RaraBet
Home Pricing About Partners News Contact Us
Register Login

Heerenveen vs Excelsior Prediction, H2H & Stats

Netherlands: Eredivisie · Regular Season - 9
Heerenveen

Heerenveen

7th in table
LWWWW
Full time
4:0
HT 1 - 0
Excelsior

Excelsior

15th in table
LLLWL
11' D. Vente (Penalty)
43' Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson
54' O. Braude
84' L. Oyen
88' J. Trenskow
Friday, 16 October 2026
Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen
Robin Hensgens, Netherlands

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
5Heerenveen wins
1Draws
2Excelsior wins
2.5Goals per game
38%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
07 Mar 2026Eredivisie Excelsior 1 - 2 Heerenveen
04 Oct 2025Eredivisie Heerenveen 2 - 1 Excelsior
19 Jan 2024Eredivisie Excelsior 3 - 0 Heerenveen
23 Sep 2023Eredivisie Heerenveen 0 - 3 Excelsior
13 May 2023Eredivisie Heerenveen 0 - 0 Excelsior
05 Nov 2022Eredivisie Excelsior 0 - 1 Heerenveen
30 Jul 2022Friendlies Clubs Heerenveen 3 - 1 Excelsior
30 Oct 2019KNVB Beker Excelsior 0 - 3 Heerenveen

Eredivisie table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Feyenoord 11740 33:12 +21 25 DDWWW
2 Ajax 11731 30:13 +17 24 WWWDD
3 PSV Eindhoven 11722 35:13 +22 23 WDLWL
4 Twente 11722 28:10 +18 23 WWLDW
5 AZ Alkmaar 11623 20:13 +7 20 LLDLW
6 Fortuna Sittard 11542 18:18 0 19 DWDDW
7 Heerenveen 11533 19:13 +6 18 WWWLW
8 Groningen 11434 26:24 +2 15 LDLWW
9 Cambuur 11434 23:22 +1 15 WWDWD
10 GO Ahead Eagles 11353 23:27 -4 14 LWLDD
11 Sparta Rotterdam 11335 20:26 -6 12 WLWDL
12 Utrecht 11335 19:31 -12 12 LDWWL
13 NEC Nijmegen 11254 17:19 -2 11 LDDDD
14 PEC Zwolle 11326 12:23 -11 11 WDWLL
15 Excelsior 11326 16:28 -12 11 LLLLD
16 Telstar 11236 16:23 -7 9 WLLDL
17 ADO Den Haag 11137 13:24 -11 6 LLWDD
18 Willem II 11029 10:39 -29 2 LLLLL

Top scorers

Eredivisie
1 S. TengstedtGO Ahead Eagles 8goals 2assists 11apps
2 B. WillumssonGroningen 8goals 1assists 11apps
3 W. WeghorstTwente 8goals 2assists 11apps
4 M. ZonneveldSparta Rotterdam 7goals 1assists 11apps
5 G. TilPSV Eindhoven 7goals 1assists 11apps
6 T. van BergenGroningen 7goals 3assists 11apps
7 J. BrandtAjax 6goals 2assists 11apps
8 J. TrenskowHeerenveen 6goals 2assists 11apps
9 A. Hadj-MoussaFeyenoord 6goals 2assists 10apps
10 S. MijnansPSV Eindhoven 6goals 2assists 9apps

