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Heart Of Midlothian vs ST Mirren Prediction, H2H & Stats

Scotland: Premiership · Regular Season - 8
Heart Of Midlothian

Heart Of Midlothian

3rd in table
LLWDL
Full time
5:0
HT 2 - 0
ST Mirren

ST Mirren

8th in table
LLWDL
-5' Severin Sabri Guendouz
20' Laurent Mendy
23' Calvin Miller
30' Alexander Gogić
32' Calvin Miller (Penalty)
45' Chris Mochrie
50' Calvin Miller (Penalty)
54' Cláudio Braga
80' Josh McPake
90+1' Killian Phillips
Saturday, 10 October 2026
Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh
N. Walsh

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
3Heart Of Midlothian wins
4Draws
2ST Mirren wins
2.9Goals per game
67%Both scored
56%Over 2.5
03 Feb 2026Premiership ST Mirren 1 - 0 Heart Of Midlothian
14 Jan 2026Premiership Heart Of Midlothian 2 - 0 ST Mirren
29 Oct 2025Premiership ST Mirren 2 - 2 Heart Of Midlothian
16 Aug 2025League Cup ST Mirren 1 - 1 Heart Of Midlothian
26 Feb 2025Premiership Heart Of Midlothian 3 - 1 ST Mirren
10 Feb 2025FA Cup ST Mirren 1 - 1 Heart Of Midlothian
19 Oct 2024Premiership Heart Of Midlothian 4 - 0 ST Mirren
21 Sep 2024Premiership ST Mirren 2 - 1 Heart Of Midlothian
15 May 2024Premiership ST Mirren 2 - 2 Heart Of Midlothian

Premiership table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Celtic 12912 27:10 +17 28 LDWWW
2 Rangers 11731 19:9 +10 24 DWDWW
3 Heart Of Midlothian 11623 24:17 +7 20 DWLWD
4 Falkirk 12534 15:12 +3 18 WWWWL
5 Dundee 11524 17:13 +4 17 WLDWW
6 Dundee Utd 11443 16:16 0 16 DWDWW
7 ST Johnstone 12354 15:19 -4 14 DDLDW
8 ST Mirren 12426 12:20 -8 14 LDWLL
9 Motherwell 12336 14:20 -6 12 WDLLL
10 Aberdeen 11326 12:14 -2 11 LLWLD
11 Kilmarnock 12237 13:28 -15 9 DLLWL
12 Hibernian 11227 11:17 -6 8 DLLLD

Top scorers

Premiership
1 C. DuránCeltic 7goals 5assists 12apps
2 B. NygrenCeltic 6goals 4assists 12apps
3 J. FowlerST Johnstone 6goals 1assists 12apps
4 R. NaderiRangers 5goals 3assists 10apps
5 Cláudio BragaHeart Of Midlothian 5goals 2assists 11apps
6 J. MurrellFalkirk 5goals 0assists 10apps
7 C. MillerHeart Of Midlothian 5goals 1assists 11apps
8 B. FinkDundee 4goals 0assists 9apps
9 K. KelsyRangers 4goals 0assists 7apps
10 K. NisbetAberdeen 4goals 3assists 11apps

