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Hong Kong U23 vs Thailand U23 Prediction, H2H & Stats

World: Asian Games · Group Stage - 2
Hong Kong U23

Hong Kong U23

4th in table
LWLLL
Full time
1:5
HT 1 - 1
Thailand U23

Thailand U23

2nd in table
LWWLL
14' C. R. Wu
39' T. Chotmuangpak
52' W. Noisri
56' Y. E. Tsang (Own Goal)
62' Helio
76' J. Mamah
78' C. Buaphan
84' W. Noisri
85' C. R. Wu
88' S. Boonlha
89' T. Chotmuangpak
Sunday, 20 September 2026
Toyota Stadium, Toyota City

Asian Games table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Japan U23 3300 12:0 +12 9 LWWWW
2 Thailand U23 3201 8:6 +2 6 LLWW
3 Kyrgyz Republic U23 3102 6:10 -4 3 WLL
4 Hong Kong U23 3003 1:11 -10 0 LLL

Recent form

3 W 0 D 7 L in the last 10
23 Sep 2026Asian Games Kyrgyz Republic U23 4 - 0 Hong Kong U23 L
20 Sep 2026Asian Games Hong Kong U23 1 - 5 Thailand U23 L
16 Sep 2026Asian Games Japan U23 2 - 0 Hong Kong U23 L
09 Sep 2025AFC U23 Asian Cup - Qualification Hong Kong U23 1 - 0 Guam U23 W
06 Sep 2025AFC U23 Asian Cup - Qualification Hong Kong U23 0 - 2 UAE U23 L
03 Sep 2025AFC U23 Asian Cup - Qualification Iran U23 4 - 0 Hong Kong U23 L
07 Oct 2023Asian Games Uzbekistan U23 4 - 0 Hong Kong U23 L
04 Oct 2023Asian Games Hong Kong U23 0 - 4 Japan U23 L
01 Oct 2023Asian Games Iran U23 0 - 1 Hong Kong U23 W
27 Sep 2023Asian Games Hong Kong U23 1 - 0 Palestine U23 W
3 W 2 D 5 L in the last 10
26 Sep 2026Asian Games China PR U23 3 - 0 Thailand U23 L
23 Sep 2026Asian Games Japan U23 3 - 0 Thailand U23 L
20 Sep 2026Asian Games Hong Kong U23 1 - 5 Thailand U23 W
16 Sep 2026Asian Games Thailand U23 3 - 2 Kyrgyz Republic U23 W
09 Jun 2026Friendlies Thailand U23 2 - 5 UAE U23 L
06 Jun 2026Friendlies Thailand U23 2 - 3 Korea Republic U23 L
31 Mar 2026Friendlies Korea DPR U23 3 - 1 Thailand U23 L
28 Mar 2026Friendlies Thailand U23 1 - 0 Vietnam U23 W
25 Mar 2026Friendlies China PR U23 2 - 2 Thailand U23 D
14 Jan 2026AFC U23 Asian Cup Thailand U23 0 - 0 China PR U23 D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Hong Kong U23 Draw Thailand U23
Value spotted: Hong Kong U23 win at 7.07 (model 20% vs market 13%)

Most likely scores

1-2 8.9%
1-3 7.4%
1-1 7.1%
0-2 6.3%
2-2 6.2%
0-3 5.3%

Expected goals: 1.4 Hong Kong U23 · 2.5 Thailand U23

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals90%
Over 2.5 goals74%
Over 3.5 goals54%
Both teams score69%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
0%
Form
100%
0%
Attack
100%
50%
Defence
50%
0%
Goal model
0%
0%
Head to head
0%
0%
Goals
0%
50%
Overall
50%

Season numbers

Asian Games 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
2
0
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
0
Hong Kong U23 Thailand U23

Side by side

Hong Kong U23 Thailand U23
1 Played 1
0 Won 1
0 Drawn 0
1 Lost 0
0 Goals scored per game 3
2 Goals conceded per game 2
0 / 0 Scored per game (home / away) 3 / 0
0 Clean sheets 0
1 Failed to score 0
0 Longest winning run 1
- Biggest win 3-2
2-0 Biggest defeat -
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

Hong Kong U23 vs Thailand U23: preview and prediction

Hong Kong U23 host Thailand U23 in the World Asian Games (Group Stage - 2) on Sunday, 20th September 2026 at 08:00 at Toyota Stadium, Toyota City. Hong Kong U23 sit 4th in the table and Thailand U23 2nd.

Hong Kong U23 are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-L-L). Thailand U23 are struggling, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-W-L-L).

Our goal model expects about 1.4 goals for Hong Kong U23 and 2.5 for Thailand U23. It gives Thailand U23 the edge (20% home win, 18% draw, 61% away win), 74% for over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-2.

Our pick was Away Win at odds of 1.33. We also like Draw.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Hong Kong U23 vs Thailand U23 FAQs

What is the best prediction for Hong Kong U23 vs Thailand U23?

Our top tip is Away Win: Away Win (1.33 odds).

Who will win Hong Kong U23 vs Thailand U23?

Thailand U23 are favourites: our model gives Hong Kong U23 20%, the draw 18% and Thailand U23 61%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 69% chance in our model.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.9 goals in total, with a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Hong Kong U23 vs Thailand U23?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 20th September 2026 at 08:00 at Toyota Stadium, Toyota City.