Recent form

5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Eredivisie Heerenveen 1 - 0 NEC Nijmegen W
28 Oct 2026KNVB Beker Excelsior Maassluis 0 - 2 Heerenveen W
24 Oct 2026Eredivisie ADO Den Haag 2 - 3 Heerenveen W
16 Oct 2026Eredivisie Heerenveen 4 - 0 Excelsior W
09 Oct 2026Eredivisie PSV Eindhoven 2 - 0 Heerenveen L
19 Sep 2026Eredivisie Sparta Rotterdam 0 - 4 Heerenveen W
13 Sep 2026Eredivisie Heerenveen 0 - 0 Telstar D
06 Sep 2026Eredivisie Heerenveen 2 - 3 AZ Alkmaar L
30 Aug 2026Eredivisie Willem II 2 - 2 Heerenveen D
22 Aug 2026Eredivisie Heerenveen 0 - 2 PEC Zwolle L
3 W 2 D 5 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Eredivisie Excelsior 0 - 9 Twente L
28 Oct 2026KNVB Beker MVV 0 - 3 Excelsior W
25 Oct 2026Eredivisie Fortuna Sittard 1 - 0 Excelsior L
16 Oct 2026Eredivisie Heerenveen 4 - 0 Excelsior L
11 Oct 2026Eredivisie Excelsior 1 - 5 Groningen L
19 Sep 2026Eredivisie Ajax 2 - 2 Excelsior D
13 Sep 2026Eredivisie Excelsior 1 - 2 Utrecht L
08 Sep 2026Eredivisie NEC Nijmegen 2 - 2 Excelsior D
05 Sep 2026Eredivisie Willem II 0 - 3 Excelsior W
29 Aug 2026Eredivisie Excelsior 2 - 1 Sparta Rotterdam W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Heerenveen Draw Excelsior
Value spotted: Excelsior win at 4.74 (model 64% vs market 20%)

Most likely scores

0-2 11%
0-1 10.7%
1-2 9.9%
1-1 9.7%
0-3 7.5%
1-3 6.8%

Expected goals: 0.9 Heerenveen · 2.05 Excelsior

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals79%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Over 3.5 goals34%
Both teams score52%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
50%
Form
50%
47%
Attack
53%
61%
Defence
39%
21%
Goal model
79%
50%
Head to head
50%
33%
Goals
67%
43%
Overall
56%

Season numbers

Eredivisie 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
1
3
16-30'
2
2
31-45'
7
2
46-60'
1
3
61-75'
3
2
76-90'
3
1
0-15'
3
1
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
2
1
46-60'
2
3
61-75'
3
2
76-90'
3
Heerenveen Excelsior

Side by side

Heerenveen Excelsior
8 Played 8
2 Won 3
3 Drawn 2
3 Lost 3
1.4 Goals scored per game 2
1.4 Goals conceded per game 1.8
0.8 / 2 Scored per game (home / away) 1.3 / 2.8
3 Clean sheets 2
3 Failed to score 0
1 Longest winning run 2
1-0 Biggest win 2-1
0-2 Biggest defeat 1-5
0/0 Penalties scored 1/1

Heerenveen vs Excelsior: preview and prediction

Heerenveen host Excelsior in the Netherlands Eredivisie (Regular Season - 9) on Friday, 16th October 2026 at 19:00 at Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen. Heerenveen sit 7th in the table and Excelsior 15th.

Heerenveen are flying, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (L-W-W-W-W). Excelsior are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-L-W-L).

In the last 8 meetings, Heerenveen won 5, Excelsior won 2 and 1 ended level. These games average 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 38% and over 2.5 goals in 75%.

Our goal model expects about 0.9 goals for Heerenveen and 2.05 for Excelsior. It gives Excelsior the edge (16% home win, 20% draw, 64% away win), 56% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 0-2.

Our pick was Home Win at odds of 1.71. We also like Over 2.5, BTTS Yes, Over 3.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Heerenveen vs Excelsior FAQs

What is the best prediction for Heerenveen vs Excelsior?

Our top tip is Home Win: Home Win (1.71 odds).

Who will win Heerenveen vs Excelsior?

Excelsior are favourites: our model gives Heerenveen 16%, the draw 20% and Excelsior 64%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 52% chance in our model, and it happened in 38% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.9 goals in total, with a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Heerenveen vs Excelsior?

Kick-off is on Friday, 16th October 2026 at 19:00 at Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen.

Who is the referee?

Robin Hensgens, Netherlands is in charge of this game.