Recent form

2 W 3 D 4 L in the last 9
01 Nov 2026League Cup Heart Of Midlothian 1 - 2 Hibernian L
28 Oct 2026Premiership Heart Of Midlothian 2 - 2 Rangers D
25 Oct 2026Premiership Motherwell 0 - 2 Heart Of Midlothian W
22 Oct 2026UEFA Europa Conference League Trabzonspor 2 - 0 Heart Of Midlothian L
18 Oct 2026Premiership Celtic 7 - 1 Heart Of Midlothian L
15 Oct 2026UEFA Europa Conference League Heart Of Midlothian 1 - 1 FC Nordsjaelland D
10 Oct 2026Premiership Heart Of Midlothian 5 - 0 ST Mirren W
19 Sep 2026Premiership Kilmarnock 1 - 1 Heart Of Midlothian D
15 Sep 2026Premiership Falkirk 2 - 1 Heart Of Midlothian L
2 W 2 D 6 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Premiership Motherwell 1 - 0 ST Mirren L
28 Oct 2026Premiership ST Mirren 1 - 1 Hibernian D
24 Oct 2026Premiership ST Mirren 2 - 1 Dundee W
17 Oct 2026Premiership Aberdeen 3 - 1 ST Mirren L
10 Oct 2026Premiership Heart Of Midlothian 5 - 0 ST Mirren L
19 Sep 2026Premiership ST Mirren 0 - 3 Dundee Utd L
09 Sep 2026Premiership Rangers 1 - 0 ST Mirren L
05 Sep 2026Premiership ST Mirren 1 - 2 Celtic L
02 Sep 2026Premiership Kilmarnock 0 - 1 ST Mirren W
30 Aug 2026Premiership ST Mirren 3 - 3 Motherwell D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Heart Of Midlothian Draw ST Mirren
Value spotted: Draw at 4.65 (model 26% vs market 20%) · ST Mirren win at 6.06 (model 21% vs market 15%)

Most likely scores

1-0 14.3%
1-1 12.2%
2-0 10.7%
0-0 9.5%
2-1 9.1%
0-1 8.1%

Expected goals: 1.5 Heart Of Midlothian · 0.85 ST Mirren

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals68%
Over 2.5 goals42%
Over 3.5 goals21%
Both teams score44%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
71%
Form
29%
64%
Attack
36%
60%
Defence
40%
60%
Goal model
40%
50%
Head to head
50%
57%
Goals
43%
60%
Overall
39%

Season numbers

Premiership 2026

When the goals come

4
0-15'
2
2
16-30'
1
2
31-45'
2
1
46-60'
1
2
61-75'
1
2
76-90'
1
1
0-15'
3
1
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
1
2
46-60'
1
1
61-75'
1
2
76-90'
0
Heart Of Midlothian ST Mirren

Side by side

Heart Of Midlothian ST Mirren
7 Played 7
4 Won 3
1 Drawn 1
2 Lost 3
2 Goals scored per game 1.1
1.1 Goals conceded per game 1.3
2.7 / 1.5 Scored per game (home / away) 1.3 / 1
1 Clean sheets 3
0 Failed to score 2
4 Longest winning run 2
4-0 Biggest win 1-0
2-1 Biggest defeat 0-3
2/2 Penalties scored 2/2

Heart Of Midlothian vs ST Mirren: preview and prediction

Heart Of Midlothian host ST Mirren in the Scotland Premiership (Regular Season - 8) on Saturday, 10th October 2026 at 15:00 at Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh. Heart Of Midlothian sit 3rd in the table and ST Mirren 8th.

Heart Of Midlothian are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-W-D-L). ST Mirren are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-W-D-L).

In the last 9 meetings, Heart Of Midlothian won 3, ST Mirren won 2 and 4 ended level. These games average 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% and over 2.5 goals in 56%.

Our goal model expects about 1.5 goals for Heart Of Midlothian and 0.85 for ST Mirren. It gives Heart Of Midlothian the edge (53% home win, 26% draw, 21% away win), 42% for over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Home Win at odds of 1.45. We also like Over 2.5, BTTS Yes, Under 3.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Heart Of Midlothian vs ST Mirren FAQs

What is the best prediction for Heart Of Midlothian vs ST Mirren?

Our top tip is Home Win: Home Win (1.45 odds).

Who will win Heart Of Midlothian vs ST Mirren?

Heart Of Midlothian are favourites: our model gives Heart Of Midlothian 53%, the draw 26% and ST Mirren 21%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 44% chance in our model, and it happened in 67% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.4 goals in total, with a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Heart Of Midlothian vs ST Mirren?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 10th October 2026 at 15:00 at Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh.

Who is the referee?

N. Walsh is in charge of this game.