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HNK Rijeka vs Istra 1961 Prediction, H2H & Stats

Croatia: HNL · Regular Season - 4
HNK Rijeka

HNK Rijeka

5th in table
LLWWL
Full time
3:2
HT 2 - 0
Istra 1961

Istra 1961

6th in table
LWLDW
18' M. Nasraoui (Own Goal)
43' J. Puljic
53' T. Fruk
62' Hamza Jaganjac
71' H. Jaganjac
90' E. Frederiksen
Sunday, 23 August 2026
Stadion HNK Rijeka, Rijeka
Igor Pajač, Croatia

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
4HNK Rijeka wins
2Draws
3Istra 1961 wins
1.6Goals per game
11%Both scored
22%Over 2.5
17 May 2026HNL Istra 1961 0 - 0 HNK Rijeka
15 Mar 2026HNL HNK Rijeka 0 - 2 Istra 1961
20 Jan 2026HNL Istra 1961 1 - 2 HNK Rijeka
27 Sep 2025HNL HNK Rijeka 0 - 0 Istra 1961
19 Apr 2025HNL Istra 1961 2 - 0 HNK Rijeka
02 Apr 2025Cup HNK Rijeka 1 - 0 Istra 1961
09 Feb 2025HNL HNK Rijeka 0 - 1 Istra 1961
03 Nov 2024HNL Istra 1961 0 - 1 HNK Rijeka
18 Aug 2024HNL HNK Rijeka 4 - 0 Istra 1961

HNL table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 HNK Hajduk Split 11722 21:11 +10 23 DWWLW
2 Dinamo Zagreb 10712 25:13 +12 22 WWLWL
3 NK Varazdin 11533 15:10 +5 18 LLWDD
4 NK Osijek 11524 19:16 +3 17 LDLDW
5 HNK Rijeka 10523 17:14 +3 17 LWLWD
6 Istra 1961 12444 21:18 +3 16 WDLWL
7 NK Slaven Belupo 12417 14:25 -11 13 LWLWD
8 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 11326 13:17 -4 11 DWLLD
9 Rudes 11317 14:27 -13 10 WLWDL
10 HNK Gorica 11146 7:15 -8 7 DDLWD

Top scorers

HNL
1 D. BeljoDinamo Zagreb 12goals 5assists 9apps
2 E. FrederiksenIstra 1961 8goals 4assists 11apps
3 I. NestorovskiNK Slaven Belupo 7goals 2assists 11apps
4 A. LeónNK Osijek 6goals 1assists 11apps
5 H. JaganjacIstra 1961 5goals 1assists 9apps
6 M. ŠegoHNK Hajduk Split 5goals 1assists 11apps
7 N. OmerovićNK Osijek 5goals 0assists 5apps
8 D. Adu-AdjeiHNK Rijeka 4goals 3assists 10apps
9 S. VignatoHNK Rijeka 4goals 1assists 8apps
10 L. MamićNK Varazdin 4goals 0assists 11apps

Recent form

5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10
27 Oct 2026HNL Dinamo Zagreb 2 - 1 HNK Rijeka L
20 Oct 2026Cup Karlovac 1919 1 - 4 HNK Rijeka W
16 Oct 2026HNL Rudes 1 - 2 HNK Rijeka W
11 Oct 2026HNL NK Slaven Belupo 4 - 1 HNK Rijeka L
26 Sep 2026Friendlies Clubs HNK Rijeka 0 - 1 Union Berlin L
20 Sep 2026HNL HNK Rijeka 3 - 0 HNK Hajduk Split W
16 Sep 2026Cup Vrbovec 0 - 6 HNK Rijeka W
12 Sep 2026HNL NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1 - 1 HNK Rijeka D
05 Sep 2026HNL HNK Rijeka 4 - 1 NK Osijek W
31 Aug 2026HNL HNK Gorica 0 - 0 HNK Rijeka D
4 W 3 D 3 L in the last 10
30 Oct 2026HNL NK Slaven Belupo 0 - 2 Istra 1961 W
26 Oct 2026HNL Istra 1961 2 - 2 HNK Hajduk Split D
17 Oct 2026HNL NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 2 - 0 Istra 1961 L
10 Oct 2026HNL NK Osijek 1 - 3 Istra 1961 W
19 Sep 2026HNL Istra 1961 0 - 1 HNK Gorica L
13 Sep 2026HNL Istra 1961 3 - 2 Rudes W
08 Sep 2026Cup Zagorec 0 - 5 Istra 1961 W
04 Sep 2026HNL NK Varazdin 0 - 0 Istra 1961 D
29 Aug 2026HNL Istra 1961 2 - 2 Dinamo Zagreb D
23 Aug 2026HNL HNK Rijeka 3 - 2 Istra 1961 L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
HNK Rijeka Draw Istra 1961
Value spotted: Istra 1961 win at 7.22 (model 29% vs market 13%)

Most likely scores

1-1 9.1%
2-1 9.1%
1-2 6.8%
2-2 6.8%
3-1 6%
1-0 6%

Expected goals: 2 HNK Rijeka · 1.5 Istra 1961

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals68%
Over 3.5 goals46%
Both teams score67%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
43%
Form
57%
22%
Attack
78%
63%
Defence
38%
58%
Goal model
42%
38%
Head to head
62%
29%
Goals
71%
42%
Overall
58%

Season numbers

HNL 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
2
1
31-45'
2
0
46-60'
2
1
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
1
0
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
2
HNK Rijeka Istra 1961

Side by side

HNK Rijeka Istra 1961
2 Played 3
1 Won 1
0 Drawn 1
1 Lost 1
1 Goals scored per game 2.3
1.5 Goals conceded per game 1.7
2 / 0 Scored per game (home / away) 2.5 / 2
0 Clean sheets 1
1 Failed to score 0
1 Longest winning run 0
2-1 Biggest win 3-0
2-0 Biggest defeat 2-3
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

HNK Rijeka vs Istra 1961: preview and prediction

HNK Rijeka host Istra 1961 in the Croatia HNL (Regular Season - 4) on Sunday, 23rd August 2026 at 17:30 at Stadion HNK Rijeka, Rijeka. HNK Rijeka sit 5th in the table and Istra 1961 6th.

HNK Rijeka are struggling, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-W-W-L). Istra 1961 have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-D-W).

In the last 9 meetings, HNK Rijeka won 4, Istra 1961 won 3 and 2 ended level. These games average 1.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 11% and over 2.5 goals in 22%.

Our goal model expects about 2 goals for HNK Rijeka and 1.5 for Istra 1961. It gives HNK Rijeka the edge (49% home win, 22% draw, 29% away win), 68% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Under 3.5 at odds of 1.43.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

HNK Rijeka vs Istra 1961 FAQs

What is the best prediction for HNK Rijeka vs Istra 1961?

Our top tip is Over/Under 3.5: Under 3.5 (1.43 odds).

Who will win HNK Rijeka vs Istra 1961?

HNK Rijeka are favourites: our model gives HNK Rijeka 49%, the draw 22% and Istra 1961 29%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 67% chance in our model, and it happened in 11% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.5 goals in total, with a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is HNK Rijeka vs Istra 1961?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 23rd August 2026 at 17:30 at Stadion HNK Rijeka, Rijeka.

Who is the referee?

Igor Pajač, Croatia is in charge of this game.