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Independiente del Valle vs Deportes Tolima Prediction, H2H & Stats

World: CONMEBOL Libertadores · Round of 16
Independiente del Valle

Independiente del Valle

WDWWL
Full time
3:1
HT 0 - 0
Deportes Tolima

Deportes Tolima

2nd in table
DDDLL
58' Adrián Parra
59' D. A. Romero Padilla
65' Homer Martinez
70' C. Gonzalez
74' Junior Sornoza
80' Sebastián Guzmán
84' J. Hernandez
90' M. Perello
Wednesday, 26 August 2026
Estadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito
D. Herrera

Head to head

Last 3 meetings
3games
1Independiente del Valle wins
1Draws
1Deportes Tolima wins
2Goals per game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
19 Aug 2026CONMEBOL Libertadores Deportes Tolima 0 - 1 Independiente del Valle
05 May 2022CONMEBOL Libertadores Deportes Tolima 1 - 0 Independiente del Valle
14 Apr 2022CONMEBOL Libertadores Independiente del Valle 2 - 2 Deportes Tolima

CONMEBOL Libertadores table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Coquimbo Unido 6312 8:6 +2 10 LWWLW
2 Deportes Tolima 6222 7:6 +1 8 DLWWL
3 Club Nacional 6222 7:9 -2 8 WDLLW
4 Universitario 6132 5:6 -1 6 DDLWL

Top scorers

CONMEBOL Libertadores
1 A. ArceIndepend. Rivadavia 9goals 0assists 7apps
2 C. GonzálezIndependiente del Valle 7goals 0assists 9apps
3 Bruno HenriqueFlamengo 5goals 2assists 11apps
4 F. FydriszewskiIndependiente Medellin 4goals 1assists 10apps
5 G. de ArrascaetaFlamengo 4goals 1assists 7apps
6 F. ZampedriU. Catolica 4goals 0assists 7apps
7 J. LópezPalmeiras 4goals 4assists 11apps
8 Matheus PereiraCruzeiro 4goals 1assists 8apps
9 L. MelgarejoLibertad Asuncion 4goals 0assists 5apps
10 J. AriasPalmeiras 3goals 2assists 11apps

Recent form

4 W 2 D 3 L in the last 9
17 Oct 2026Liga Pro Macara 1 - 0 Independiente del Valle L
10 Oct 2026Liga Pro Independiente del Valle 2 - 1 Aucas W
25 Sep 2026Copa Ecuador Gualaceo SC 0 - 2 Independiente del Valle W
18 Sep 2026CONMEBOL Libertadores Flamengo 1 - 1 Independiente del Valle D
13 Sep 2026Liga Pro Libertad 2 - 3 Independiente del Valle W
11 Sep 2026CONMEBOL Libertadores Independiente del Valle 0 - 2 Flamengo L
05 Sep 2026Liga Pro Independiente del Valle 3 - 1 Macara W
03 Sep 2026Liga Pro Barcelona SC 2 - 1 Independiente del Valle L
29 Aug 2026Liga Pro Independiente del Valle 2 - 2 Universidad Catolica D
2 W 4 D 4 L in the last 10
18 Oct 2026Primera A Águilas Doradas 2 - 1 Deportes Tolima L
11 Oct 2026Primera A Jaguares 3 - 2 Deportes Tolima L
08 Oct 2026Primera A Atletico Nacional 0 - 0 Deportes Tolima D
03 Oct 2026Primera A Deportes Tolima 0 - 0 Chico D
27 Sep 2026Primera A Fortaleza FC 2 - 2 Deportes Tolima D
20 Sep 2026Primera A Deportes Tolima 1 - 1 America de Cali D
16 Sep 2026Primera A Once Caldas 1 - 0 Deportes Tolima L
12 Sep 2026Primera A Santa Fe 1 - 0 Deportes Tolima L
07 Sep 2026Primera A Llaneros 1 - 2 Deportes Tolima W
01 Sep 2026Primera A Deportes Tolima 2 - 1 Cucuta W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Independiente del Valle Draw Deportes Tolima
Value spotted: Independiente del Valle win at 1.56 (model 73% vs market 61%)

Most likely scores

2-0 15.6%
1-0 15.2%
3-0 10.7%
2-1 8.6%
1-1 8.4%
0-0 7.4%

Expected goals: 2.05 Independiente del Valle · 0.55 Deportes Tolima

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals73%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals26%
Both teams score37%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
63%
Form
37%
60%
Attack
40%
44%
Defence
56%
90%
Goal model
10%
50%
Head to head
50%
50%
Goals
50%
59%
Overall
40%

Season numbers

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
5
31-45'
2
1
46-60'
1
4
61-75'
2
1
76-90'
5
0
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
1
2
31-45'
2
1
46-60'
2
1
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
2
Independiente del Valle Deportes Tolima

Side by side

Independiente del Valle Deportes Tolima
7 Played 11
5 Won 4
1 Drawn 3
1 Lost 4
1.7 Goals scored per game 1
0.9 Goals conceded per game 0.8
2.7 / 1 Scored per game (home / away) 1.5 / 0.4
3 Clean sheets 6
2 Failed to score 5
2 Longest winning run 2
4-1 Biggest win 3-0
2-0 Biggest defeat 0-1
1/1 Penalties scored 2/2

Independiente del Valle vs Deportes Tolima: preview and prediction

Independiente del Valle host Deportes Tolima in the World CONMEBOL Libertadores (Round of 16) on Wednesday, 26th August 2026 at 01:30 at Estadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito.

Independiente del Valle are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-D-W-W-L). Deportes Tolima are still looking for a win, with 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (D-D-D-L-L).

In the last 3 meetings, Independiente del Valle won 1, Deportes Tolima won 1 and 1 ended level. These games average 2 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% and over 2.5 goals in 33%.

Our goal model expects about 2.05 goals for Independiente del Valle and 0.55 for Deportes Tolima. It gives Independiente del Valle the edge (73% home win, 18% draw, 9% away win), 48% for over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 2-0.

Our pick was Home Win at odds of 1.56.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Independiente del Valle vs Deportes Tolima FAQs

What is the best prediction for Independiente del Valle vs Deportes Tolima?

Our top tip is Home Win: Home Win (1.56 odds).

Who will win Independiente del Valle vs Deportes Tolima?

Independiente del Valle are favourites: our model gives Independiente del Valle 73%, the draw 18% and Deportes Tolima 9%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 37% chance in our model, and it happened in 33% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.6 goals in total, with a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Independiente del Valle vs Deportes Tolima?

Kick-off is on Wednesday, 26th August 2026 at 01:30 at Estadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito.

Who is the referee?

D. Herrera is in charge of this game.