Gwangju FC vs Pohang Steelers Prediction, H2H & Stats

South-Korea: K League 1 · Regular Season - 17
Gwangju FC

Gwangju FC

12th in table
DWLWD
Full time
0:3
HT 0 - 1
Pohang Steelers

Pohang Steelers

9th in table
LDDLD
4' Lee Ho-jae
21' K. Nishiya
50' J. Tranziska
71' Sang-hyeok Cho
72' Jung Han-Min
90+3' Park Chan-Yong
Saturday, 11 July 2026
Gwangju Football Stadium, Gwangju
Min-Seok Song, South Korea

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
2Gwangju FC wins
1Draws
5Pohang Steelers wins
1.6Goals per game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
22 Apr 2026K League 1 Pohang Steelers 1 - 0 Gwangju FC
10 Aug 2025K League 1 Pohang Steelers 1 - 0 Gwangju FC
18 May 2025K League 1 Pohang Steelers 0 - 1 Gwangju FC
22 Mar 2025K League 1 Gwangju FC 2 - 3 Pohang Steelers
13 Sep 2024K League 1 Gwangju FC 2 - 1 Pohang Steelers
28 May 2024K League 1 Gwangju FC 0 - 1 Pohang Steelers
17 Mar 2024K League 1 Pohang Steelers 1 - 0 Gwangju FC
03 Dec 2023K League 1 Gwangju FC 0 - 0 Pohang Steelers

K League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 FC Seoul 332076 61:29 +32 67 DDWLW
2 Ulsan Hyundai FC 3315612 52:47 +5 51 DWLLW
3 Daejeon Citizen 33131010 53:41 +12 49 WWWDD
4 Jeonbuk Motors 3312129 43:33 +10 48 DWLDL
5 Gangwon FC 3311157 40:30 +10 48 DDWDL
6 Incheon United 33121011 43:35 +8 46 WDWDD
7 Jeju United FC 33121011 39:37 +2 46 LLLWD
8 FC Anyang 33101310 40:48 -8 43 DDWWD
9 Pohang Steelers 3311913 30:39 -9 42 DDLWD
10 Gimcheon Sangmu FC 335199 33:41 -8 34 LDLWD
11 Bucheon FC 1995 3371115 32:47 -15 32 LLLLD
12 Gwangju FC 3331218 30:69 -39 21 WLWDD

Top scorers

K League 1
1 Yago CarielloUlsan Hyundai FC 12goals 1assists 27apps
2 S. MugošaIncheon United 11goals 1assists 31apps
3 Tiago OrobóJeonbuk Motors 10goals 0assists 26apps
4 Lee Dong-GyeongUlsan Hyundai FC 9goals 10assists 33apps
5 J. IredaleGwangju FC 9goals 0assists 18apps
6 P. KlimalaFC Seoul 8goals 0assists 31apps
7 Emerson NeguebaJeju United FC 6goals 2assists 31apps
8 Go Jae-HyeonGimcheon Sangmu FC 5goals 3assists 29apps
9 M. FerrierIncheon United 5goals 1assists 30apps
10 Diogo de OliveiraDaejeon Citizen 5goals 2assists 29apps

