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Hwaseong vs Busan I Park Prediction, H2H & Stats

South-Korea: K League 2 · Regular Season - 12
Hwaseong

Hwaseong

6th in table
DLLDL
Full time
3:2
HT 2 - 2
Busan I Park

Busan I Park

5th in table
WLDWW
15' Lee Dong-Su (Own Goal)
21' Jegal Jae-Min
30' Gabriel Honorio
36' Cristian Renato
73' S. Petrov
89' Xavier
Sunday, 17 May 2026
Hwaseong Stadium, Hwaseong
Go Min-Guk

Head to head

Last 4 meetings
4games
1Hwaseong wins
1Draws
2Busan I Park wins
3Goals per game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
28 Sep 2025K League 2 Hwaseong 1 - 1 Busan I Park
19 Jul 2025K League 2 Hwaseong 1 - 0 Busan I Park
27 Apr 2025K League 2 Busan I Park 3 - 2 Hwaseong
01 Jul 2020FA Cup Busan I Park 4 - 0 Hwaseong

K League 2 table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Suwon Bluewings 291964 50:25 +25 63 DWWWW
2 Suwon City FC 291694 54:31 +23 57 WLWWW
3 Seoul E-Land FC 291667 54:36 +18 54 LWWWL
4 Daegu FC 291586 57:40 +17 53 DWWLW
5 Busan I Park 291469 47:37 +10 48 WWDLW
6 Hwaseong 301299 44:33 +11 45 LDLLD
7 Asan Mugunghwa 291199 41:33 +8 42 WWDDW
8 Gimpo Citizen 299119 37:39 -2 38 LLWLW
9 Gyeongnam FC 299119 33:34 -1 38 WLDLD
10 Paju Citizen 299713 29:35 -6 34 WDLDW
11 Yongin City 2971210 38:43 -5 33 WWLLD
12 Cheongju 3061410 36:49 -13 32 LLLWW
13 Seongnam FC 2971111 32:39 -7 32 DLLLD
14 Cheonan City 2961211 37:41 -4 30 DWWLD
15 Jeonnam Dragons 2951014 35:52 -17 25 DLLWL
16 Ansan Greeners 307419 33:57 -24 25 LLWLL
17 Gimhae City 293917 27:60 -33 18 DWLDL

Top scorers

K League 2
1 EdgarDaegu FC 6goals 0assists 11apps
2 WillyanSuwon City FC 5goals 0assists 9apps
3 Bruno LamasCheonan City 4goals 0assists 12apps
4 Suk Hyun-JunYongin City 3goals 0assists 11apps
5 RonanJeonnam Dragons 2goals 1assists 10apps
6 Choi Kang-minDaegu FC 1goals 0assists 5apps
7 Hye-seong KimAsan Mugunghwa 1goals 0assists 1apps
8 Bruno CostaGimhae City 0goals 0assists 10apps
9 Matheus BabiSuwon City FC 0goals 0assists 7apps
10 Kim Jung-MinHwaseong 0goals 0assists 5apps

Recent form

2 W 4 D 4 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026K League 2 Gyeongnam FC 1 - 0 Hwaseong L
25 Oct 2026K League 2 Paju Citizen 1 - 1 Hwaseong D
18 Oct 2026K League 2 Suwon Bluewings 3 - 2 Hwaseong L
09 Oct 2026K League 2 Suwon City FC 1 - 0 Hwaseong L
20 Sep 2026K League 2 Seongnam FC 2 - 2 Hwaseong D
12 Sep 2026K League 2 Ansan Greeners 0 - 2 Hwaseong W
05 Sep 2026K League 2 Cheonan City 1 - 1 Hwaseong D
29 Aug 2026K League 2 Hwaseong 2 - 1 Cheongju W
23 Aug 2026K League 2 Jeonnam Dragons 1 - 0 Hwaseong L
15 Aug 2026K League 2 Busan I Park 0 - 0 Hwaseong D
3 W 4 D 3 L in the last 10
25 Oct 2026K League 2 Busan I Park 3 - 1 Gyeongnam FC W
18 Oct 2026K League 2 Busan I Park 2 - 1 Jeonnam Dragons W
10 Oct 2026K League 2 Paju Citizen 1 - 1 Busan I Park D
19 Sep 2026K League 2 Gimpo Citizen 1 - 0 Busan I Park L
13 Sep 2026K League 2 Busan I Park 2 - 0 Gimhae City W
05 Sep 2026K League 2 Busan I Park 0 - 1 Ansan Greeners L
30 Aug 2026K League 2 Suwon City FC 2 - 1 Busan I Park L
22 Aug 2026K League 2 Daegu FC 1 - 1 Busan I Park D
19 Aug 2026FA Cup Busan I Park 0 - 0 Bucheon FC 1995 D
15 Aug 2026K League 2 Busan I Park 0 - 0 Hwaseong D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Hwaseong Draw Busan I Park

Most likely scores

1-1 11.3%
1-2 9%
0-1 8.4%
2-1 7.6%
1-0 7.1%
0-2 6.7%

Expected goals: 1.35 Hwaseong · 1.6 Busan I Park

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals79%
Over 2.5 goals57%
Over 3.5 goals34%
Both teams score59%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
48%
Form
52%
50%
Attack
50%
50%
Defence
50%
45%
Goal model
55%
36%
Head to head
64%
33%
Goals
67%
43%
Overall
56%

Season numbers

K League 2 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
3
3
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
7
5
46-60'
0
2
61-75'
4
2
76-90'
8
2
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
0
3
31-45'
3
0
46-60'
3
1
61-75'
2
4
76-90'
2
Hwaseong Busan I Park

Side by side

Hwaseong Busan I Park
11 Played 11
4 Won 9
4 Drawn 1
3 Lost 1
1.2 Goals scored per game 2
1 Goals conceded per game 1
1.4 / 0.7 Scored per game (home / away) 1.8 / 2.2
4 Clean sheets 3
3 Failed to score 0
2 Longest winning run 7
2-0 Biggest win 3-1
1-3 Biggest defeat 3-2
0/0 Penalties scored 1/1

Hwaseong vs Busan I Park: preview and prediction

Hwaseong host Busan I Park in the South-Korea K League 2 (Regular Season - 12) on Sunday, 17th May 2026 at 08:30 at Hwaseong Stadium, Hwaseong. Hwaseong sit 6th in the table and Busan I Park 5th.

Hwaseong are struggling, with 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-L-D-L). Busan I Park are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-L-D-W-W).

In the last 4 meetings, Hwaseong won 1, Busan I Park won 2 and 1 ended level. These games average 3 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% and over 2.5 goals in 50%.

Our goal model expects about 1.35 goals for Hwaseong and 1.6 for Busan I Park. It gives Busan I Park the edge (32% home win, 24% draw, 43% away win), 57% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.26. We also like Over 1.5, Draw.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Hwaseong vs Busan I Park FAQs

What is the best prediction for Hwaseong vs Busan I Park?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.26 odds).

Who will win Hwaseong vs Busan I Park?

Busan I Park are favourites: our model gives Hwaseong 32%, the draw 24% and Busan I Park 43%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 59% chance in our model, and it happened in 50% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3 goals in total, with a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Hwaseong vs Busan I Park?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 17th May 2026 at 08:30 at Hwaseong Stadium, Hwaseong.

Who is the referee?

Go Min-Guk is in charge of this game.