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Heidelberg United vs South Melbourne Prediction, H2H & Stats

Australia: Victoria NPL · Regular Season - 12
Heidelberg United

Heidelberg United

6th in table
DLWWL
Full time
4:0
HT 3 - 0
South Melbourne

South Melbourne

5th in table
WDWDW
24' L. Trubiano (Own Goal)
30' A. Yokokawa
32' B. Collins
51' C. Bramwell
Friday, 8 May 2026
Olympic Park Stadium, Melbourne

Head to head

Last 7 meetings
7games
4Heidelberg United wins
2Draws
1South Melbourne wins
2Goals per game
43%Both scored
29%Over 2.5
29 Nov 2025Australian Championship South Melbourne 1 - 0 Heidelberg United
26 Jul 2025Victoria NPL Heidelberg United 1 - 1 South Melbourne
13 Apr 2025Victoria NPL South Melbourne 0 - 3 Heidelberg United
16 Jun 2024Victoria NPL Heidelberg United 1 - 0 South Melbourne
08 Mar 2024Victoria NPL South Melbourne 1 - 1 Heidelberg United
16 Aug 2023Victoria NPL Heidelberg United 2 - 1 South Melbourne
17 Mar 2023Victoria NPL South Melbourne 0 - 2 Heidelberg United

Victoria NPL table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Oakleigh Cannons 261664 56:24 +32 54 LWLWW
2 Preston Lions 261565 41:19 +22 51 LDDWW
3 Hume City 261547 51:36 +15 49 LLWWW
4 Avondale 261529 65:34 +31 47 WWWWW
5 South Melbourne 2613211 39:36 +3 41 LWLLW
6 Heidelberg United 261178 42:34 +8 40 LWWLL
7 Sunshine Georgies 269116 35:34 +1 38 WLWDD
8 Dandenong City 261079 35:31 +4 37 WDWWD
9 St. Albans Saints 269710 36:43 -7 34 WWDLW
10 Melbourne City II 268612 42:42 0 30 LLLLL
11 Altona Magic 267712 28:42 -14 28 DLLDW
12 Bentleigh Greens 266614 27:51 -24 24 LWDDL
13 Green Gully 264616 23:52 -29 18 WLLDD
14 Dandenong Thunder 264319 23:65 -42 15 LLLLL

Recent form

3 W 4 D 3 L in the last 10
06 Sep 2026Victoria NPL South Melbourne 2 - 1 Heidelberg United L
29 Aug 2026Victoria NPL Heidelberg United 2 - 0 Bentleigh Greens W
23 Aug 2026Victoria NPL South Melbourne 1 - 2 Heidelberg United W
15 Aug 2026Victoria NPL Heidelberg United 4 - 5 Hume City L
12 Aug 2026Australia Cup North Sunshine Eagles 0 - 0 Heidelberg United D
01 Aug 2026Victoria NPL Avondale 2 - 1 Heidelberg United L
24 Jul 2026Victoria NPL Heidelberg United 0 - 0 Sunshine Georgies D
21 Jul 2026Australia Cup Cumberland United 0 - 3 Heidelberg United W
18 Jul 2026Victoria NPL Altona Magic 0 - 0 Heidelberg United D
11 Jul 2026Victoria NPL Melbourne City II 2 - 2 Heidelberg United D
5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10
29 Oct 2026Australian Championship Canberra FC 0 - 2 South Melbourne W
23 Oct 2026Australian Championship South Melbourne 1 - 1 Sydney United D
17 Oct 2026Australian Championship Sutherland Sharks 0 - 1 South Melbourne W
10 Oct 2026Australia Cup South Melbourne 1 - 1 Melbourne Victory D
15 Sep 2026Australia Cup South Melbourne 3 - 1 Lions W
11 Sep 2026Victoria NPL Oakleigh Cannons 2 - 1 South Melbourne L
06 Sep 2026Victoria NPL South Melbourne 2 - 1 Heidelberg United W
29 Aug 2026Victoria NPL Sunshine Georgies 1 - 0 South Melbourne L
26 Aug 2026Australia Cup Preston Lions 1 - 2 South Melbourne W
23 Aug 2026Victoria NPL South Melbourne 1 - 2 Heidelberg United L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Heidelberg United Draw South Melbourne
Value spotted: Draw at 7.50 (model 24% vs market 12%) · South Melbourne win at 8.70 (model 50% vs market 10%)

Most likely scores

1-1 11.3%
0-1 9.8%
1-2 9.6%
0-2 8.4%
1-0 6.7%
2-1 6.5%

Expected goals: 1.15 Heidelberg United · 1.7 South Melbourne

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals78%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Over 3.5 goals32%
Both teams score56%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
47%
Form
53%
43%
Attack
57%
54%
Defence
46%
28%
Goal model
72%
62%
Head to head
38%
67%
Goals
33%
50%
Overall
49%

Season numbers

Victoria NPL 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
1
3
16-30'
2
2
31-45'
2
5
46-60'
5
3
61-75'
3
5
76-90'
5
1
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
2
2
31-45'
1
2
46-60'
4
4
61-75'
2
2
76-90'
3
Heidelberg United South Melbourne

Side by side

Heidelberg United South Melbourne
11 Played 11
6 Won 7
2 Drawn 0
3 Lost 4
1.6 Goals scored per game 1.7
1.2 Goals conceded per game 1.2
1.6 / 1.7 Scored per game (home / away) 1.4 / 2
3 Clean sheets 5
0 Failed to score 2
2 Longest winning run 3
2-1 Biggest win 4-2
1-2 Biggest defeat 0-3
3/4 Penalties scored 0/0

Heidelberg United vs South Melbourne: preview and prediction

Heidelberg United host South Melbourne in the Australia Victoria NPL (Regular Season - 12) on Friday, 8th May 2026 at 10:30 at Olympic Park Stadium, Melbourne. Heidelberg United sit 6th in the table and South Melbourne 5th.

Heidelberg United have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-W-W-L). South Melbourne are in good shape, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-D-W-D-W).

In the last 7 meetings, Heidelberg United won 4, South Melbourne won 1 and 2 ended level. These games average 2 goals, with both teams scoring in 43% and over 2.5 goals in 29%.

Our goal model expects about 1.15 goals for Heidelberg United and 1.7 for South Melbourne. It gives South Melbourne the edge (26% home win, 24% draw, 50% away win), 54% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was BTTS Yes at odds of 1.93. We also like Under 3.5, Draw.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Heidelberg United vs South Melbourne FAQs

What is the best prediction for Heidelberg United vs South Melbourne?

Our top tip is Both Teams to Score: BTTS Yes (1.93 odds).

Who will win Heidelberg United vs South Melbourne?

South Melbourne are favourites: our model gives Heidelberg United 26%, the draw 24% and South Melbourne 50%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 56% chance in our model, and it happened in 43% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.8 goals in total, with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Heidelberg United vs South Melbourne?

Kick-off is on Friday, 8th May 2026 at 10:30 at Olympic Park Stadium, Melbourne.