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Harrogate Town vs Bury Prediction, H2H & Stats

England: FA Cup · 4th Round Qualifying
Harrogate Town

Harrogate Town

DWWLD
Full time
3:1
HT 1 - 0
Bury

Bury

LWWLD
12'
65'
68'
88'
90'
91'
Tuesday, 20 October 2026
CNG Stadium, Harrogate

Head to head

Last 1 meetings
1games
0Harrogate Town wins
1Draws
0Bury wins
2Goals per game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
17 Oct 2026FA Cup Bury 1 - 1 Harrogate Town

Recent form

6 W 2 D 2 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026National League Forest Green 2 - 2 Harrogate Town D
28 Oct 2026National League Carlisle 3 - 0 Harrogate Town L
24 Oct 2026National League Harrogate Town 3 - 1 Sutton Utd W
20 Oct 2026FA Cup Harrogate Town 3 - 1 Bury W
17 Oct 2026FA Cup Bury 1 - 1 Harrogate Town D
10 Oct 2026National League Woking 0 - 1 Harrogate Town W
03 Oct 2026National League Harrogate Town 3 - 0 AFC Hornchurch W
29 Sep 2026National League Hartlepool 0 - 1 Harrogate Town W
26 Sep 2026National League Harrogate Town 4 - 1 Eastleigh W
19 Sep 2026National League Boreham Wood 4 - 1 Harrogate Town L
4 W 3 D 3 L in the last 10
03 Nov 2026Non League Premier - Northern Bury 2 - 2 Avro D
31 Oct 2026Non League Premier - Northern Bury 1 - 2 Workington L
27 Oct 2026Non League Premier - Northern Bury 5 - 3 Leek Town W
24 Oct 2026FA Trophy Bury 3 - 0 Prescot Cables W
20 Oct 2026FA Cup Harrogate Town 3 - 1 Bury L
17 Oct 2026FA Cup Bury 1 - 1 Harrogate Town D
10 Oct 2026Non League Premier - Northern Alfreton Town 2 - 3 Bury W
06 Oct 2026Non League Premier - Northern Stockton Town 1 - 0 Bury L
03 Oct 2026FA Cup Bury 2 - 1 Bromsgrove Sporting W
26 Sep 2026FA Trophy Bury 3 - 3 Gainsborough Trinity D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Harrogate Town Draw Bury
Value spotted: Bury win at 5.84 (model 72% vs market 16%)

Most likely scores

0-2 10.4%
1-2 9.4%
0-3 8.7%
0-1 8.3%
1-3 7.8%
1-1 7.5%

Expected goals: 0.9 Harrogate Town · 2.5 Bury

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals66%
Over 3.5 goals44%
Both teams score54%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
9%
Form
91%
6%
Attack
94%
75%
Defence
25%
0%
Goal model
0%
50%
Head to head
50%
50%
Goals
50%
38%
Overall
62%

Season numbers

FA Cup 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
1
Harrogate Town Bury

Side by side

Harrogate Town Bury
1 Played 4
0 Won 3
1 Drawn 1
0 Lost 0
1 Goals scored per game 4
1 Goals conceded per game 0.8
0 / 1 Scored per game (home / away) 4 / 0
0 Clean sheets 1
0 Failed to score 0
0 Longest winning run 3
- Biggest win 8-0
- Biggest defeat -
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

Harrogate Town vs Bury: preview and prediction

Harrogate Town host Bury in the England FA Cup (4th Round Qualifying) on Tuesday, 20th October 2026 at 19:45 at CNG Stadium, Harrogate.

Harrogate Town have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-W-W-L-D). Bury have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-W-L-D).

In the last 1 meetings, Harrogate Town won 0, Bury won 0 and 1 ended level. These games average 2 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% and over 2.5 goals in 0%.

Our goal model expects about 0.9 goals for Harrogate Town and 2.5 for Bury. It gives Bury the edge (11% home win, 16% draw, 72% away win), 66% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 0-2.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.10. We also like Home Win, Over 1.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Harrogate Town vs Bury FAQs

What is the best prediction for Harrogate Town vs Bury?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.10 odds).

Who will win Harrogate Town vs Bury?

Bury are favourites: our model gives Harrogate Town 11%, the draw 16% and Bury 72%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 54% chance in our model, and it happened in 100% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.4 goals in total, with a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Harrogate Town vs Bury?

Kick-off is on Tuesday, 20th October 2026 at 19:45 at CNG Stadium, Harrogate.