Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction, H2H & Stats
Germany: Bundesliga
· Regular Season - 2 Head to head
Last 9 meetings
1 - 1
Hamburger SV
4 - 0
FSV Mainz 05
0 - 0
FSV Mainz 05
3 - 2
Hamburger SV
0 - 0
FSV Mainz 05
3 - 1
Hamburger SV
0 - 0
Hamburger SV
1 - 3
FSV Mainz 05
1 - 2
Hamburger SV
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München |
7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 25:6 | +19 | 17 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund |
7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12:4 | +8 | 17 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg |
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:9 | +7 | 13 |
| 4 |  Bayer Leverkusen |
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:12 | +4 | 13 |
| 5 |  SV Elversberg |
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16:16 | 0 | 13 |
| 6 |  RB Leipzig |
7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 20:11 | +9 | 12 |
| 7 |  Werder Bremen |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15:14 | +1 | 12 |
| 8 | FSV Mainz 05 |
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg |
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 17:13 | +4 | 9 |
| 10 |  1899 Hoffenheim |
7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV |
7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6:16 | -10 | 9 |
| 12 |  1. FC Köln |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 |  SC Paderborn 07 |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 |  Eintracht Frankfurt |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:17 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 |  VfB Stuttgart |
7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
| 16 |  FC Schalke 04 |
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 |  Union Berlin |
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:18 | -12 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach |
7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11:22 | -11 | 3 |
Top scorers
Bundesliga
N. FüllkrugWerder Bremen
8goals
M. OliseBayern München
6goals
P. SchickBayer Leverkusen
6goals
Y. EbnoutalibEintracht Frankfurt
5goals
P. TietzFSV Mainz 05
5goals
C. NkunkuRB Leipzig
4goals
L. DíazBayern München
4goals
Y. SuzukiSC Freiburg
4goals
H. KaneBayern München
4goals
M. GregoritschFC Augsburg
4goals
Recent form
1 - 3
Eintracht Frankfurt
L
1 - 0
Hamburger SV
L
1 - 0
VfB Stuttgart
W
2 - 3
Hamburger SV
W
2 - 0
FC Copenhagen
W
2 - 1
1. FC Köln
W
5 - 0
Hamburger SV
L
0 - 5
FSV Mainz 05
L
2 - 0
Hamburger SV
L
0 - 3
Hamburger SV
W
4 - 1
FSV Mainz 05
L
2 - 0
FSV Mainz 05
L
2 - 3
Werder Bremen
L
0 - 1
FSV Mainz 05
W
3 - 4
Bayer Leverkusen
L
0 - 3
FSV Mainz 05
W
3 - 4
FSV Mainz 05
W
1 - 3
Eintracht Frankfurt
L
0 - 5
FSV Mainz 05
W
0 - 0
SC Paderborn 07
D
Who wins? Three ways to read it
1 · X · 2Most likely scores
Expected goals: 1.4 Hamburger SV · 1.1 FSV Mainz 05
Goal lines
Team comparison
Season numbers
Bundesliga 2026Side by side
Hamburger SV
FSV Mainz 05
Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05: preview and prediction
Hamburger SV host FSV Mainz 05 in the Germany Bundesliga (Regular Season - 2) on Sunday, 6th September 2026 at 14:30 at Volksparkstadion, Hamburg. Hamburger SV sit 11th in the table and FSV Mainz 05 8th.
Hamburger SV are in good shape, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-W-L-L). FSV Mainz 05 are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-L-L).
In the last 9 meetings, Hamburger SV won 2, FSV Mainz 05 won 3 and 4 ended level. These games average 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 56% and over 2.5 goals in 56%.
Our goal model expects about 1.4 goals for Hamburger SV and 1.1 for FSV Mainz 05. It gives Hamburger SV the edge (44% home win, 27% draw, 30% away win), 46% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.
Our pick was Over 2.5 at odds of 1.79.
Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05 FAQs
What is the best prediction for Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05?
Our top tip is Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5 (1.79 odds).
Who will win Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05?
Hamburger SV are favourites: our model gives Hamburger SV 44%, the draw 27% and FSV Mainz 05 30%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams scoring has a 50% chance in our model, and it happened in 56% of recent meetings.
How many goals are expected?
Our model expects 2.5 goals in total, with a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals.
When is Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05?
Kick-off is on Sunday, 6th September 2026 at 14:30 at Volksparkstadion, Hamburg.
Who is the referee?
Tobias Reichel, Germany is in charge of this game.