores

1-0 13.4%
2-0 12%
1-1 10.7%
2-1 9.6%
0-0 7.4%
3-0 7.2%

Expected goals: 1.8 Independiente del Valle · 0.8 Deportivo Cuenca

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals73%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals26%
Both teams score46%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
79%
Form
21%
86%
Attack
14%
67%
Defence
33%
75%
Goal model
25%
100%
Head to head
0%
87%
Goals
13%
78%
Overall
21%

Season numbers

Liga Pro 2026

When the goals come

5
0-15'
4
7
16-30'
3
9
31-45'
2
10
46-60'
3
7
61-75'
6
13
76-90'
3
3
0-15'
1
5
16-30'
1
3
31-45'
6
8
46-60'
5
2
61-75'
8
3
76-90'
4
Independiente del Valle Deportivo Cuenca

Side by side

Independiente del Valle Deportivo Cuenca
22 Played 22
18 Won 9
1 Drawn 4
3 Lost 9
2.5 Goals scored per game 1
1 Goals conceded per game 1.2
2.5 / 2.5 Scored per game (home / away) 1.2 / 0.7
9 Clean sheets 6
2 Failed to score 6
5 Longest winning run 3
6-1 Biggest win 2-1
0-2 Biggest defeat 1-3
0/2 Penalties scored 3/3

Independiente del Valle vs Deportivo Cuenca: preview and prediction

Independiente del Valle host Deportivo Cuenca in the Ecuador Liga Pro (Regular Season - 23) on Sunday, 2nd August 2026 at 19:00 at Estadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito. Independiente del Valle sit 1st in the table and Deportivo Cuenca 12th.

Independiente del Valle are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-L-D-W-W). Deportivo Cuenca have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-D-W-W-L).

In the last 9 meetings, Independiente del Valle won 8, Deportivo Cuenca won 1 and 0 ended level. These games average 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% and over 2.5 goals in 56%.

Our goal model expects about 1.8 goals for Independiente del Valle and 0.8 for Deportivo Cuenca. It gives Independiente del Valle the edge (61% home win, 23% draw, 16% away win), 48% for over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Home Win at odds of 1.29. We also like Over 2.5, Under 3.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Independiente del Valle vs Deportivo Cuenca FAQs

What is the best prediction for Independiente del Valle vs Deportivo Cuenca?

Our top tip is Home Win: Home Win (1.29 odds).

Who will win Independiente del Valle vs Deportivo Cuenca?

Independiente del Valle are favourites: our model gives Independiente del Valle 61%, the draw 23% and Deportivo Cuenca 16%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 46% chance in our model, and it happened in 33% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.6 goals in total, with a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Independiente del Valle vs Deportivo Cuenca?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 2nd August 2026 at 19:00 at Estadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito.

Who is the referee?

Augusto Bergelio Aragon Bautista, Ecuador is in charge of this game.