Gwangju FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC Prediction, H2H & Stats

South-Korea: K League 1 · Regular Season - 19
Gwangju FC

Gwangju FC

12th in table
DWLWD
Full time
1:1
HT 1 - 1
Gimcheon Sangmu FC

Gimcheon Sangmu FC

10th in table
WLDLD
5' J. Iredale
7' Go Jae-Hyeon
85' Sung-yun Kwon
Wednesday, 22 July 2026
Gwangju Football Stadium, Gwangju
Ko Hyung-jin, South Korea

Head to head

Last 7 meetings
7games
2Gwangju FC wins
3Draws
2Gimcheon Sangmu FC wins
1.7Goals per game
43%Both scored
14%Over 2.5
17 Mar 2026K League 1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1 - 1 Gwangju FC
22 Jul 2025K League 1 Gwangju FC 1 - 1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC
05 May 2025K League 1 Gwangju FC 1 - 0 Gimcheon Sangmu FC
16 Mar 2025K League 1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC 0 - 0 Gwangju FC
28 Sep 2024K League 1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC 2 - 0 Gwangju FC
15 Jun 2024K League 1 Gwangju FC 2 - 0 Gimcheon Sangmu FC
06 Apr 2024K League 1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC 2 - 1 Gwangju FC

K League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 FC Seoul 332076 61:29 +32 67 DDWLW
2 Ulsan Hyundai FC 3315612 52:47 +5 51 DWLLW
3 Daejeon Citizen 33131010 53:41 +12 49 WWWDD
4 Jeonbuk Motors 3312129 43:33 +10 48 DWLDL
5 Gangwon FC 3311157 40:30 +10 48 DDWDL
6 Incheon United 33121011 43:35 +8 46 WDWDD
7 Jeju United FC 33121011 39:37 +2 46 LLLWD
8 FC Anyang 33101310 40:48 -8 43 DDWWD
9 Pohang Steelers 3311913 30:39 -9 42 DDLWD
10 Gimcheon Sangmu FC 335199 33:41 -8 34 LDLWD
11 Bucheon FC 1995 3371115 32:47 -15 32 LLLLD
12 Gwangju FC 3331218 30:69 -39 21 WLWDD

Top scorers

K League 1
1 Yago CarielloUlsan Hyundai FC 12goals 1assists 27apps
2 S. MugošaIncheon United 11goals 1assists 31apps
3 Tiago OrobóJeonbuk Motors 10goals 0assists 26apps
4 Lee Dong-GyeongUlsan Hyundai FC 9goals 10assists 33apps
5 J. IredaleGwangju FC 9goals 0assists 18apps
6 P. KlimalaFC Seoul 8goals 0assists 31apps
7 Emerson NeguebaJeju United FC 6goals 2assists 31apps
8 Go Jae-HyeonGimcheon Sangmu FC 5goals 3assists 29apps
9 M. FerrierIncheon United 5goals 1assists 30apps
10 Diogo de OliveiraDaejeon Citizen 5goals 2assists 29apps

Recent form

2 W 5 D 3 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026K League 1 Gwangju FC 1 - 1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC D
24 Oct 2026K League 1 Bucheon FC 1995 0 - 3 Gwangju FC W
18 Oct 2026K League 1 Daejeon Citizen 3 - 2 Gwangju FC L
11 Oct 2026K League 1 Gwangju FC 4 - 3 Ulsan Hyundai FC W
20 Sep 2026K League 1 Jeonbuk Motors 2 - 2 Gwangju FC D
13 Sep 2026K League 1 Gwangju FC 1 - 1 FC Anyang D
09 Sep 2026K League 1 Gwangju FC 0 - 1 Jeju United FC L
06 Sep 2026K League 1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC 2 - 2 Gwangju FC D
30 Aug 2026K League 1 Gwangju FC 2 - 5 FC Seoul L
26 Aug 2026K League 1 Gangwon FC 2 - 2 Gwangju FC D
1 W 6 D 3 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026K League 1 Gwangju FC 1 - 1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC D
24 Oct 2026K League 1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1 - 2 Daejeon Citizen L
18 Oct 2026K League 1 FC Seoul 2 - 2 Gimcheon Sangmu FC D
10 Oct 2026K League 1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC 0 - 1 FC Anyang L
19 Sep 2026K League 1 Bucheon FC 1995 0 - 2 Gimcheon Sangmu FC W
13 Sep 2026K League 1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC 2 - 2 Gangwon FC D
09 Sep 2026K League 1 Pohang Steelers 0 - 0 Gimcheon Sangmu FC D
06 Sep 2026K League 1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC 2 - 2 Gwangju FC D
29 Aug 2026K League 1 Ulsan Hyundai FC 3 - 1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC L
25 Aug 2026K League 1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC 0 - 0 Jeonbuk Motors D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Gwangju FC Draw Gimcheon Sangmu FC

Most likely scores

0-1 12.7%
1-1 12.1%
0-2 9.9%
1-2 9.4%
0-0 8.2%
1-0 7.8%

Expected goals: 0.95 Gwangju FC · 1.55 Gimcheon Sangmu FC

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Both teams score48%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
40%
Form
60%
33%
Attack
67%
41%
Defence
59%
29%
Goal model
71%
50%
Head to head
50%
43%
Goals
57%
39%
Overall
60%

Season numbers

K League 1 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
5
1
31-45'
1
3
46-60'
2
3
61-75'
5
1
76-90'
4
5
0-15'
2
6
16-30'
1
5
31-45'
8
13
46-60'
5
4
61-75'
4
9
76-90'
4
Gwangju FC Gimcheon Sangmu FC

Side by side

Gwangju FC Gimcheon Sangmu FC
18 Played 18
1 Won 2
6 Drawn 10
11 Lost 6
0.5 Goals scored per game 0.9
2.3 Goals conceded per game 1.4
0.7 / 0.3 Scored per game (home / away) 0.8 / 1.1
3 Clean sheets 2
12 Failed to score 5
1 Longest winning run 2
3-2 Biggest win 0-2
0-5 Biggest defeat 0-3
2/2 Penalties scored 0/0

Gwangju FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC: preview and prediction

Gwangju FC host Gimcheon Sangmu FC in the South-Korea K League 1 (Regular Season - 19) on Wednesday, 22nd July 2026 at 11:30 at Gwangju Football Stadium, Gwangju. Gwangju FC sit 12th in the table and Gimcheon Sangmu FC 10th.

Gwangju FC have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-W-L-W-D). Gimcheon Sangmu FC have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-D-L-D).

In the last 7 meetings, Gwangju FC won 2, Gimcheon Sangmu FC won 2 and 3 ended level. These games average 1.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 43% and over 2.5 goals in 14%.

Our goal model expects about 0.95 goals for Gwangju FC and 1.55 for Gimcheon Sangmu FC. It gives Gimcheon Sangmu FC the edge (23% home win, 26% draw, 51% away win), 46% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 0-1.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.18.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Gwangju FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC FAQs

What is the best prediction for Gwangju FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.18 odds).

Who will win Gwangju FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?

Gimcheon Sangmu FC are favourites: our model gives Gwangju FC 23%, the draw 26% and Gimcheon Sangmu FC 51%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 48% chance in our model, and it happened in 43% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.5 goals in total, with a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Gwangju FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?

Kick-off is on Wednesday, 22nd July 2026 at 11:30 at Gwangju Football Stadium, Gwangju.

Who is the referee?

Ko Hyung-jin, South Korea is in charge of this game.