Recent form

2 W 5 D 3 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026K League 1 Gwangju FC 1 - 1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC D
24 Oct 2026K League 1 Bucheon FC 1995 0 - 3 Gwangju FC W
18 Oct 2026K League 1 Daejeon Citizen 3 - 2 Gwangju FC L
11 Oct 2026K League 1 Gwangju FC 4 - 3 Ulsan Hyundai FC W
20 Sep 2026K League 1 Jeonbuk Motors 2 - 2 Gwangju FC D
13 Sep 2026K League 1 Gwangju FC 1 - 1 FC Anyang D
09 Sep 2026K League 1 Gwangju FC 0 - 1 Jeju United FC L
06 Sep 2026K League 1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC 2 - 2 Gwangju FC D
30 Aug 2026K League 1 Gwangju FC 2 - 5 FC Seoul L
26 Aug 2026K League 1 Gangwon FC 2 - 2 Gwangju FC D
1 W 4 D 4 L in the last 9
01 Nov 2026K League 1 Pohang Steelers 1 - 1 Jeju United FC D
28 Oct 2026AFC Champions League Elite Kashima 3 - 0 Pohang Steelers L
24 Oct 2026K League 1 Ulsan Hyundai FC 2 - 2 Pohang Steelers D
18 Oct 2026K League 1 Pohang Steelers 0 - 0 FC Anyang D
13 Oct 2026AFC Champions League Elite Pohang Steelers 0 - 2 Johor Darul Takzim FC L
09 Oct 2026K League 1 Incheon United 3 - 0 Pohang Steelers L
20 Sep 2026K League 1 Pohang Steelers 2 - 1 FC Seoul W
15 Sep 2026AFC Champions League Elite Beijing Guoan 3 - 1 Pohang Steelers L
12 Sep 2026K League 1 Daejeon Citizen 2 - 2 Pohang Steelers D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Gwangju FC Draw Pohang Steelers
Value spotted: Gwangju FC win at 5.89 (model 22% vs market 16%)

Most likely scores

0-1 12.3%
1-1 11.6%
0-2 10.1%
1-2 9.6%
0-0 7.4%
1-0 7.1%

Expected goals: 0.95 Gwangju FC · 1.65 Pohang Steelers

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals73%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals26%
Both teams score50%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
17%
Form
83%
13%
Attack
88%
33%
Defence
67%
27%
Goal model
73%
40%
Head to head
60%
45%
Goals
55%
29%
Overall
71%

Season numbers

K League 1 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
2
1
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
2
3
46-60'
2
3
61-75'
4
0
76-90'
4
5
0-15'
2
5
16-30'
3
5
31-45'
3
11
46-60'
0
3
61-75'
4
9
76-90'
2
Gwangju FC Pohang Steelers

Side by side

Gwangju FC Pohang Steelers
16 Played 16
1 Won 7
5 Drawn 4
10 Lost 5
0.5 Goals scored per game 0.9
2.4 Goals conceded per game 0.9
0.8 / 0.3 Scored per game (home / away) 0.5 / 1.4
3 Clean sheets 7
11 Failed to score 5
1 Longest winning run 2
3-2 Biggest win 1-0
0-5 Biggest defeat 0-2
2/2 Penalties scored 4/5

Gwangju FC vs Pohang Steelers: preview and prediction

Gwangju FC host Pohang Steelers in the South-Korea K League 1 (Regular Season - 17) on Saturday, 11th July 2026 at 11:30 at Gwangju Football Stadium, Gwangju. Gwangju FC sit 12th in the table and Pohang Steelers 9th.

Gwangju FC have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-W-L-W-D). Pohang Steelers are still looking for a win, with 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-D-D-L-D).

In the last 8 meetings, Gwangju FC won 2, Pohang Steelers won 5 and 1 ended level. These games average 1.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% and over 2.5 goals in 25%.

Our goal model expects about 0.95 goals for Gwangju FC and 1.65 for Pohang Steelers. It gives Pohang Steelers the edge (22% home win, 25% draw, 54% away win), 48% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 0-1.

Our pick was Away Win at odds of 1.59. We also like BTTS No.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Gwangju FC vs Pohang Steelers FAQs

What is the best prediction for Gwangju FC vs Pohang Steelers?

Our top tip is Away Win: Away Win (1.59 odds).

Who will win Gwangju FC vs Pohang Steelers?

Pohang Steelers are favourites: our model gives Gwangju FC 22%, the draw 25% and Pohang Steelers 54%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 50% chance in our model, and it happened in 25% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.6 goals in total, with a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Gwangju FC vs Pohang Steelers?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 11th July 2026 at 11:30 at Gwangju Football Stadium, Gwangju.

Who is the referee?

Min-Seok Song, South Korea is in charge of this game.